UFC on ESPN+ 22 Blachowicz vs Jacare Official Bets

[Deleted member 316645]

2u Jacare +165
.5u Jacare decision +800
2u Craig +220

 

[ApplesVild]

Cashed out on my Wellington bet.

Bad call that one, oh well

 

[HeadsUpPoker]

0.5u on Isabella De Padua at 3.30

2u on Randy brown at 2.20

1u on Bobby green at 2.25

3u on James Krause at 1.54
0.5 on James Krause DEC at 2.70

3u on Thurman at 2.70
0.25u on Thurman SUB at 11.00

1u on Muniz at 1.90

0.25u on Oliveira TKO/KO at 7.50

1u on Paul Craig at 3.40
0.25u on Paul Craig DEC at 7.10

The winning streak continues and time for a break for 3 weeks. Amazing year so far and hopefully the best is yet to come in the last month of the year.
Total profit/loss: +9.15u

Hope everyone had a great event.

 

[Bastaille]

Cortez 1k to win 610$

Blachowicz 500$ to win 285$

Craig 180$ to win 432$

Brown 250$ to win 275$

+2420$, adding 500$ on brown after round 1 and putting 1k on oliveira won me a lot of money. One of the worst event i saw in a longtime.

 

[Jordan3399]

Bit of a shit event all round. Up 0.5u but a frustrating card, Perez looked straight up awful, thought Green edged Trinaldo but ehh Brazil, Rua dec is just kinda baffling and I wanted to slam Jan live (he won rounds 2-5 comfortably imo Jacare did nothing but cage push) but after the shit show before I wasn't keen to risk it. Arroyo and Muniz were both shit as well.

Up like 4.5u on Bedford in the bareknuckle at least but that really was a lackluster way to end the last 12 weeks of non-stop UFC.

 

[ApplesVild]

Randy Brown £100 for £220

Paul Craig £50 for £120

Flash Gordan £50 for £150

Ramos £100 for £153 < Cashed out on this, just not feeling it.

Melo £50 for £131

Turman £50 for 105

Jan + Paul Craig £50 for £221

I like Trinaldo and Kraus too, may play them pre bet yet but probably just see about getting a decent line live bet < Actially changed my mind here, took Green based on youth, higher out put, his back being against the fence and looking very good as weigh ins. Too Sergio small just because he looks like he's been on a good dose of the special sauce

Cashed out on Ramos and Turman, should have stuck with it. I did great live betting so it's fine. Jan decision at 10.00... Wish I had gone crazy on it









Cashed out on this 10 man parley with just Jan left to go, would have hit for £1,500 if Paul Craig had won

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

5u on Craig. Will be playing a KO prop. I think Shogun is going to sleep.

probably going 5u on my boy the Polish Hammer. He won me big time against Rockhold. Can’t see any PTV for Jacare at this point in his career. Maybe gift decision or miracle sub in the 1st.

5u on Blachowicz @ -205/-185 won
5u on Craig @+240 draw
1u Wellington at +100 won
1u Green @ +105 loss

added 4u on Jan dec at +340 making tonight a 19.7u win for me

 

[Red_2]

Cashed out on Ramos and Turman, should have stuck with it. I did great live betting so it's fine. Jan decision at 10.00... Wish I had gone crazy on it

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Cashed out on this 10 man parley with just Jan left to go, would have hit for £1,500 if Paul Craig had won

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Same, I fucking murdered Jan dec going into the 5th @9.25 Definitely getting limited. I need to start livebetting boxing...

Such a terrible event for betting and watching.

 

[ApplesVild]

Same, I fucking murdered Jan dec going into the 5th @9.25 Definitely getting limited. I need to start livebetting boxing...

Such a terrible event for betting and watching.

The judging in boxing is so inconsistent and bias it's frustrating

 

[Austisthunder]

3u Andrade -175

2u Olives -250

2u Jan -200

1 U shogun -170

1 u perez -150

Up another 2.5 U
Nice & easy slow & steady

 

[Red_2]

The judging in boxing is so inconsistent and bias it's frustrating

Oh the bias is hilarious at times. I wish it was possible to listen to everything but commentary. You seem to do well livebetting the boxing, I need to get on that shit big time.

Edit... Fuck Craig. Cut him already.

 

[RuthlessRich]

Hit some nice parlays this event, as well as a huge bet on over 1.5 rounds for main event. Thought that line should've been lined closer to -400, with both guys very durable and Jan showing great takedown defense against Rockhold.

However, Muniz vs Arroyo slopfest and Melo losing cost me some big parlay payouts.

Hope everyone made out with some good cold cash on a rather lackluster event.

