UFC 244 Masvidal vs Diaz Official Bets

Hopefully I've recovered from that stroke I had going heavy on Askren. Hoping for a more tactical approach this week.

●5 for 4u Stephen the southern gentleman with the sick ass karate. I think he may show a few improvements
●5 for 4u Derrick The Black Beast
Big boy Blagoy never looked too big to me. Hopefully his leaner frame is for more than getting in that Lambo
●Chookagian 3 for 2u I don't hate her striking reminding me of a female Felder barking her opponents around the cage

Parlays time
Hakeem+Chook 1 for 2u
Andrei+Lewis+Hakeem 2 for 12u
(This one might just be a bit of fun)
Diaz+Burgos+Lewis+Walker+Hakeem
2 for 35u
Best of luck dudes hope we all cash and get dinner and a show.
Off to Upstate Karate strictly for fandom sake. Back soon with a pic or 2
 
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BURGOS -225 5U

GILLESPIE -165 3U
GASTELUM -175 3U

DIAZ +150 2U

IVANOV -120 1U
TAVARES +140 1U
ANDERSON +150 1U
ARCE +120 1U
RENCOUNTRE +120 1U
 
Why would anyone have went hard on Wideman, like what was the reasoning? That he can do some wrestling?

Reyes looked like dogshit against Volkan, who's wrestling/BJJ isn't even a fraction as good as Weidman's.

All it would've taken was 1 takedown. But just like Rockhold's fight, easier said than done.

A few other reasons too, but this isn't the thread for it. He's still my boy though.
 
£5 Tavares for £11.25
£5 Nate for £11.25
£5 Rencountre for £10
£5 Dawodu for £8.64
£5 Black Beast for £9.50

Came out just about exactly even after a ton of bets in October, so hopefully November is better and I can start to think about going in heavier.
 
2u wonderboy -115
1u diaz dec +300
Small diaz rd 4,5
1u till +195
.1u Gillespie rd 3
 
Taped 5 fights this week, with one being a very obvious no-bet (Anderson-Walker) and one a very surprising no-bet (Lewis-Ivanov), as I originally wanted to bet Lewis hard, but a combination of his line worsening from small plus to small minus numbers and the tape indicating that Ivanov had improved in his last fight convincing me not to. Who knows; might put a small wager on it later.

As for the rest, Chookagian vs. Maia is an annoying conundrum; I will feel perfectly fine if it loses, and I will be furious with myself if Chookagian wins clearly like I believe she will. Oh well.

4u on Rozenstruik at -155
1.2u on Chookagian at -150
1.4u on Hakeem Dawodu at an average of about -125

Think I might add a little more to Chookagian and Rozenstruik if the Dawodu pick goes through.
 
Masvidal
Gastelum
Lewis
Lee
Luque
Amirkhani
Walker
Edmon
Arlovski
Chookagian
Lyman
Arce
 
UFC 244 Risk $3,036.21

Nate Diaz (+150) vs Jorge Masvidal $200.00 for $300.00
Nate Diaz/Jorge Masvidal fight goes the distance (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
Nate Diaz/Jorge Masvidal Draw (+8000) $15.00 for $1,200.00

Darren Till (+215) vs Kelvin Gastelum $100.00 for $215.00

Stephen Thompson (-103) vs Vicente Luque $206.19 for $200.00
Stephen Thompson (-110) vs Vicente Luque $202.02 for $200.00

Derrick Lewis (+100) vs Blagoy Ivanov $200.00 for $200.00
Derrick Lewis (+100) vs Blagoy Ivanov $200.00 for $200.00
Derrick Lewis wins in round 3 (+900) $25.00 for $225.00

Gregor Gillespie (-145) vs Kevin Lee $145.00 for $100.00
Gregor Gillespie (-150) vs Kevin Lee $300.00 for $200.00
Gregor Gillespie (-152) vs Kevin Lee $304.00 for $200.00
Kevin Lee wins by submission (+1150) $40.00 for $460.00
Gregor Gillespie/Kevin Lee Draw (+8000) $10.00 for $800.00

Johnny Walker/Corey Anderson: No Bet

Shane Burgos/Makwan Amirkhani: No Bet

Edmen Shahbazyan (-154) vs Brad Tavares $154.00 for $100.00

Andrei Arlovski (+130) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $100.00 for $130.00
Andrei Arlovski (+130) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $100.00 for $130.00
Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins in round 1 (+240) $45.00 for $108.00
Andrei Arlovski/Jairzinho Rozenstruik Over 1½ (-135) $270.00 for $200.00

Jennifer Maia (+140) vs Katlyn Chookagian $100.00 for $140.00
Jennifer Maia (+140) vs Katlyn Chookagian $100.00 for $140.00

