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For anyone who is taking Burns - How do you see him handling the wresling and physicality of Usman?
I can see Usman wrestling way more here than the Colby fight, totally different match up. Burns has good BJJ but it's very unlikely that someone at this level gets subbed from bottom
Yeah...early on I think Usman is more likely to use wall n stall to just tire Burns out. Maybe he'll be comfortable taking Burns down against the cage too, even top tier guard players are gonna have a really hard time getting anything going against a top flight guy when smashed up against the cage. The safest place for Usman early though is probably standing but with Burns back pushed against the cage.
A couple rounds of that and I could see Usman switching to a more purely wrestling based game plan where he's hunting TD's and top control. Burns tired and both guys sweaty, the threat of Gilbert off his back evaporates.
I could be wrong, but I don't see Whitman letting Usman fall into the trap of wanting to strike at distance. If he does that there's danger.