UFC 238 Cejudo vs Moraes Official Bets

Kicking myself for missing certain lines early. (Like Stewart at over +400 KO prop and maybe +160 on Ivanov) Looking to live-bet more heavily, but at present, only

3.1u on Ferguson at -130
1.2u on Xiaonan Yan by decision at -120

No value in several fights I looked at, like Lewis vs. Stewart, Chookagian vs. Calderwood, and Tuivasa vs. Ivanov. Hopefully, other bettors will prove that assertion wrong.
 
UFC 238 Risk $6,434.57

Marlon Moraes (-118) vs Henry Cejudo $590.00 for $500.00
Marlon Moraes (-120) vs Henry Cejudo $481.93 for $400.00
Marlon Moraes (-125) vs Henry Cejudo $125.00 for $100.00
Marlon Moraes wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+190) $75.00 for $142.50
Marlon Moraes wins by decision or technical decision $40.00 for $200.00
Marlon Moraes wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+909) $15.00 for $136.35

Valentina Shevchenko/Jessica Eye starts round 3 (-285) $285.00 for $100.00
Valentina Shevchenko/Jessica Eye Over 4½ (-112) $112.00 for $100.00
Valentina Shevchenko wins in round 4 (+975) $15.00 for $146.25
Valentina Shevchenko wins in round 5 (+1450) $15.00 for $217.50
Valentina Shevchenko wins by decision or technical decision (+150) $100.00 for $150.00

Donald Cerrone (+135) vs Tony Ferguson $100.00 for $135.00
Donald Cerrone wins by TKO/KO (+350) $35.00 for $122.50
Donald Cerrone wins in round 2 (+900) $20.00 for $180.00
Donald Cerrone wins in round 3 (+1200) $20.00 for $240.00
Donald Cerrone/Tony Ferguson fight ends in round 3 (+650) $25.00 for $162.50

Petr Yan (-315) vs Jimmie Rivera $315.00 for $100.00
Petr Yan wins in round 3 (+1200) $15.00 for $180.00

Blagoy Ivanov (+150) vs Tai Tuivasa $100.00 for $150.00
Blagoy Ivanov (+150) vs Tai Tuivasa $200.00 for $300.00
Blagoy Ivanov +3½ points (-145) $145.00 for $100.00
Blagoy Ivanov/Tai Tuivasa Over 1½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00
Blagoy Ivanov/Tai Tuivasa Over 1½ (-187) $187.00 for $100.00

Nina Ansaroff scorecards= no action (+983) Tatiana Suarez $50.00 for $491.50
Tatiana Suarez/Nina Ansaroff Over 1½ (-180) $360.00 for $200.00
Tatiana Suarez/Nina Ansaroff Over 1½ (-182) $363.64 for $200.00
Tatiana Suarez/Nina Ansaroff Over 1½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00
Tatiana Suarez/Nina Ansaroff Over 1½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00

Aljamain Sterling (-135) vs Pedro Munhoz $270.00 for $200.00

Alexa Grasso (+100) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz $200.00 for $200.00
Alexa Grasso wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+900) $25.00 for $225.00
Alexa Grasso wins by decision or technical decision (+175) $10.00 for $175.00

Calvin Kattar (-140) vs Ricardo Lamas $280.00 for $200.00
Calvin Kattar wins by TKO/KO (+331) $50.00 for $165.50

Xiaonan Yan (-175) vs Angela Hill $175.00 for $100.00

Eddie Wineland (-145) vs Grigory Popov $145.00 for $100.00
Eddie Wineland wins by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50

Bevon Lewis (-160) vs Darren Stewart $160.00 for $100.00

Joanne Calderwood (+100) vs Katlyn Chookagian $250.00 for $250.00
Joanne Calderwood wins by 3 round decision (+175) $100.00 for $175.00

No fights end in submission (+672) $50.00 for $336.00
Fights to end in submission Under 1½ (+158) $40.00 for $63.20

Marlon Moraes wins POTN bonus (+150) ~$40.00 for ~$60.00
Donald Cerrone wins POTN bonus (+294) ~$40.00 for ~$117.60

Parlay:
Petr Yan (-335) vs Jimmie Rivera + Valentina Shevchenko/Jessica Eye starts round 3 (-222) $230.00 for $203.19
 
Cejudo
Tony
Tai by ko/tko
Wineland
Valentina/Yan/Tatiana
Karolina
Kattar
Aljamain
Chookagian
Bevon
Angela
 
is there any prop bets on these UFC fghts? Like By what type of KO? I would put money down on Moreas via KO by Knee! Any internet sites with prop bets like this?
 
