UFC 205 - Conor vs Alvarez - NY

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I put a unit on JJ by UD too in a different play but for some reason in the back of my head I'm seeing a finish materialize. Can't really put it in words why.

My best pick on this card is MJ. I think he's got the best value of every pick on the card except he's a bit of a live dog pick. He's obviously not favored in my eyes but definitely worth putting a large stake on at numbers like that.

Agree on MJ. Added to him today. I do think he has a good shot of pulling the upset here, and the odds are great on him.
 
I may have missed it but are most on Romero solely based on value or do most favor him to win?

Toss up fight right now imo. There's question marks around Weidman after suffering his first loss. Plus he didn't look great at the weigh ins. Romero with huge power and could end the fight at any time. Plus he should theoretically be able to use his wrestling (at least for the first 2 rounds) to neutralize Weidman's grappling.
 
I put a unit on JJ by UD too in a different play but for some reason in the back of my head I'm seeing a finish materialize. Can't really put it in words why..

Feel the same way about this. I was tempted to use the decision prop as parlay fodder but I've got the feeling JJ will do the business inside the distance so I've avoided it entirely.
 
*Mid masturbation*

*sees Tate and Karolina weigh in*

It's all over

goldberg.jpg
 
fight pass:

chookagian-carmouche
chookagian looks good, a touch soft as usual at 135 (she looks fitter at 125) but not bad.
carmouche shredded as always, looks outstanding despite the layoff
chookagian is 3" taller

alves-miller
weird, they're calling it a "catchweight bout"
alves looks mostly the same, honestly... (despite weighing at 162.5 for 155) but by no means does he look bad
miller looks very solid, definitely in shape
alves maybe 1" taller?

fs1:

muhammad-luque
muhammad looks excellent as always.. as good as ever
luque lookin solid, same as usual
they're the same size

natal-boetsch
boetsch looks strong, looks in great shape for him
natal looks decent.. never looks great.
they're very similarly sized

nurmagamedov-johnson
MJ looks pretty darn good for him, not too soft at all
khabib weighs in with shirt on. but he looked great at early weigh-ins
khabib 1-2" taller i think? hard to tell

edgar-stephens
stephens looks pretty darn shredded right now, despite looking a bit dehydrated earlier
huge crowd support for edgar. looks terrific as usual
stephens is 2-3" taller

ppv:

tate-pennington
pennington looks in good shape.. lil gut, but she's looked worse.
miesha looks good, about the same as usual
they're really similarly sized

weidman-romero
romero getting boo'd, unsurprisingly. jeeeeeeesus christ. action figure. looks as good as ever.
weidman getting a big reception, looks a bit emotional about it.
he's a little leaner than he was a couple years ago, but looks in good shape
weidman is at LEAST 4" taller

JJ-KK
KK looks good. not too soft.
JJ looks solid. think she looked a little thicker/stronger vs gadelha, but idk
JJ 1" taller? couldn't tell. JJ super awkward on the mic, lol.

Thompson-Woodley
wonderboy looks terrific -- long and lean, ripped
t-wood absolutely shredded. ho-hum! both guys look in great shape
wonderboy is 3-4" taller

McGregor-Alvarez
conor looks sharp, no doubt. looks about the same as the last two fights.
crowd booing eddie pretty hard. alvarez looks f'in ripped, as usual
conor looks 1" taller, eddie looks thicker
 
event props are up on 5d

but "all 12 fights must occur for action" ??
 
oh ffs, cerrone was my main play of the fight. guess i'm on the jj + wb train like everyone else.

tim boetsch actually looked in shape for once, what's up with that?

eddie looking in ridiculous shape, hope he pulverises conor.
 
Belal vs Luque now a pick em. I can't bet this fight, I wanted Luque but him not being at Blackzillians and the short notice puts me off. Very hard fight to call.
 
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