UFC on Fox 18 - Post Your Bets!

[zomb]

mix of own and just straight up tailing EzFlyer on every single bet my bookie offers. yolo

Rivera $200 to win $155 / $300 to win $190
Tarec $250 to win $130
Barnett $277 to win $211
Dwyer $225 to win $366
Natal $225 to win $142 / $225 to win $132
Ortiz $300 to win $146
Martin $225 to win $153
Yakovlev $150 to win $127


Rothwell/Barnett o2.5 $75 to win $105 / o2.5 $75 to win $75
Bader/Johnson u1.5 $75 to win $83 / u1.5 $75 to win $75
Casey/Natal o2.5 $150 to win $91
Rivera/Alcentara o2.5 $300 to win $154
Ellenberger/Saf o2.5 $300 to win 1.467
DGF/OAM o2.5 $300 to win $136

total risk: $3,727

dno if I'll add more, haven't' focused much on this card and not much seems to interest me other than the ones I have

 

[Joseph Budden]

Ok this should be it for me. I also have many overs in parlays, so just gonna save myself from typing them and throw that out there

Bader 4 & 5, Bader ML
Barnett by dec and ML
Rivera ML
Barb by dec
Saffiedine by dec and ML
CD
Natal, Casey by KO (much better hedge than that atrocious round 1 price)
Ortiz by dec, Ortiz in round 3, Ortiz ML
Sullivan by dec and ML, Yako by dec in a parlay
Fullen by dec
Brown by dec
Levan by dec and ML
Martin, Martin in round 1

over 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 fights go to decision

Barnett vs Rothwell FOTN

 

[EzFlyer]

UFC Fox 18 Risk: 2,219.44
Bader RD 4: 8.50 for 293.25 / Bader RD 5: 6.50 for 289.25 / Bader +5.5: 100 for 192.50 / U1.0: 50 for 97 / AJ
barnett -185: 185 for 100 / O2.5: 50 for 70 / NOT rothwell ITD: 230 for 100 / Rothwell DEC: 30 for 194.10
rivera -112: 224.64 for 199.99 / rivera -3.5: 30 for 52.50 / rivera DEC: 30 parlays / alcantara
barberena +3.5: 100 for 160 / o1.5: 67.50 for 50 / Northcutt
saffiedine -185: 299.70 for 162 / saff DEC: 30 parlays / ellenberger
OAM DEC: 30 parlays / ferreira
natal -153: 230 for 150 / natal DEC: 30 parlays / natal SUB: 10 for 94 / O2.5: 72.60 for 50 / casey
ortiz RD 3: 25 for 375 / ortiz DEC: 30 parlays / reis
yakovlev DEC: 30 parlays / sullivan no scorecards: 50 for 52.50
caceres SUB: 60 for 135 / fullen
dwyer +200: 100 for 200 / brown
makashvili DEC: 30 parlays / jackson
martin SUB: 100 for 290 / olivieri
props
DEC O6.5: 60 for 75
DEC O7.5: 25 for 80
DEC O8.5: 10 for 83.50
DEC O9.5: 4 for 104
DEC O10.5: 1 for 107
FOTN: northcutt-barberena: 20 for 190
parlays
70 RR for 738.48: rivDEC/ saffDEC/ OAMDEC/ natalDEC/ ortizDEC/ yakoDEC/ makDEC
---

not officially done. prolly one more update tomorrow afternoon. but i'm close.

 

[TNT10]

My bets for the night:

Dwyer
Makashvilli Dec
Rivera
Natal
Natal/Casey Doesn't go the distance
Barnett
OAM Dec
Johnson R1 or 2
Martin
Yakovlev
Ortiz Dec
Sage ITD

I'm biggest on Natal and Rivera so hoping they pull it off. Got a couple of parlays too.

When I did my predictions for this show I think I had like 8 or 9 fights going to decision so I like those over bets on total decisions, can't find them on the sites I use though.

 

[mkess101]

Wow I just realized how many damn bets I have. Joseph B is right, I really hope this isn't a trap card. So many seemingly likely outcomes, I have this sinking feeling I may end up saying "WTF happened?" at the end of the night. Oh well, I have:

Bader +265 ML
Bader rd 4 +3450
Bader rd 5 +4450
Bader by dec +775
Rumble rd 1 +195
Rothwell KO/TKO +225
Barnett sub +375
Barnett/Rothwell over 2.5 +145
Overs in a bunch of fights: Acantara/Rivera, Casey/Natal, Ellenburger/Saff, Mercier/Ferrera, Reis/Ortiz (big)
Ortiz by dec +115
Saff by dec -110
Rivera by dec *140
Rivera rd 3 +1800
Jackson ML +265
Jackson by dec +550
Natal ML -150 (big)
Natal by dec +170
Martin ML -170
Martin by sub +225
CDF dec +450
Decisions over 6.5, 7.5, 8.5


