Why is Khamzat such a huge favorite over Paulo? (Update: Cashed out bet)

[Istryker]

I'm up for it

Who the fuck are you?

 

[chiefwiggum]

When do we start calling Khamzat “former WW Chimaev” to disparage his opponents?

he’s only had a couple fights in his career at ww as well.

 

[Baal]

Who the fuck are you?

Your owner

 

[rottenapple]

Costa will be Rolling on the floor not laughing for entire fight

 

[CombatCyborg]

Seems like a big bet for 2 risky fights and only a 6x return, but don't let me shake your confidence if you feel it. I do slightly favour Costa here. He's too strong for Chimaev to overpower or blitz him, he has better cardio.

 

[davidlemonparty]

Wish I had as much disposable income as some of you.

just dont be poor, bro

 

[davidlemonparty]

a couple of posters have mentioned already, but just to add my opinion

sports books dont work like the general populace think. Sports books open a line based on a few factors, but that line is moved as money comes in on either party. The sports book isn't 'gambling' on who wins, the sports book is trying to set a line to attract maximum value, and whatever the outcome is the book doesnt care but they want to have priced the lines and accepted money to ensure they collect a small percentage of the win on any outcome. this is known as the vig, or the vigorish.

So large books globally will tend to average towards one another. Any book which is taking too heavy action on one party (say irish betting on conor) will spread that risk across other books to maintain their risk level in accordance with their desired vig.

the book doesnt give a fuck who wins, unless they've been lazy/corrupt/stupid and taken a heavy position on a certain line.

do you motherfuckers understand.

 

[davidlemonparty]

i just did a little bet on my boy.

 

[CatchtheseHands]

If I could I'd bet the house on Costa.

 

[GSPenn1991]

...against cans?...

Any half decent fighter should destroy cans. That doesn't mean much.

Kevin Holland and Jing Liang are not cans