UFC 242 Khabib vs Poirier Official Bets

4u on the Eagle

Might up my unit size here since I'm playing with peanuts. The Diamond NSC might be might be a good hedge, anyone think a decision is even possible for the dog given the venue? Think Khabib has earned a little juice don't see Dustin putting him away. As a fan I'm on Dustin as a bettor I'm trying to find reasons not to bet the house on the Eagle
 
Anyone think a decision is even possible for the dog given the venue?
Venue shouldn't make too much difference, most if not all of the judges will be flown in for the event the only thing that could influence them is the crowd.
 
Venue shouldn't make too much difference, most if not all of the judges will be flown in for the event the only thing that could influence them is the crowd.
Good call still I don't see Khabib losing a decision without a riot at least, looks like Dustin faded late against Holloway the way he kept going for the clinch. Had this one pinned for a while, Khabib gasses him to a decision or we see more of that smothering top pressure and a GNP finish. Nothing but respect for Dustin, but Khabibs discipline and drive are had to bet against.
 
Good call still I don't see Khabib losing a decision without a riot at least, looks like Dustin faded late against Holloway the way he kept going for the clinch. Had this one pinned for a while, Khabib gasses him to a decision or we see more of that smothering top pressure and a GNP finish. Nothing but respect for Dustin, but Khabibs discipline and drive are had to bet against.
Dustin was slowing but his recovery inbetween rounds was crazy plus it took a very high output for him to fade which he's doubtful to have against Khabib. I'd be surprised if Khabib finishes him, even Khabibs sub threat hasn't looked particularly great recently. Had to muscle his way to them on Johnson and Conor neither of which have great grappling and he failed repeatedly to against Iaquinta who had only ever lost by sub going into the fight.
 
Dustin was slowing but his recovery inbetween rounds was crazy plus it took a very high output for him to fade which he's doubtful to have against Khabib. I'd be surprised if Khabib finishes him, even Khabibs sub threat hasn't looked particularly great recently. Had to muscle his way to them on Johnson and Conor neither of which have great grappling and he failed repeatedly to against Iaquinta who had only ever lost by sub going into the fight.
I'm leaning Eagle decision. Took alot of output from Dustin against Max but he still couldn't finish him even fighting up a weight class. Khabib smothers people with wrestling pressure the same way Max does with boxing but wrestling that long is exhausting and I've got to give the cardio edge to the champ.
 
Got these beautiful arbs a while back

Khabib -275 $1547.36/$557.05
Khabib -300 $1200/$396
Khabib -300 $2087.50/$688.87
Khabib -300 $1010/$333.33
Total profit: $332.11

Caesars total deposit: $1738
Porier +350 $468/1638
Porier +350 $355/$1242.50
Porier +350 $617/$2159.50
Porier +350 $298/$1043
Total profit: $333

William hill
Khabib no dec -125 $1505/$1204 $66

Dk
Khabib dec +138 $1138/$1570.44 $65.44
 
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1.5u Khabib Dec +242
2u Khabib Most TDs, Most Significant Strikes and Win
1u Poirier No TDs and Khabib to get 8+ TDs.
1u Poirier +300
0.25u Poirier KO +600
0.07u Poirier R1 KO +1400

2u Barboza -110 -2.125
0.5u Barboza Dec +333
0.25u Barboza R3 or Dec +210
1u Felder NSC +154
0.5u FGTD +125

0.5u Makhachev-Ramos FDGTD +240

4u Taisumov -250

3u Madge -161
0.2u Madge Sub +700

2.33u Blaydes -278
0.25u Blaydes Dec +200

4u Lee -175

2u Moras +180

1u Belal Muhammad + Bader -116
1u Belal Muhammad +Newell (won) -110

1u Akhmedov +151
0.5u Akhmedov Dec +175

0.5u Murphy +375
 
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Poirier KO - 0.5u for 2.55u (+510)
Poirier R3 - 0.2u for 3.60u (+1800)
Poirier R4 - 0.2u for 5.00u (+2500)
Poirier R5 - 0.2u for 6.60u (+3300)

Mackhachev ML - 3.6u for 1.89u (-190)

Taisumov ML - 2.64u for 1u (-264; originally on CDF)

Moras ML - 1.5u for 2.55u (+170)

Muhammad ML - 5u for 2.13u (-240)

Taleb ML - 2u for 2.1u (+105)

Lee ML - 2.4u for 1.45u (-165)
 
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$500 Khabib ML
I think the Eagle gets his prey. Not unloading the 401k on it out of respect for the Diamonds skill and drive

$50 KGB Lee
Hate I missed the opener but I still think she has stupid value. Calderwood is gonna do what kick the legs, move forward in a straight line and try to wrestle? I think Lee's ground game is solid often favoring position. Doesn't hurt Jo Jo just got pieced up at UFC 238 but wmma...
Adding a few parlays and that's probably it

Blaydes, Belal, Lee $30 for $41
 
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Got 3k $ on Khabib and Islam win @1.7 odds. Islam is facing a dude thats 10-2 with win stats of 70% submission, 10%ko/tko and 20% decision. Islam will never get submitted by this guy so it's a clear win since the other guy has no KO ability almost.

Khabib will maul poirier like he did with MJ. Easy bet, free money.
 
Got 3k $ on Khabib and Islam win @1.7 odds. Islam is facing a dude thats 10-2 with win stats of 70% submission, 10%ko/tko and 20% decision. Islam will never get submitted by this guy so it's a clear win since the other guy has no KO ability almost.

Khabib will maul poirier like he did with MJ. Easy bet, free money.
When you say that "Islam will never get subbed by this guy", you do realize you're talking about an ADCC champion? Also, saying that Davi Ramos "has no KO ability" is just plain wrong. His striking is rudimentary, but he's always throwing as hard as he can.
 
When you say that "Islam will never get subbed by this guy", you do realize you're talking about an ADCC champion? Also, saying that Davi Ramos "has no KO ability" is just plain wrong. His striking is rudimentary, but he's always throwing as hard as he can.
Shhhh. Let wikicappers do their thing.
 
Taisumov 1500$ To win 600$

Lee 350$ to win 165$

Taleb 220$ to win 200$

Poirier 150$ to win 525$
Khabib dec 160$ to win 320$

Madge 280$ to win 162$

Mackhachev 500$ to win 150$


Good luck guys
 
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Nurmagomedov DEC +225 $250

Makhachev -212 $1500

Taisumov -243 $2500

Lee -173 $750

Taleb -115 $350

Madge -135 $750

Early plays
 
Taleb 200$ x 1.96

Bader 500$ x1.4

Lee 400$ x1.57

Barboza 125$ x 1.75

CDF 50$ x3.1

Moras 100$x 2.63

Khabib dec 100$x3

Ramos 50$x3.7
 
Got 3k $ on Khabib and Islam win @1.7 odds. Islam is facing a dude thats 10-2 with win stats of 70% submission, 10%ko/tko and 20% decision. Islam will never get submitted by this guy so it's a clear win since the other guy has no KO ability almost.

Khabib will maul poirier like he did with MJ. Easy bet, free money.
Show us the betslip
 
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