I think that's most of them, probably missed a few I have in little lottery ticket parlays but that's about it. Honestly, in looking at this card I think I will live bet very little and stick with my original thoughts. There's a couple exceptions where I think live bet might be a good chance to make $. If Ellenburger is having success taking Saff down might have to switch to him. I think possibly CDM could be good livebet opportunity if he's getting the better of it. If Barnett is spending a lot of energy trying to take Rothwell down and not having success maybe LB Ben. And if Rumble looks tired after rd 2 Bader could be a great LB esp if Rumble is maybe ahead on the cards but looks really tired and can get Bader at really nice odds I might add. Okay I know this one isn't for discussion so I'm done LOL.

 

[SalvadorAllende]

Edit with results:

$ 8 on Dwyer + Caceres + Natal/Casey over 2.5 to win $ 29,15. Lost $ 8
$ 8 Dwyer to win $ 9,20. Lost $ 8
$ 12 Yakoklev to win $ 10,20. W
$ 21 on Natal to win $ 12,60. W
$ 15 on Josh Barnett to win $ 9,75. Lost $ 15
$ 12 on AJ/Bader under 1.5 to win $ 12,60. W
$ 8 on AJ via TKO/KO and Kovalev (boxing) via TKO/KO to win $ 6,15. W

Total risk: $ 88,00
Result: Won $ 10,55
Total fun: A lot.

 

[null]

UFC on Fox 18 Risk $2415.00

Ryan Bader (+250) vs Anthony Johnson $100.00 for $250.00
Ryan Bader wins by submission (+665) $25.00 for $166.25
Ryan Bader wins in round 4 (+3375) $5.00 for $168.75
Ryan Bader wins in round 5 (+4375) $5.00 for $218.75
Ryan Bader wins by 5 round decision (+775) $50.00 for $387.50
Anthony Johnson wins in round 1 (+200) $50.00 for $100.00
Anthony Johnson wins in round 2 (+300) $30.00 for $90.00

Ben Rothwell (+140) vs Josh Barnett $100.00 for $140.00
Ben Rothwell wins by 3 round decision (+647) $50.00 for $323.50
Ben Rothwell wins by 3 round decision (+745) $50.00 for $372.50

Jimmie Rivera (-140) vs Iuri Alcantara $280.00 for $200.00
Jimmie Rivera wins in round 3 (+1800) $10.00 for $180.00

Sage Northcutt/Bryan Barberena Over 1½ (-135) $135.00 for $100.00

Tarec Saffiedine (-185) vs Jake Ellenberger $370.00 for $200.00
Tarec Saffiedine wins inside distance (+325) $35.00 for $113.75
Carlos Diego Ferreira wins by submission (+700) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier $10.00 for $70.00
Rafael Natal (-165) vs Kevin Casey $165.00 for $100.00
Rafael Natal wins inside distance (+245) $40.00 for $98.00
Rafael Natal wins by TKO/KO (+435) $25.00 for $108.75
Rafael Natal wins by 3 round decision (+170) $75.00 for $127.50
Kevin Casey wins in round 1 (+475) $25.00 for $118.75
Dustin Ortiz wins by submission (+1183) vs Wilson Reis $10.00 for $118.30
Dustin Ortiz wins in round 3 (+1475) vs Wilson Reis $10.00 for $147.50
George Sullivan scorecards = no action (+105) vs Alexander Yakovlev $75.00 for $78.75
Alex Caceres wins by submission (+200) vs Masio Fullen $30.00 for $60.00

Levan Makashvili wins by 3 round decision (+120) vs Damon Jackson $40.00 for $48.00
Tony Martin wins in round 1 (+300) vs Felipe Olivieri $10.00 for $30.00
Tony Martin wins by submission (+250) $20.00 for $50.00
Matt Dwyer (+160) vs Randy Brown $100.00 for $160.00
Randy Brown wins by TKO/KO (+220) $50.00 for $110.00

Fights to go distance over 6½ (+125) $40.00 for $50.00
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+320) $25.00 for $80.00
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+835) $15.00 for $125.25
Fights to go distance over 9½ (+2600)$10.00 for $260.00
Fights to go distance over 10½ (+10700) $5.00 for $535.00

Alex Caceres wins Fastest SUB (+825) $10.00 for $82.50
Tarec Saffiedine wins Fastest KO (+2000) $10.00 for $200.00
Sage Northcutt/Bryan Barberena FOTN award winner (+950) $10.00 for $95.00

Parlays:
George Sullivan/Alexander Yakovlev Over 2½ (-230) + Dustin Ortiz (-220) vs Wilson Reis $100.00 for $108.70
Round Robin $10.00 ea. x 21 parlays of Makashvili decision + Yakovlev decision + Ortiz decision + Natal decision + Aubin-Mercier decision + Saffiedine decision + Rivera decision $210.00 for $742.08

 

[wigglestick]

Well I have to go to work in 2 hours and won't be able to add more bets so this is it.

