UFC on ESPN 14: Whittaker vs. Till

Broe. said:
What is your point? She is an underdog in every fight because she sucks. Her decision line is +170 btw. I see 0 value.
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She’s fought the top tier of the ufc, and if she doesnt get finished it’s often going to a split decision or draw or she outright wins. What about this fight doesn’t scream 50/50 to you?

Yea I’d like the ml to be +150 ideally and the decision line +200. Whatever
 
Naught2Sixty said:
Betting the house on Pannie then are we?
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I have a decent bet on Pannie, she is much more technical than Bethe, I also thought she looked decent vs Avila, I give her a 80% chance to win the first round vs Bethe, after that I hope she can maintain the pace. I bet her at + odds btw, I would stay away from it now. Bethe is also 37 now btw.
 
Broe. said:
I have a decent bet on Pannie, she is much more technical than Bethe, I also thought she looked decent vs Avila, I give her a 80% chance to win the first round vs Bethe, after that I hope she can maintain the pace. I bet her at + odds btw, I would stay away from it now. Bethe is also 37 now btw.
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I said I was done with wmma betting, but after looking into it again, I came to the conclusion there might be a little value on Beth.
Bethe should be -120 to me.
Kianzad looked bad against Avila, getting knocked down a couple times and ragdolled against the cage.
I'm doing a bit of mma math here, but I would have bet Sijara over Kianzad all day, and Bethe defeated Sijara.
+170 dec ain't bad
 
ill800 said:
She’s fought the top tier of the ufc, and if she doesnt get finished it’s often going to a split decision or draw or she outright wins. What about this fight doesn’t scream 50/50 to you?

Yea I’d like the ml to be +150 ideally and the decision line +200. Whatever
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top tier? she is just fighting other women. Kianzad struggles with wrestlers, I think she has a pretty decent stand up, I think she will outpoint bethe comfortably.
 
Broe. said:
top tier? she is just fighting other women. Kianzad struggles with wrestlers, I think she has a pretty decent stand up, I think she will outpoint bethe comfortably.
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the top ranked fighters of the division, consistently
 
Gustafsson was saying in an interview that his main sparring partner is Khamzat. Don't get me wrong, the guy is a beast and is a future contender, but he's a welterweight...I might take the over 2.5 rounds, but if you're really confident in a resurgent Gus I might be a little hesitant.
 
NewLockGuy said:
I will never forget the low output staring contest that Boser's debut was. Huge red flags.
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Was it? He looked great in his debut against a guy with a crazy reach advantage.

He's a HW with good cardio who's good at grinding out decisions. He's only been finished once in 24 fights, against a who's who of non-UFC hw's. I think his line is very justified.
 
XociDe said:


In case anyone hasn't seen this and wants a closer look at Till.

I think he's looking very sharp and focused.
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pure superstition bs but i dont like it when a fighter talks about fight someone else after he "beats" his upcoming opponent.
 
Broe. said:
I have a decent bet on Pannie, she is much more technical than Bethe, I also thought she looked decent vs Avila, I give her a 80% chance to win the first round vs Bethe, after that I hope she can maintain the pace. I bet her at + odds btw, I would stay away from it now. Bethe is also 37 now btw.
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She looked scared against Avilia, shelling up and backing off every time she got hit
 
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