Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Mar 6, 2017.
I favor Tim but daniels wrestling will be improved (training with Olympić wrestler)
Is it dumb for me to write off Corey Anderson because he lost to Shogun Rua in 2016?
The overs should be interesting for a lot of these fights.
I am on Anderson, I believe you will get Manuwa at least at evens if you wait.
Took 5 seconds of research to see that it was a robbery.
Just dropped 3u on Corey while his price is good
Question: What does true betting champions do when they have a losing night?
My opinion: They accept the loss like a boss, come back and bet again! This Brazil event was really difficult one to predict. I think you all agree with me. It was a good night for bookies. I'm gonna milk them again this Saturday. I had a terrible headache after last night and now I have headache again. This event fucked my head badly. Need to re-group few days and think about fights again.
For what its worth I thought it was 29-28 to Corey and Hua won cause Brazil.
First fight is 1:30 PM EST.
NuttyMMA fan is Luca's alt account
Yeah after watching the fight and seeing the media scores that definitely was the consensus. After watching footage of both I actually don't know if I can give Jimi Manuwa anything more than a punchers chance.
Gonna look into this Gunnar Nelson vs Alan Jouban fight now.
Corey doesnt have an amazing chin and he's gonna hve to close the distance on Manuwa, can he do that without getting clipped on the way? Maybe but Manuwa has more than a punchers chance. I think its 55-45 in Corey's favour. Thinking he only has a punchers chance is gonna lose you a lot of money be careful.
I am on Jimi here. I think Anderson gets knocked out cold.
If youre betting Manuwa, go with the ITD prop or KO prop. He may catch a guillotine as Anderson shoots but Manuwa's sub game is mediocre at best however he has a guillotine choke win in his record.
No point in playing Jimi's ML imo though. I don't think it's crazy to believe he knocks Corey out (I disagree and think Corey grapplefucks him) but I do think that's his only path to victory. In addition, it's gonna most likely have to be early. Because if this fight sees rd 3, it most likely means Corey has been implementing his grappling gameplan, which is gonna totally sap Jimi's gas tank.
I can see a case for betting Jimi's KO prop along with his rd 1 and rd 2 props if the price is right. But no way would I lay juice on him when he's gonna be at such a big grappling disadvantage.
I would probably lay a little juice on him, but right now I can get him at +115. I played it. I will likely play his KO line as well as the early round props once they get released at my book.
Jimi is very flat footed and slow. OSP had success backing him up on the fense and taking him down. I feel like Corey could potentially ragdoll him especially if the fight goes into the later rounds. At his age I can't put much stock into an average performance vs OSP of all people especially when the fight before that he was knocked dead and that was in 2015. Corey is a rising prospect who is improving in every fight.
Luca was feeling himself after last night.
He bet borg and boza. Easily could've lost big last night
Nelson/Jouban is a wash. Jouban's chin is trash and Nelson's stand up improves by leaps and bounds everytime he fights. Jouban loves to throw naked kicks which makes him prone to the takedown and he doesn't wanna be on the ground with Gunnar Nelson. If the odds are close I'd hammer it.
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