3 Week break means I gotta fill my inner degen on soccer, NFL, and NBA :S

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Taped only 4 fights this week, in part because I taped 2 fights for Bellator. Sadly, Lipski vs. Macedo was pulled as I was pondering how much money to put on Macedon on near-evens. Trinaldo vs. Green was a no-bet, too. Thus, we are left with just

2.5u on Jacare at +160
3u on Cortez at -200

Definitely looking forward to 3 weeks off from UFC events.

Set a new personal record with 5 live-bets;

0.6u on Padua at +250 after round 1
0.6u on Barao at +250 after round 2
0.6u on Trinaldo at +110 after round 2
0.6u on James Krause at -285 after round 1
0.6u on Shogun Rua at +185 after round 1

for a tiny 0.3u loss from that.

Overall, -1.3u loss on the night. Really happy with all my plays, but alas, sometimes the ball doesn't bounce your way. Rua-Craig being scored for Rua as it should have been would have made me roughly even on the night, and Jacare getting the nod in the main event would have made for a great winning event.

I had a chance to hedge with Blach at +180 after round 4, but even if I had known the judging at that point, I'm not sure I would have taken it.

I think Jacare really short-changed himself with his gameplan. It was ALMOST enough, but he would have had even more success coming forward against Blach and throwing in the pocket. His corner telling him he was up 3-0 (when he was up 3-0, 2-1, and 2-1 in actuality) was also bad and might have partly explained why he was even more cautious in the final 2 rounds.

Oh well, looking forward to 3 weeks off from the UFC to recharge my batteries!

 

[Sadistics]

Blachowicz -178 $300
Blachowicz/Souza O2.5 +105 $300

Ramos -169 $2000
Ramos SUB +350 $300

Rua/Craig O1.5 -125 $300

Barao/Andrade O2.5 -150 $375

Brown +139 $300

Muniz -123 $800
Muniz SUB +230 $200
Muniz/Arroyo U2.5 -115 $500

Cortez 0 for 146


Ramos (-165) + Oliveira (-250) +124 $396


Wish I passed on all the overs. Got cold feet on Cortez and freerolled, gives me those Ostovich vibes. I'd add to Jan around -150, and interested in this Lipski/Padua line.

Blachowicz -178 $300
Blachowicz/Souza O2.5 +105 $300

Ramos -169 $2000
Ramos SUB +350 $300

Rua/Craig O1.5 -125 $300

Barao/Andrade O2.5 -150 $375

Brown +139 $300

Muniz -123 $800
Muniz SUB +230 $200
Muniz/Arroyo U2.5 -115 $500

Cortez 0 for 146


Ramos (-165) + Oliveira (-250) +124 $396


+$6532, and yes I colour coded to brag about the hit rate. Had some decent live hits with Trinaldo, Krause ITD, and Blachowicz.

Finally broke the 100k bankroll mark with this event, took a bit longer than I would've liked as I'm paying bills with it, but I'm fucking hyped. See you degens in 3 weeks!

 

[Bastaille]

Blachowicz -178 $300
Blachowicz/Souza O2.5 +105 $300

Ramos -169 $2000
Ramos SUB +350 $300

Rua/Craig O1.5 -125 $300

Barao/Andrade O2.5 -150 $375

Brown +139 $300

Muniz -123 $800
Muniz SUB +230 $200
Muniz/Arroyo U2.5 -115 $500

Cortez 0 for 146


Ramos (-165) + Oliveira (-250) +124 $396


+$6532, and yes I colour coded to brag about the hit rate. Had some decent live hits with Trinaldo, Krause ITD, and Blachowicz.

Finally broke the 100k bankroll mark with this event, took a bit longer than I would've liked as I'm paying bills with it, but I'm fucking hyped. See you degens in 3 weeks!

Congratz man, that is impressive.

 

[Sadistics]

Congratz man, that is impressive.

Thanks man, looks like you're not far behind

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

Blachowicz -178 $300
Blachowicz/Souza O2.5 +105 $300

Ramos -169 $2000
Ramos SUB +350 $300

Rua/Craig O1.5 -125 $300

Barao/Andrade O2.5 -150 $375

Brown +139 $300

Muniz -123 $800
Muniz SUB +230 $200
Muniz/Arroyo U2.5 -115 $500

Cortez 0 for 146


Ramos (-165) + Oliveira (-250) +124 $396


+$6532, and yes I colour coded to brag about the hit rate. Had some decent live hits with Trinaldo, Krause ITD, and Blachowicz.

Finally broke the 100k bankroll mark with this event, took a bit longer than I would've liked as I'm paying bills with it, but I'm fucking hyped. See you degens in 3 weeks!

Fucking awesome brother. Can’t say enough how happy I am for you and anyone else that gets to that point or even halfway. All of you have motivated me to take this seriously and I look forward to the day I join the club. Congrats and keep it rolling. See you in 3 weeks!