Singles
Natal - 41.25 to win 25
Barnett - 48.30 to win 35
Fights to go distance O6.5 - 22 to win 27.08

Parlays
Roman Reigns total opponents eliminated/ Johnson - 6 to win 5.87
Natal/ Makashvili - 15 to win 17.50
Johnson/ Not Casey by sub - 40 to win 22.12
Caceres/ Not Casey by sub - 15 to win 8.54
Barnett/ Not Casey by sub - 20 to win 18.58
Johnson/ Natal - 10 to win 11.99
Oam/ Not Casey by sub/ Johnson fight ITD - 6.50 to win 5.48
Not casey by sub/ Not Alcantara inside distance/ Not Ellenberger ITD - 25 to win 19.27
Sage/ Caceres/ not Casey by sub - 5.50 to win 6.45
Sage/ Not Ellenberger ITD/ Not Casey by sub - 18 to win 16.13

272.55 to win 219.01

 

[zomb]

mix of own and just straight up tailing EzFlyer on every single bet my bookie offers. yolo

Rivera $200 to win $155 / $300 to win $190
Tarec $250 to win $130
Barnett $277 to win $211
Dwyer $225 to win $366
Natal $225 to win $142 / $225 to win $132
Ortiz $300 to win $146
Martin $225 to win $153
Yakovlev $150 to win $127


Rothwell/Barnett o2.5 $75 to win $105 / o2.5 $75 to win $75
Bader/Johnson u1.5 $75 to win $83 / u1.5 $75 to win $75
Casey/Natal o2.5 $150 to win $91
Rivera/Alcentara o2.5 $300 to win $154
Ellenberger/Saf o2.5 $300 to win 1.467
CDF/OAM o2.5 $300 to win $136

total risk: $3,727

dno if I'll add more, haven't' focused much on this card and not much seems to interest me other than the ones I have

updated and final. good luck everyone

 

[Dusty Trunks]

UFC Fight Night 73 +5.2
UFC190/WSOF22 +.26u
UFC on Fox 16 -0.80u
UFC Fight Night 74 -5.25u
UFC Fight Night 81 -0.25
Bellator 148 +1.95u

UFC on FOX 18

Ryan Bader +220 1u to win 2.2u
Ben Rothwell +120 2u to win 2.4u
Jimmie Rivera -150 3u to win 2u
Carlos Diego Ferreira +230 1u to win 2.3u
Rafael Natal -165 6.6u to win 4u
George Sullivan +110 3u to win 3.3u
Matt Dwyer +120 2u to win 2.4u
Felipe Olivieri +140 1.5u to win 2.1u


GL to all

 

[EzFlyer]

UFC Fox 18 Risk: 2,177.44
Bader RD 4: 8.50 for 293.25 / Bader RD 5: 6.50 for 289.25 / Bader +5.5: 100 for 192.50 / U1.0: 50 for 97 / AJ
barnett -185: 185 for 100 / O2.5: 50 for 70 / NOT rothwell ITD: 230 for 100 / Rothwell DEC: 30 for 194.10
rivera -112: 224.64 for 199.99 / rivera -3.5: 30 for 52.50 / rivera DEC: 30 parlays / alcantara
barberena +3.5: 100 for 160 / o1.5: 67.50 for 50 / Northcutt
saffiedine -185: 299.70 for 162 / saff DEC: 30 parlays / ellenberger
OAM DEC: 30 parlays / ferreira
natal -153: 230 for 150 / natal DEC: 30 parlays / natal SUB: 10 for 94 / O2.5: 72.60 for 50 / casey
ortiz RD 3: 25 for 375 / ortiz DEC: 30 parlays / reis
yakovlev -118: 118 for 100 / yakovlev DEC: 30 parlays / sullivan no scorecards: 50 for 52.50
caceres SUB: 50 for 116 / fullen
dwyer: 0 for 82.50 / brown
makashvili DEC: 30 parlays / jackson
martin SUB: 50 for 150 / olivieri
props
DEC O6.5: 60 for 75
DEC O7.5: 25 for 80
DEC O8.5: 10 for 83.50
DEC O9.5: 4 for 104
DEC O10.5: 1 for 107
FOTN: northcutt-barberena: 20 for 190
parlays
70 RR for 738.48: rivDEC/ saffDEC/ OAMDEC/ natalDEC/ ortizDEC/ yakoDEC/ makDEC
---

finalized (all i changed was i hedged martin sub and caceres sub plays down to 0.5u and freerolled dwyer)

oh and i bet yakovlev to win a unit

 

[BluntTrauma21]

Alright here we go:

2.3u Rivera -170
.8u Yakovlev -105
2.8u Ortiz -220
1.7u Sapo -160
1.5u Ellenberger +235
2u Sage itd -115
3.5u Barnett -185/-160

Embarrassed at how bad I read that Barnett line movement. Thought -185 was actually not that bad of a price. Goes to show how much I know. Had to hit it again when I saw him down at 160 but didn't have the balls to unload more when he got down to the -135/140 area, 3.5u is a big bet for me, especially for hw's. Let's hope this goes well too much of this got me feeling uncomfortable.

