Really wish I had more time to tape the other fights. Life is super busy, unfortunately. I no-bet Antonina Shevchenko vs. Andrea Lee after a lot of thought and study, but have
3u on Oliveira at -130
1u on Zombie Girl at +208
Added 1.6u on Jacare at -131 (lost)
1.2u on Araujo at -125 after round 2 (lost)
2u on Bontorin at -115 after round 2 (win)
+3.32u overall
Perfectly fine with the small play on Zombie Girl and not going bigger. I worried that she would get taken down repeatedly, which happened, but Mazany is so worthless standing that if Cachoeira could stay upright for any period of time she had a good chance of a stoppage, which indeed happened. Hard to put too much on someone who can get taken down at will and can't get up, though.
Okay passing on Lee-Shevchenko. I was initially very excited to play Lee at +145, as physically, she should dominate Antonina, but she is such a perennial underachiever and actually regressed considerably in the Modafferi rematch. Antonina has been improving in terms of her grappling, too. Fight was a bestcase scenario for Lee, where she actually fought up to her abilities, intelligently, AND showed improvement, but obviously, that's unpredictable.
Okay with the loss on Jacare, too. I knew there was a chance the Brazilian legend was completely washed-up, which was in fact the case, but I figured he would probably have a striking edge (yep) and at least a wrestling edge (shockingly, no). I knew Muniz wasn't going to knock him out as he lacks power, and his cardio is actually worse than Jacare's, but I'm okay on something as unlikely as him subbing Souza in round 1, heh.
Okay with the live-bet loss on Chookagian. I had Araujo up 2-0 at that point, knew she would lose round 3, and only didn't go harder on the Brazilian because I knew a bad decision was very much in play.
Okay with not going harder on Bontorin. The horrific scoring this event had me a little spooked. If I had more confidence in the judges, that would have been 3u or even 4u territory.
Okay with not adding more to Oliveira when he was +170 after round 1, although I strongly considered it.
NOT okay having strong leans on Wright and Lutz at nearly even money but not playing either since I didn't have time to tape. My life is constantly busy right now, but I have to carve out some time for these juicy odds!