$20 on Henry to return $47
$20 on Cowboy to return $48
$20 on Ivanov to return $44
 
3.54u Moraes ML -118

1u Cerrone ML +170

1.5u Ivanov ML +150 +2.25u

0.2u Ansaroff ML +740

1u Munhoz ML +125


1.1u Kattar ML -110 +1u

1.55u Xiaonan Yan ML -155 +1u

3.54u Wineland ML -118 +3u
1u Wineland ITD +450 +4.5u

1u Chookagian ML +120 +1.2u


Result: +7.21u
 
Kicking myself for missing certain lines early. (Like Stewart at over +400 KO prop and maybe +160 on Ivanov) Looking to live-bet more heavily, but at present, only

3.1u on Ferguson at -130
1.2u on Xiaonan Yan by decision at -120

No value in several fights I looked at, like Lewis vs. Stewart, Chookagian vs. Calderwood, and Tuivasa vs. Ivanov. Hopefully, other bettors will prove that assertion wrong.

Well, I added a lot of bets to this!

1.2u on Jojo Calderwood at +120 after round 2.
2.5u on Darren Stewart at -210 after round 2.
Additional 0.5u on Xiaonan Yan by decision at -125
1.6u on Sterling at -175 after round 2.
0.5u on Suarez-Ansaroff GTD at -120 after round 1.
0.4u on Ivanov at +145 ML.

Really happy that I'm getting the hang of live-betting now. Even the Calderwood bet made sense given that she won round 1, some judges might give her round 2, and I thought she would realize she could wrestle her way to victory in round 3, which she was doing 30 seconds in...only to stand up immediately like an idiot and proceed to give the fight away.

Never bet on trailer trash, whether from Scotland or elsewhere.

I wish I had been a little aggressive on my last live-bet (Suarez-Ansaroff GTD), but oh well.

Overall, +5.6u. Between this card and Hearthstone, I've repaired the hits my bankroll has taken this year and then some.

Very excited to get 2 weeks from UFC tape-watching and grinding, even though I already have more money on the next card pre-fight than I did on UFC 238.
 
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5U Magic -115

4U Yan -265

5U parlay suarez/ Shev -600/-1000

2U Blagoi +150

1 U Chook +120
1 U Sterling-135

Added Ferg 2U -135
Didnt want to bet this fight but forced to value wise


Glorious night until Marlon wreaked the show

Up a couple units but this feels not good at all
 
UFC 238 Risk $6,434.57

Marlon Moraes (-118) vs Henry Cejudo $590.00 for $500.00
Marlon Moraes (-120) vs Henry Cejudo $481.93 for $400.00
Marlon Moraes (-125) vs Henry Cejudo $125.00 for $100.00
Marlon Moraes wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+190) $75.00 for $142.50
Marlon Moraes wins by decision or technical decision $40.00 for $200.00
Marlon Moraes wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+909) $15.00 for $136.35

Valentina Shevchenko/Jessica Eye starts round 3 (-285) $285.00 for $100.00
Valentina Shevchenko/Jessica Eye Over 4½ (-112) $112.00 for $100.00
Valentina Shevchenko wins in round 4 (+975) $15.00 for $146.25
Valentina Shevchenko wins in round 5 (+1450) $15.00 for $217.50
Valentina Shevchenko wins by decision or technical decision (+150) $100.00 for $150.00

Donald Cerrone (+135) vs Tony Ferguson $100.00 for $135.00
Donald Cerrone wins by TKO/KO (+350) $35.00 for $122.50
Donald Cerrone wins in round 2 (+900) $20.00 for $180.00
Donald Cerrone wins in round 3 (+1200) $20.00 for $240.00
Donald Cerrone/Tony Ferguson fight ends in round 3 (+650) $25.00 for $162.50

Petr Yan (-315) vs Jimmie Rivera $315.00 for $100.00
Petr Yan wins in round 3 (+1200) $15.00 for $180.00

Blagoy Ivanov (+150) vs Tai Tuivasa $100.00 for $150.00
Blagoy Ivanov (+150) vs Tai Tuivasa $200.00 for $300.00
Blagoy Ivanov +3½ points (-145) $145.00 for $100.00
Blagoy Ivanov/Tai Tuivasa Over 1½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00
Blagoy Ivanov/Tai Tuivasa Over 1½ (-187) $187.00 for $100.00

