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Bellator 158 - Daley vs Lima - London

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 13, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Seems like daley is getting bet down from +190 today ... don't agree with it but now's prolly the time to bet him if you plan to.
    Sticking with Lima.
     
  2. t6p Brown Belt

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    I've never had a successful Bellator event so I decided to try two round robins just for fun. Very small on both:

    Lima -185/Thompson-Mitrione o1.5 +173/Not Page ITD +350

    Daley-Lima o2.5 -135/Thompson +225/Santos-Page o1.5 +250
     
  3. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    4 prelim fights so far very entertaining
     
  4. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Fighter entering is singing his own entrance music lol
     
  5. lefontes Purple Belt

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    Im from Brazil, have link to watch this bellator (prelims or main card) my friend?
     
  6. null Gold Belt

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    Going with a 'less is more' betting strategy this time. Lima is a better fighter than Daley, and if he doesn't get caught with a left hook he should beat Daley by stoppage or decision.

    Bellator 158
    Risk $387.72

    Douglas Lima (-140) vs Paul Daley $280.00 for $200.00
    Francis Carmont wins by 3 round decision (+290) vs Lukasz Klinger $34.48 for $100.00

    Parlay:
    Michael Page/Evangelista Santos Under 1½ (-210) + Matt Mitrione/Oli Thompson Under 1½ (-166) $73.24 for $100.01
     
  7. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Im actually there buddy
     
  8. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    And he lost lmao
     
  9. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    When does main card start? Im confused by London time ;)
     
  10. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I am pretty sure it starts at 3 PM Eastern/12 PM Pacific. That is at least when 5dimes plan on pulling lines
     
  11. weedreference Green Belt

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    Does Cyborg have a ~20% chance of heel hooking this dude, or perhaps landing some miracle strike...? I'm willing to bet 1u at +625 to find out.
     
  12. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Odds about right imo. If Cyborg does pull it off it's gonna be like his last fight though where it happens early. But most likely he gets stomped within 1 round. The bet here is the under imo. I got it at -240. Missed the opener where odds were better but it went all the way to -310 and is now back to -280 (5d). I cannot see this thing going past rd 1. Page is too aggressive (and probably too good) for it to last long. He's either gonna steamroll Santos early (most likely) or Santos will pull off another sub or miracle strike like you said (and that will be early too).
     
  13. weedreference Green Belt

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    Also on the o1.5 in the Gallagher fight... Cutting's last two submission losses have been when his opponent pushed the pace to an insane degree, which I don't expect from Gallagher's long distance SBG style, and the other was by Brabo from half guard, which is a sub you need to get hit with once to learn to avoid. I think he will be good enough to avoid the whole 'takedown, side control, mount, back, RNC' scenario enough of a % of the time.
     
  14. robbiedawg Bettor Banned

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    Regret betting on Belly... Tape delay fucking sucks. I don't even know what fights happening right now
     
  15. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Benson Henderson vs Patricio Freire in August

    Dk what Patricio is thinking moving to 155. Dude always looked like he could make 135
     
  16. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    In 20 mins when main card starts I'm sure someone will find a stream
     
  17. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Damn reidy looked awful
     
  18. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    Please no big prelim spoilers @Sham5916910 - it's impossible for us that are not attending the event to watch it live (What a ridiculous fail from Bellator btw). I don't mean to come across grumpy - hope you're having a great event so far! :)

    I'm not too confident in anything on this card but threw out some very small prop bets:

    .5u on Francis Carmont by decision @ +325
    .2u on Michael Page by submission @ +550
    .2u on Evangelista Santos in R1 @ +1400

    Mainly just hoping for an exciting event and a high level striking battle in the main event. Good luck fellas!
     
  19. edole Brown Belt

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    I'd expect that the results are going to be everywhere. Are you planning on watching the tape delay later without any knowledge of who wins/loses? That's not going to be easy.
     
  20. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    I'm planning on watching it as soon as it becomes available (I think the UK tape delay is immediately after the event).

    It's not a disaster if the result of a fight or two is spoiled for me but I'd like to watch it with as little knowledge of what happened as possible. I'm pretty good at avoiding the frontpage of MMA news outlets and such but I can't stay out of this thread when an event is going ;)
     

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