UFC 205 - Conor vs Alvarez - NY

[robot]

Sorry but you're overrating Wonderboy. He's great but he's not the GOAT ffs. You're putting too much stock into him beating the ghost of Hendricks and a gunshy Rory. One's talking about retirement, the other is now in Bellator

His most impressive wins are over Whittaker and Cote. He's been dropped by Ellenberger and he's been hit by everyone. He's nowhere near as elusive as someone like Cruz

I think Wb is great. Great movement . But if being subjective his comp only increased in the past year. Hendricks and Rory . Two fighters who could be not what they once were. That is one view to look down on WB . I placed a small bet on woodley as people are giving him no shot and he does have a way to win the fight , land a bomb or go wrestle mode .

Good fight!

 

[mkess101]

I'm not sure they would give Alves the FOTN after he missed weight. See Lineker/Dodson.

But they have before I'm somewhat sure, haven't they? I could be wrong but I'm almost positive they have. .1u maybe wasted if I'm wrong and this has no chance. Maybe I'll look for one more to bet too. Luque/Belal at +1000? Maybe Tate/Pennington at +900?

 

[mkess101]

Would be smart for everyone to get on this. Hell even take O7.5.

It's going to be a decisionfest

I'm on all of them too o5.5 to o9.5. I see it this way:

Likely to go to a decision: Chook/Carmouche, Miller/Alves, Luque/Belal, Edgar/Stephens, Tate/Pennington, KK/JJ. That's 6 right there. Will they all? Probably not, but as stand alone fights they are all likely to.

Could go to a decision: Boetch/Natal, MJ/Khabib, Romero/Weidman.

Has an outside shot of going to a decision: Wonderboy/Woodley

Extremely unlikely goes to decision: Conor/Eddie

No HW fights and a stacked card with close matchups, very possible we get a lot of decisions. If not, it's fun watching finishes anyway right?

 

[mkess101]

I think Wb is great. Great movement . But if being subjective his comp only increased in the past year. Hendricks and Rory . Two fighters who could be not what they once were. That is one view to look down on WB . I placed a small bet on woodley as people are giving him no shot and he does have a way to win the fight , land a bomb or go wrestle mode .

Good fight!

Wonderboy stuffed Hendricks TD attempts (and the couple that Rory tried). His TDD has improved dramatically in the last couple years. And Woodley doesn't have the gas tank to try to make it that kind of fight imo.

Woodley CAN definitely land the bomb. But as we've all discussed in here quite a bit, if he does it's very likely in the first 2 rounds. Better to play Woodley rd 1 or rd 2 imo. After 10 minutes his chances decrease significantly.

 

[Officer_Brown]

Does anybody know what color belt Eddie has in BJJ? Thanks

Conor got the Brown Sept 2014, Eddie got it few weeks. ago. Not saying conor is better. there is a big difference between wrestler who is brown belt vs regular brown belt.

 

[BobsyaUncle]

Any UK/Euro book offering over/under decisions? I agree we're likely to see a lot of decisions tonight.

 

[northsofia]

I use b365, bwin and betfair and now such line with them

 

[Joseph Budden]

alves missed weight

Fuckkkk I forgot that disqualifies him!!!!

 

[ivanilich]

I like Alvarez by Sub or Dec at +300.

 

[robot]

I think Yoel is going to walk through Wideman, it'll look similar to when Vitor rushed him only Yoel wont stop and will beat him senseless. Post usada Wideman isn't the same physically, and he's taken a beating now so he wont be the same mentally either.

Conor, Woodly, KK to win.

I am just wondering how wiedman comes back after the beating he took in Dec and the surgery. Romero has been clipped and hurt before but i am taking him as a dog here.

 

[RyuDave]

What time do fightpass prelims start?

 

[Monster Meat]

JJ + WB - $250 for $260
Added:
Tate + Chook - $100 for $150
Both feel like gimmes for the two girls.

NOW I'm done! Good luck all.

i love that first bet it should hit. Im heavy on jj by decision and edgar have most of my bets tied to those.

 

[Officer_Brown]

quick question: do you guyz think miller can get alves down? i haven't seen all alves fights. Who else has taken him down besides georges st pierre?

 

[mkess101]

Fastest KO:

Romero +775
MJ +1775

Hitting both of these small.

Zero fights end in sub +409. I can't find one that I think is very likely to end in a sub. I think this could hit. Playing it for a bit.

Also adding Tate/Pennington FOTN +900. I think it could be a really fun fight.

 

[mkess101]

quick question: do you guyz think miller can get alves down? i haven't seen all alves fights. Who else has taken him down besides georges st pierre?

Not early in the fight, but if Alves tires at all then yes.

 

[BisKINGTheCHAMP]

Wow. Belal/Vicente could really be a good action fight and it's 20/1 for FOTN. That's crazy good odds.

 

[Joseph Budden]

quick question: do you guyz think miller can get alves down? i haven't seen all alves fights. Who else has taken him down besides georges st pierre?

Personally i'm weary on that. Miller's wrestling isn't great. I think he has a better chance of creating scrambles than getting straight tds.

 

[Officer_Brown]

I started to place my tapology picks and realised that a lot of decisions could be on this card. Picked all fights to go a decision besides co-main and main event.

 

[raketmannen]

I use b365, bwin and betfair and now such line with them

I use b365 and never seen any event props, are they under some other label?

 

[EzFlyer]

I'm on all of them too o5.5 to o9.5. I see it this way:

Likely to go to a decision: Chook/Carmouche, Miller/Alves, Luque/Belal, Edgar/Stephens, Tate/Pennington, KK/JJ. That's 6 right there. Will they all? Probably not, but as stand alone fights they are all likely to.

Could go to a decision: Boetch/Natal, MJ/Khabib, Romero/Weidman.

Has an outside shot of going to a decision: Wonderboy/Woodley

Extremely unlikely goes to decision: Conor/Eddie

No HW fights and a stacked card with close matchups, very possible we get a lot of decisions. If not, it's fun watching finishes anyway right?

I see it the same way on the 11, said as much (albeit less detailed) last night !