 

[edole]

500 on ellenberger to win 1125

+225


***official edole free money play of the day

 

[Dooze]

Loss of £13.24 overall not great. Knew sticking mostly to props would be risky, didn't pay off.

Matt Dwyer by KO @ 4.00 - £2 returns £8
Dwyer/Brown ends by KO @ 1.66 - £10 returns £16.67

Martin/Oliveiri ITD @ 1.57 - £6.37 returns £10.01

Makashvilli UD @ 3.40 - £2 returns £6.80

Caceres by sub @ 3.20 - £3 returns £9.60
Caceres r3 @ 13.00 - £1 returns £13
Caceres r2 @ 7.00 - £2 returns £14

Yakovlev by Decision @ 2.87 - £4 returns £11.50
Yakovlev UD @ 3.90 - £2 returns 7.80

Ortiz r3 @ 17.00 - £1 returns £17
Ortiz by Split Decision @ 6.00 - £2 returns £12

Natal @ 1.58 - £10 returns E15.88
Natal by KO @ 7.50 - £2 (free bet) returns £13

OAM by UD @ 2.70 - £3.29 returns £8.88
OAM/CDF goes to decision @ 1.62 - £5 returns £8.08

Saffiedine by UD @ 2.50 - £5 returns £12.50

Northcutt by submission @ 5.50 - £3.87 returns £21.29
Northcutt r2 @ 6.00 - £2 returns £12
Fight ITD @ 1.57 - £7 returns £11

Alcantara SU @ 2.45 - £3 returns £7.35
Fight goes to decision @ 1.62 - £5 returns £8.08

Rothwell r3 KO @ 26.00 - £2 (free bet) returns £50
Barnett r3 @ 17.00 - £1 returns £17
over 1.5 round @ 1.72 - £5 returns £8.64

Bader by decision @ 9.00 - £2 returns £18
Bader r3 @ 29.00 - £1 returns £29
Bader r4 @ 34.00 - £1 returns £34
Bader r5 @ 41.00 - £1 returns £41

Parlays:

Yak/Sullivan + Reis/Ortiz + Berger/Tarec + Iuri/Rivera + CDF/OAM ALL o1.5 rounds + Kovalev/Pascal within 10 rounds = £1 returns £4.39

Northcutt + Natal + Kovalev ITD @ 2.77 - £4.90 returns £13.61


That's me for the night, will watch the card tomorrow. Best of luck all.

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Rumble itd
Barnett
Rivera by Dec
Sage itd
Ortiz by Dec
OAM/Tares parlay
Natal
Caceres itd

 

[YoungScholar]

All I have for tonight is 2.5u on Saffeidine/Ellenberger under 2½ @ +175.

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Added barnett/Rothwell completes 2 rounds prop

 

[ClosetVitorFan]

I'm on Rumble and Barnett. 200 on a parlay. Pays +150. Not too shabby.

 

[Dusty Trunks]

UFC on FOX 18

Ryan Bader +220 1u to win 2.2u L
Ben Rothwell +120 2u to win 2.4u W
Jimmie Rivera -150 3u to win 2u W
(*Live bet* Carlos Diego Ferreira +200 .5u to win 1u) W
Carlos Diego Ferreira +230 1u to win 2.3u W
Rafael Natal -165 6.6u to win 4u W
George Sullivan +110 3u to win 3.3u L
Matt Dwyer +120 2u to win 2.4u L
Felipe Olivieri +140 1.5u to win 2.1u L

+4.2 units

Terrible start, great finish. Solid profit.

Hope you guys made out well.

 

[TNT10]

My bets for the night:

Dwyer
Makashvilli Dec - Void
Rivera
Natal
Natal/Casey Doesn't go the distance
Barnett
OAM Dec LB CDF for profit
Johnson R1 or 2
Martin
Yakovlev
Ortiz Dec / Added Ortiz R3
Sage ITD

I'm biggest on Natal and Rivera so hoping they pull it off. Got a couple of parlays too.

When I did my predictions for this show I think I had like 8 or 9 fights going to decision so I like those over bets on total decisions, can't find them on the sites I use though.

Up overall which I'd never complain about. If Barnett or Sage ITD had hit I'd of been up bigggg but oh well!