Lyman Good/Chance Rencountre: No Bet

Hakeem Dawodu (-110) vs Julio Arce $110.00 for $100.00
 
Parlay,

Walker + Kevin Lee + Gastellum + Diaz , $94 to win $1028
 

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$5 on Lewis to win by KO to return $13
$40 on wonderboy to return $74
$20 on nate to return $48
$100 on gas to treturn $155
$5 Blagoy via dec for 13.75
$10 on Arlovski to return $21.5
$5 on a failed parlay cause it had arlovski that would have returned $58
 
Rencounter - £25 for £52

Wonder Boy - £50 for £86

Black Beast - £25 for £52

Tavares - £50 for £110

Fighter Kevin Lee - £22 for £53

Burgos + Masvidal £25 for £55

Burgos + Gastelum £25 for £53

Gastelum £50 for £76

Arce £50 for £105

Fighter Kevin Lee by finish £20 for £140

Arce/Dowodu GTD £100 for £150

I have Masvidal finishing a couple of parleys, I'll probably play Burgos and I like the look of Kevin Lee and Arlovski's lines.

Have a feeling I am either way off and get wrecked this card or I clean up.

Pre fights getting crushed, cashed out on Wonderboy, can't trust his chin and I was thinking this card is either a veteran's showing or a changing of the guard. It's looking like a changing of the guard.

Fuck Till though, sticking with Gastelum
 
5U Hurricane -180

3 U Anderson +135

3u Gastelum -160

2 U Lee +130

1 U Mas -160

1 U Chook -130

1U Thompson-130

2U jair -150

#fade40yearolds
#longliveAssad
#fuckCIA

Hedged a lil with 1 U Till + 200
Up a lil over 10U

Based!

Long live the Syrian empire
 
2u on Hakeem at 1.74

1u on Jennifer Maia at 2.35

2u on Jairzinho at 1.67

2u on Tavares at 2.50

3u on Burgos at 1.40

2u on Stephenson at 1.87

1u on Till at 2.7


I was thinking of Nate Diaz, Rencountre(Likely hitting it), Corey Anderson(Probably not, too scared of him getting KO'ed) and Lee.
Fuck it, i never bet a lot prebet, but this is a rare event:

2u on Masvidal at 1.65

1u extra on Till at 3.20

1u on Lee at 2.50

3u on Hakeem 1.77

1u on Hakeem NSC at 2.15

1u on Corey Anderson at 2.40

1u on Tavares NSC at 3.45

Awesome freakin event! Livebetting was really nice and the pre-bets also amazing.
Profit/loss: +12.17u

I was glad i had confidence in Till and Stephenson, even though many had their opponents. I got kinda scared, but couldnt say no to those lines. Hope everyone had a great event. Entertaining and betting wise.
 
Taped 5 fights this week, with one being a very obvious no-bet (Anderson-Walker) and one a very surprising no-bet (Lewis-Ivanov), as I originally wanted to bet Lewis hard, but a combination of his line worsening from small plus to small minus numbers and the tape indicating that Ivanov had improved in his last fight convincing me not to. Who knows; might put a small wager on it later.

As for the rest, Chookagian vs. Maia is an annoying conundrum; I will feel perfectly fine if it loses, and I will be furious with myself if Chookagian wins clearly like I believe she will. Oh well.

4u on Rozenstruik at -155
1.2u on Chookagian at -150
1.4u on Hakeem Dawodu at an average of about -125

Think I might add a little more to Chookagian and Rozenstruik if the Dawodu pick goes through.

Added another 0.5u on Chookagian at -135 and also 1.1u on Masvidal at -135.

Went a perfect 4/4 for the night and +5.7u.

Don't regret how much I bet on Chookagian and Dawodu. I capped Dawodu as -175 and he fought like it. That's a bet between 1 and 2u. Chookagian I thought could go 1 one of 3 ways; worst-case was she fought like -100, best-case like -400, and the middle case was -200. She fought like a middle-case, which is again where I like to hit bets between 1 and 2u.

Rozenstruik I was thinking of adding more all the way up until the intros, but I thought I might have some weird blindspot with Arlovski, as I lost a decent amount betting Rothwell at -185 in the rematch and SHOULD have lost a huge amount betting Sakai at -135 only to be bailed out by a robbery.

Don't regret passing on Ivanov vs. Lewis at evens; Ivanov had him hurt with punches, almost finished him twice on the ground (stupidly overcommitting both times to the keylock, allowing Lewis to scramble to his feet), and won round 3 with superior cardio.

What I do regret is being too lazy with my tape-watching to properly cap Masvidal vs. Diaz, and thus justify more than a 1u bet there. That was easily a 5u spot I missed out on!

Oh well, can't complain too much about a perfect week! Look forward to next week's card in the city I was born in, and hope I can cap more fights this time.
 
Up 7.5u. No idea if that's higher or lower than prefight (have limited fucks to give regarding that). Made a little livebetting Dawodu and Till but dropped 1.5u on Blagoy so probably about equal.

Over 200 units for the year now and made a decent amount fading my countrymen in the Rugby so happy enough.
 
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