Good luck anyone betting Dariush in Brazil.
I'm playing Barboza decision. I think Barboza's chin and problems dealing with pressure are overblown. Ferg drowns EVERYONE with his pressure. And Dariush should've lost to MJ, it was obvious who the crisper, faster guy was. The fact that Barboza couldn't deal with MJ's speed isn't concerning to me, Dariush can't move and hit like that.
I think if you're gonna play Dariush, just play him itd. I think those Brazilian judges are gonna count every decent leg lick Barboza lands every bit as much as a head strike. And he's gonna throw a lot of them of course. I think the outcome of this fight in Brazil is Barboza by dec almost 50% of the time honestly, so his dec prop actually has value at +145. Not sure I like paying the juice on his ML though at -170. Need to think about that.