Nina Ansaroff scorecards= no action (+983) Tatiana Suarez $50.00 for $491.50
Tatiana Suarez/Nina Ansaroff Over 1½ (-180) $360.00 for $200.00
Tatiana Suarez/Nina Ansaroff Over 1½ (-182) $363.64 for $200.00
Tatiana Suarez/Nina Ansaroff Over 1½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00
Tatiana Suarez/Nina Ansaroff Over 1½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00

Aljamain Sterling (-135) vs Pedro Munhoz $270.00 for $200.00

Alexa Grasso (+100) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz $200.00 for $200.00
Alexa Grasso wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+900) $25.00 for $225.00
Alexa Grasso wins by decision or technical decision (+175) $10.00 for $175.00

Calvin Kattar (-140) vs Ricardo Lamas $280.00 for $200.00
Calvin Kattar wins by TKO/KO (+331) $50.00 for $165.50

Xiaonan Yan (-175) vs Angela Hill $175.00 for $100.00

Eddie Wineland (-145) vs Grigory Popov $145.00 for $100.00
Eddie Wineland wins by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50

Bevon Lewis (-160) vs Darren Stewart $160.00 for $100.00

Joanne Calderwood (+100) vs Katlyn Chookagian $250.00 for $250.00
Joanne Calderwood wins by 3 round decision (+175) $100.00 for $175.00

No fights end in submission (+672) $50.00 for $336.00
Fights to end in submission Under 1½ (+158) $40.00 for $63.20

Marlon Moraes wins POTN bonus (+150) ~$40.00 for ~$60.00
Donald Cerrone wins POTN bonus (+294) ~$40.00 for ~$117.60

Parlay:
Petr Yan (-335) vs Jimmie Rivera + Valentina Shevchenko/Jessica Eye starts round 3 (-222) $230.00 for $203.19
You mustve made out like a bandit tonight
 
Keep sleeping on my boy Henry the GOAT medalist. Underdogs keep winning main events lol. Still amazed in the confidence most guys had in Marlon.


+13.43 units on pre-fight bets.
On to the next one <DC-Champ>


BF0D866F-93DC-43EC-8592-829B32C1EDED.jpeg
 
Moraes -120 $250

Shevchenko DEC +130 $100

Ferguson -138 $500

Yan -259 $1600

Ivanov NSC +139 $250
Ivanov SUB +1040 $40

Lewis -175 $1250
Stewart KO +250 $100

Chookagian +130 $250

Grasso +140 $150

Xiaonan +110 $250

Yan (-240) + Suarez (-600) -153 $710

Yan (-240) + Lewis (-160) + Chookagian (+135) + Xiaonan (+110) +1036 $100

Torres (-130) + Shevchenko (-1000) -106 $400 (Javier Torres in Combate Americas)


Had to parlay a bit to circumvent limits. Interested in the overs in Suarez, Ivanov, and Shevchenko fights if odds improve. Don't love a single bet here

+$557. Lewis was a bad bet and ended up being a 3.1k swing, but more than happy to come out ahead, I've hated these last 3 cards for betting. Can't wait for the next card in 2 weeks, if my 4 main bets hit I'd win 11.5k with my current bets.
 
I got fucked on this event due to a mixture of things. I think I need to reassess and I HAVE to watch these events sober.
 
Yan 5k to win 1800$ (very risky)

Moraes 1k to win 800$

Yan+ suarez 800$ to win 500$

Lewis 350$ to win 180$

Chookagian 250$ to win 220$

Ferg 700$ to win 420$

Ivanov 250$ To win 280$

Im gonna probably play sterling ml and shev decision. Good luck everyone

+ 1880$ great event for me, should have put more on Tony and less on moraes. Im big on lee and barb for the next event.
 
100 Euro Sterling 1.72
100 Euro Cerrone 2.25
50 Euro ivanov 2.25
50 Euro Calderwood 1.90
10 Euro Kowalkiewicz+ moraes+Rivera 11.65
well, didnt went like expected but thank God i only used money which i can afford lose ,atleast i was entertained
 
Moraes -125 5u
Ferg -135 5u
Munhoz +105 1u
Yan -3.5 -185 2.25u
Ivavov +115 1u
Stewart +195 0.5u
Wineland -130 1.3u
Kattar -140 1.4u
Hill +170 1u

Good luck, fellas!

Was way overexposed on Marlon and the ME ruined my night. Huge swing on that last fight. Ended up -5u. Someone commented in the other thread that he’s had so little ring time the last couple of years bc of all the quick finishes. Little bit of doubt creeped in after I read that bc I hadn’t really thought about that. Ugh. Feels bad you guys.
 
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