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Don't know much about Clark but I imagine he takes out Townsend.
Why? Townsend has power and Clark is questionable
Don't know much about Clark but I imagine he takes out Townsend.
Think I missed the fight but Townsend losing a decision and fighting only 3 weeks later seems like a red flag.Why? Townsend has power and Clark is questionable
Think I missed the fight but Townsend losing a decision and fighting only 3 weeks later seems like a red flag.
There's also a speed gap so I'm not even concerned on the feet tbh. Jan's "legendary polish power" is overblown after ko'ing Luke. Corey is only fighter that I played instantly havn't taken a look at the rest much yet.No indication that Jan has materially improved his TDD since the first fight imo. Should be a rerun
Yeah. I like Jan but I struggle to see how he takes this at any significant clip considering the wrestling and cardio edges inherent and that he isn't a massive hitter. KO is possible but I wouldn't trust Jan moment to moment power.There's also a speed gap so I'm not even concerned on the feet tbh. Jan's "legendary polish power" is overblown after ko'ing Luke. Corey is only fighter that I played instantly havn't taken a look at the rest much yet.
GTD at evens for the main event is kinda tempting. Don't see either finishing it at a significant clip
If i recall Townsend also has the Chin issue as well. I would problary take on Clark. Clark has being doing ok in his few last matches.Think I missed the fight but Townsend losing a decision and fighting only 3 weeks later seems like a red flag.
Jan isn't exactly a big hitter and Anderson was okay taking some big swings from LatifiDoesn't Corey have terrible chin issues?
Doesn't Corey have terrible chin issues?
The only question in the Sanchez/Pereira fight is can Diego's chin hold out for first first round, I have to think it's unlikely.
Pereira is a huge welter weight, he has big power, he's very quick and can explode into all kinds of acrobatic strikes. It's a very energy taxing style but it's also very dangerous for his opponents in the early going. The opening two and a half minutes are a barrage of power shots from kicks, knees and punches, one connection has the power to put you out.
Looking at Sanchez, he has not improved his striking over time There was a point where he was thought to be somewhat dangerous on the feet but to watch his boxing now it's clear those days are long gone. He wings all of his punches, no straight shots, no jab, no diversity of strikes. He has hooks and a few kicks to the body and legs and little else, a basic brawler. On top of this there is little pop or power on his strikes. Obviously he has the potential to hurt someone with his striking but generally he doesn't find success with it until late in fights against exhausted opponents, usually of a low level themselves. Al Iaquinta showed where Sanchez' striking sits, if you have a decent level of boxing even simple shots will be enough to get the job done, it's just a case of landing clean, which isn't difficult as Sanchez' striking defence is at a similar level to his offense.
Physically Pereira has all of the advantages, he's taller, longer, much bigger (Diego has fought as low as 145lbs, Pereira could easily fight at 185lbs), much faster and has the durability edge. The key area Diego clearly has a big advantage is in cardio, Pereira has 2 to 3 minutes at his full clip, and then he will begin to slow. Once he slows the power and speed drop significantly and the threats of any explosive actions disappear, and he's left throwing single strikes and being vulnerable to grappling and wrestling exchanges. Pereira has shown some defensive ability in these areas fighting off submission attempts and reversing the clinch, but if a tired Pereira finds himself on bottom in the second round he will get almost certainly get cooked and mauled by Sanchez for the remainder of the fight.
I can see an argument for the Tristen Connelly path to victory for Sanchez, but I believe Tristen offered a few attributes along with his grappling that Sanchez doesn't possess, the key one being able to weather the storm and absorb damage early.
Sanchez could attack the takedown early, he did against White, Brown and Gall. Literally ran across the cage and looked to clinch or get to their hips right away. High risk but high reward to try something like this against Pereira. If Diego has success then he could tire Pereira early and basically nullify the power before it gets chance to be shown, but at the same time it could lead to Diego getting crushed with a huge knee or just thrown off and left in striking range in the middle of the cage.
Diego can't let Pereira have the centre of the Octagon, he has to keep him against the cage and on the back foot always. If Pereira is given room he will use it to explode and most likely end the fight.
Old school striker vs grappler style match up in a sense. I see it as a sprinter vs a marathon runner, only the sprinter is twice the size of the marathon runner and the marathon runner could be KO'ed by running through the finish line ribbon.
There is a possibility of seeing almost a replay of the Connerly fight, but that relies massively on Sanchez absorbing damage early and Pereira making mistakes. I don't believe he can take the damage, even in the fights he has won lately against Gall and White he had moments of being badly hurt and I believe momentarily knocked out. Pereira is seen as a clown, and he is, but he's a huge, powerful very fast clown.
The line opened near a pick'em, and there was a lot of value in Pereira at this price. I got him at 1.80 for a unit, he has since dropped to 1.60 and I imagine he will close around 1.35/1.40. If you have faith in Diego's chin wait until closer to fight night, I only see his price improving.
Pereira by KO/TKO round one is my prediction.
My concern with Pereira is that if Diego gets him down, then I think he'll spend the rest of the round on the bottom.