UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev

Captain Chesapeake said:
Saidyokub sub +800

guys got a tight guillotine. He hunts subs. Lawrence shoots constantly and can’t hold anyone down. Lots of scramble scenarios
Click to expand...
He has a good guilotine but his ground game looked a bit suspect
 
rille31 said:
He has a good guilotine but his ground game looked a bit suspect
Click to expand...
He got held down for a while in his fight with Jones. He was a bit tired and Jones has pretty good jiu jitsu

he took that fight on 4 days notice. I expect him to look better. He’s good enough to hold his own on the ground with Lawrence

i almost wanted to bet Lawrence when he was around evens but ended up passing. I think saidyokub could give him some trouble, but current lines aren’t good enough for me to bet against Lawrence

also want to see Lawrence’s game off his back. Said could end up taking him down with his judo
 
Captain Chesapeake said:
He got held down for a while in his fight with Jones. He was a bit tired and Jones has pretty good jiu jitsu

he took that fight on 4 days notice. I expect him to look better. He’s good enough to hold his own on the ground with Lawrence

i almost wanted to bet Lawrence when he was around evens but ended up passing. I think saidyokub could give him some trouble, but current lines aren’t good enough for me to bet against Lawrence

also want to see Lawrence’s game off his back. Said could end up taking him down with his judo
Click to expand...
Yeah but I didnt like the sequenze where Jones passed his guard and mounted him, he looked lost
 
ExitLUPin said:
Onama is good but -700? lol... I'll take some of Armfield +500. Prob play sub and decision props too.
Click to expand...
Way to high for me and besides you wont get much if he wins.
To bad his -700 not a great fight card for betting tomorrow, maybe i will try to find some two dogs and RDA and maybe one favorite.
 
PuertoRican said:
Brundage decision +400
The O2.5 is -130, and Gore is only a -140 favorite. I assume Brundage will use his wrestling in this fight. I think Gore is tough enough to survive.

Kennedy R1 +550
I think this fight will end U1.5 rounds, and Roberson as been finished in his last three fights in a row. 2 finishes were in R1, and the other finish was 25 seconds into R2.

Petrosyan decision +600
If he can stop the TD, then he'll win the volume striking against an outside striker who doesn't throw as many strikes.

RDA decision +350
If you think he's going to win.
Click to expand...

I can see RDA getting a finish in the 4th or 5th. Probably gonna play both rounds. Can't imagine Fiziev's mat work is very good like Moicano's is and RDA has the pace and cardio. Fiziev started slowing against Bobby at the end of the 2nd and really didn't have much at all in the 3rd where he lost wide. He lost the 3rd against Diakiese too. Neither have the grappling or clinch pressure of RDA either.
 
ExitLUPin said:
I can see RDA getting a finish in the 4th or 5th. Probably gonna play both rounds. Can't imagine Fiziev's mat work is very good like Moicano's is and RDA has the pace and cardio. Fiziev started slowing against Bobby at the end of the 2nd and really didn't have much at all in the 3rd where he lost wide. He lost the 3rd against Diakiese too. Neither have the grappling or clinch pressure of RDA either.
Click to expand...
Imagine how gassed he’s gonna be if Rda brings his wrestling shoes

if he gets a take down with control time in round one odds will be even
 
Finally getting around to this card since I've been busy with baseball, CFL, and WNBA. The life of a gambler is weird.

I only found four fights that interest me.

Zahabi/Turcois: I'm not sure what Turcois or TAM have done to deserve this price, but I think it's bad. Zahabi has very few miles on him and can always be a dangerous striker and Turcois has shown his ceiling. Sure, he's likely to grapple and make it ugly and drown Zahabi but not at this price.

Silva/Nurmagomedov: This is priced like it's Khabib or something. Said hits really hard and from odd angles but Silva has a great chin and excels at making fights messy. I hit the over and Silva small.

Petrosyan/Borralho: This one is based on a small amount of tape but I was impressed with how Petrosyan handled adversity against a really tough Gregory Rodrigues, and Borralho wasn't that impressive to me. He was very happy with his performance but he was sloppy on top and his striking was wild. Petrosyan strikes me as the better fighter in overall and This was the biggest odds discrepancy I had.

RDA/Fiziev: I think RDA is the perfect type of fighter to beat Fiziev. He's certainly a better wrestler than Riddell and he's fine controlling against the cage and slowly working for takedowns. He's fought the best of the best and has strong cardio, and he shouldn't let Fiziev have the space to get his timing down. These odds surprised me and I think RDA can break Fiziev on the ground and get a finish.
 
Stat_Collector said:
bummer i like sub 4 or 5 2500+ 2800+
Click to expand...

Yes Bet Regal has good odds on the sub round props. R5 pays +6600. Decision +439 which I think is more likely but ya never know. Money's been going in on Fiziev judging by the line jump a few days ago. Everyone here also seems to be on RDA which is borderline frightening.
 
JC615 said:
Yes Bet Regal has good odds on the sub round props. R5 pays +6600. Decision +439 which I think is more likely but ya never know. Money's been going in on Fiziev judging by the line jump a few days ago. Everyone here also seems to be on RDA which is borderline frightening.
Click to expand...
i live in a non legal Us state :( ive been dying to use eu sites .
 
Stat_Collector said:
i live in a non legal Us state :( ive been dying to use eu sites .
Click to expand...
I'm in Canada, myself... I'm sure it'll be legalized eventually is all states. Cannabis too.

What does everyone think about the Calvillo/Nunes fight? Nunes decision +224?
 
Stat_Collector said:
2024 where im from, stuck in legislation.
Click to expand...
Hopefully your state doesn't go the same route mine did and make it legal only on tribal casinos and no online betting. I rarely bet anymore because I have other things I would rather do than fight traffic and crowds to get to a casino 30+ minutes away.
 
Does anyone know where i can find weigh in photos? the guy who usually post them here hasn't done if for the last few events :(
 
joenewbie said:
Hopefully your state doesn't go the same route mine did and make it legal only on tribal casinos and no online betting. I rarely bet anymore because I have other things I would rather do than fight traffic and crowds to get to a casino 30+ minutes away.
Click to expand...
they did do that and then one casino sued the other, and then draftkings and fanduel attempted to get the signatures for 2022 ballot but failed. so we have to wait till 2024 as it will have enough signatures by then, should get passed by then.
 
@ Stat Collector -- any greasy parlays in queue after your huge winnings recently?
 
I have no plan to bet on Garrett Armfield, but his decision line is +1400, and his ITD line is +900 on BAS.

Armfield is mostly a finisher when he wins, but he won a decision two fights ago, and his previous fight against Onama was a decision loss when they were amateurs.

Edit: I noticed that Onama was -275 over Lingo +225 before that fight was cancelled. After watching a little bit of tape on Armfield, I'd take Armfield over Lingo if they fought, which means that Onama's price is way too wide. That being said, I do expect Onama to win.
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,237,108
Messages
55,467,926
Members
174,786
Latest member
plasterby

Share this page

Back
Top