UFC Fight Night 183 - Official Bets

I think the old dogs are being undervalued due to Souza and JDS getting battered last week. The difference is this week they still have some fight left in them.

£300 WB +100 to win £300

£300 Aldo -149 to win £200

£300 Pereia -115 to win £261

£350 Moraes -137 to win £255.5
£30 Moraes rd 1 +500 to win £150

£50 Tybura decision +250 to win £125

£150 Pettis -213 to win £70.5

£75 Arroyo +100 to win £75

£100 Durden +142 to win £142

Also feel pretty confident on my boxing bets this week...

£300 Canelo decision +210 to win £630
£50 Canelo UD +300 to win £150

... Sadistic betting 5 grand on Pettis, now that is one brave man <30>
 
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Geoff Neal at 2.05 for 1 unit
Greg Hardy at 1.90 for 1 unit

Arroyo KO/TKO at 7.00 for 0.5 units
Tefon ITD at 1.72 for 1 unit
Marlon Vera round 3 at 17.00 for 0.2 units

I will most likely also bet Vera straight at some point, just watching the line to see if there is any significant movement and I may play Rob Font too.
 
Gillian Robertson (-120) 2u
Michel Pereira (-130) 2u
Stephen Thompson (-105) 2u
Marcin Tybura (-105) 1u
 
Wonderboy decision + Vera ITD + Tybura decision parlay = +7381
$15 to win $1,122.18

$20 Tybura + Santos +271

$10 Pettis draw + Aldo draw= +542600

$40 Tybura ml +100
$25 Vera ml +125
$30 wonderboy ml +100

Thinking about making the exact same parley with Vera,tybura and WB but Aldo coming back in form and Hardy scoring some Hail Mary Punch kinda scares me.

Update:
Made 2 Parlays 5 bucks each:
1.
Aldo Vera - Doesn't go the distance for 2,30

Moraes Font - Font for 2,30

Pereira Khaos - Pereira ITD for 2,70

Tybura Hardy - Doesn't go the distance for 1,55

WB Neal - WB ITD for 3,20

2.
Winn Arroyo - Arroyo for 1,50

Aldo Vera - Vera ITD for 4,70

WB Neal - WB by decision for 4,50

Tybura Hardy- Tybura for 1,95


Will post the Slip if I win one of the 2
 
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• Thompson ML -120 $450 for $375 (BAS)
• Thompson ML +105 $500 for $525 (Westgate)
• Tybura ML +100 $300 for $300 (WilliamHill)
• Williams/Pereira O1.5 -115 $57.50 for $50 (WilliamHill)
• Vera decision +305 $50 for $152.50 (Circa)
• Font ML +135 $50 for $67.50 (Circa)
• Kianzad ML +145 $50 for $72.50 (Westgate)
• Morono decision +355 $10 for $35.50 (Circa)
• Nchukwi/Pickett U1.5 +120 $20 for $24 (Circa)
• Durden ML +135 $20 for $27 (Westgate)


• Boise/SJSU O56 -110 $110 for $100 (WilliamHill)
 
Been an absolutely crazy week, including my fiancee's car being broken into and both of us chasing after the thieves in the dead of night. (Her in nightwear!) Thus, I only got to start taping on Thursday. Only one no-bet (Robertson-Santos) among the bunch, although the numbers could be much better;

1.18u on Hardy at -118 (lousy number)
2u on Eubanks at -147 (mediocre number)
2.5u on Morono at +170 (lousy number)

May play a prop or two on Hardy-Tybura.
 
£3 Arroyo
£3 Thompson
£3 Tybura
£3 Moraes

£1 free bet Tybura dec
£0.5 Robertson + Eubanks
£0.5 Robertson + Nchukwi
£0.2 Moraes R1 + Nchukwi + Eubanks
£0.3 Moraes R1
 
Santos 220 to win 200

Arroyo 400 to win 290
Arroyo KO 50 to win 300
Winn DEC 90 to win 247

Pettis 1,200 to win 577

Moraes RD1 100 to win 500

Perreira 515 to win 400

Aldo KO/DEC 800 to win 704

Wonderboy KO/DEC 364 to win 400
Main U4.5 400 to win 246
 
Thompson 1u +100

Aldo/Vera draw 0.1u +5000

Pereira 2u -118

Tybura 1u -103

Pettis ITD 0.4u +245

Winn DEC 0.25u +245

Durden KO 0.5u +350

Moraes + Arroyo 0.6u +174
Thompson/Neal u4.5 + Pettis 1u +135
Moraes + Pettis 1u +144

Not feeling too confident. Thompson, Tybura, Pereira could all get knocked out, Pettis might be done etc.
Anyway, last card of the year. Good luck, everybody!
 
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Unit size: $200
 
Been an absolutely crazy week, including my fiancee's car being broken into and both of us chasing after the thieves in the dead of night. (Her in nightwear!) Thus, I only got to start taping on Thursday. Only one no-bet (Robertson-Santos) among the bunch, although the numbers could be much better;

1.18u on Hardy at -118 (lousy number)
2u on Eubanks at -147 (mediocre number)
2.5u on Morono at +170 (lousy number)

May play a prop or two on Hardy-Tybura.

Did you catch 'em? Were uppercuts handed out or what, mate?
 
I just added Thompson/Neal U4.5 -155 $310 for $200.

I figure if Neal wins, it'll be ITD. If Wonderboy wins, it can be ITD and by decision, but Neal has never fought more than 3 rounds, and he also hasn't fought for 1 year, and he was just in the hospital a few months ago and said "he almost died," which makes me think his cardio might not be great after 2.5 rounds.
 
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