 

[null]

Managed to turn a nice profit without making too many bets. Was very pleased to see Jan win a decision in Brazil in a competitive fight. 8.7 units total gained for the event.

UFC on ESPN+ 22 Results Risk $2,814.00

Jan Blachowicz (-151) vs Ronaldo Souza $302.00 for $200.00= $200.00

Mauricio Rua/Paul Craig Will The Fight Go To Distance? No (-230) $230.00 for $100.00= -$230.00
Live In-Play Mauricio Rua (-120) vs Paul Craig $120.00 for $100.00= Cancelled

Charles Oliveira (-380) vs Jared Gordon $1,140.00 for $300.00= $300.00
Charles Oliveira (-398) vs Jared Gordon $398.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Antonio Arroyo (+110) vs Andre Muniz $200.00 for $220.00= -$200.00
Live In-Play Antonio Arroyo (+125) vs Andre Muniz $100.00 for $125.00= -$100.00

Wellington Turman (+100) vs Markus Perez $200.00 for $200.00= $200.00

Sérgio Moraes vs James Krause: No Bet

Ricardo Ramos vs Luiz Eduardo Garagporri: No Bet

Francisco Trinaldo (-135) vs Bobby Green $270.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Francisco Trinaldo (-105) vs Bobby Green $105.000 for $100.00= $100.00
Live In-Play: Francisco Trinaldo (-120) vs Bobby Green $120.000 for $100.00= $100.00

Warlley Alves vs Randy Brown: No Bet

Renan Barao/Douglas Andrade Over 2½ (-142) $142.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Renan Barao/Douglas Andrade Over 2½ (-132) $132.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Ariane Lipski vs Isabella de Pádua: No Bet

Tracy Cortez vs Vanessa Melo: No Bet
-----

Total Profit= $870.00

 

[Soccer Steve]

Jacare ML - 1u for 1.6u (+160)
Jacare +5.5 Points - 2u for 1.67u (-120)
Craig ML - 0u for 2.3u (+230)
Rua -3.5 Points - 2.05u for 1u (-205)
Over 1.5 Rounds - 1.5 u for 1.25u (-120)
Bronx KO - 0.5u for 3.63u (+725)
Brown ML - 3u for 3.6u (+120)
Trinaldo Decision - 1.5u for 2.25u (+150)
Perez ML - 2u for 1.85u (-108)
Perez Submission - 0.25u for 1.3u (+520)
Barao Submission - 0.25u for 3.25u (+1300)
Ramos Submission - 0.5u for 1.55u (+310)
Arroyo ML - 1.23u for 1u (-123)
Cortez ML - 5u for 3.04u (-165)
Cortez Submission - 0.25u for 2.25u (+900)
O1 Round: Brown-Alves + Green-Trinaldo + Jacare-Blachowicz + Krause-Moraes - 1u for 1.45u

11.41u

Felt that a lot of plays were forced and pretty dog shit. Well, luckily the name of game tonight was forced and dog shit. The memefactory that is Paul Craig did not disappoint. I have now added Lipski, Arroyo, Rua to my black book of 'never fucking bet'. I'm convinced Perez was barfing or hurt pre-fight, the money flooding in on Turman was already very suspicious to me. Do Bronx was basically the lone bright spot tonight. Grim event for the entertainment value. 16.76u when she was all said and done though! Going to take the break to decide if I want to up units again already.

 

[Sono07]

"Uh Vai Morrer " You're going die.
All things in due time, hopefully my two card streak doesn't die in Brazil.

●Muniz 2u for 1.5u I think his grappling could offset Arroyo's kicks
●Turman 3u for ~3u He seems to have a solid fight IQ for his age I like his price
●Ramos 4u for 1.5u Big fade on Garagorri, Ramos by angles I hope
●Cortez 1.5u for .8u One of my favorites but this is wmma and she is debuting
●Brown 2u for 2u Hate the late notice but Brown has range and a great 1-2
●Jan 2u for 1u Felt better about this one last week but my gut says Souza may have the deeper tool box here

Parlay party!
●Cortez+Muniz+Ramos 2.5u for 7u
Going a little wild here but I don't hate it.
Muniz+Ramos+Cortez+Turman 2 for 12.5u
Dog city
Craig+Souza+Brown 2.5u for 38.5u

Killed with the picks on this one
●Muniz +1.5u
●Turman +3u
●Ramos +1.5u
●Cortez +.8
●Brown +2u
●Jan +1u
Even the parlays worked out well
Cortez+ Muniz + Ramos +7u
Muniz+Cortez+Turman +Ramos +12.5u
Dog city
Craig+Souza+Brown -2.5

Total +26.8u all in all solid night one of my best, thanks fellows see you all soon.