Bellator 287: Piccolotti vs. Barnaoui, Sat. October 29, Italy

SMH was out working all day

completely forget about that low level wmma bet I made on marconetta

I knew the line would move and was planning to arb

lost $500

and Fabian what a turd
 
Hang on sherbro, everyone gets a cold streak,you'll be back
this is usually how i bounce back, i call myself a dumbass and then revaluate where i went wrong.

i hit the sub on this no chance parlay

5:35 PM
33$
Placed - 5 Team ParlayTo Win $ 6586.45
  • Mansour Barnaoui - By Submission (+325)Adam Piccolotti vs Mansour Barnaoui
  • Waldo Cortes-Acosta - By Ko, Tko Or Disqualification (+110)Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Jared Vanderaa
  • Marcos Rogerio de Lima - By Ko, Tko Or Disqualification (+150)Andrei Arlovski vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
  • Arnold Allen - By Points (+190)Calvin Kattar vs Arnold Allen

Lets see
 
Marconetto started at +185 pre-fight, then won most of R1 and was still at +135 or so. I logged into live betting too late, but I grabbed her at -205 for $150 at the end of R1 and then she flipped to -367.

$20 on Alfie Davis +105 to start.

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Staying focused and watching how the fight was going, and also being lucky that BAS still didn't adjust the live betting lines when Davis hurt Gouti's arm badly in R2 (it was only -163 Davis), allowed me to recover from the Marconetto robbery and make some good profit.

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Thank you, Mr. Scatizzi.

Time to focus on UFC. Although, having UFC on at the same time might mean that BAS will continue to not pay attention to their live betting lines, so I can snipe some more lines that are lower than they should be.

Saul Rogers was -1100 when R2 started. No idea what Tim Wilde was.

I got +213 on Wilde during the 2nd half of R2 and Rogers was around -367.

+$21.30 profit. Thank you, Mr. Wilde.

Remaining bets:

Mansour Barnaoui -140 $70 for $50
Ward/Edwards U2.5 +105 $15 for $15.75
-$150 on Manuela Marconetto (robbery)
+$330.55 on Alfie Davis
+$49.20 on Daniele Scatizzi
+$21.30 on Tim Wilde
-$15 on Rogers/Wilde U2.5
+$50 on Mansour Barnaoui

+$286.5 profit
 
this is usually how i bounce back, i call myself a dumbass and then revaluate where i went wrong.

i hit the sub on this no chance parlay

5:35 PM
33$
Placed - 5 Team ParlayTo Win $ 6586.45
  • Mansour Barnaoui - By Submission (+325)Adam Piccolotti vs Mansour Barnaoui
  • Waldo Cortes-Acosta - By Ko, Tko Or Disqualification (+110)Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Jared Vanderaa
  • Marcos Rogerio de Lima - By Ko, Tko Or Disqualification (+150)Andrei Arlovski vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
  • Arnold Allen - By Points (+190)Calvin Kattar vs Arnold Allen
Lets see
I like those other bets,I have Allen and Lima too,good luck
 
SMH was out working all day

completely forget about that low level wmma bet I made on marconetta

I knew the line would move and was planning to arb

lost $500

and Fabian what a turd
She got robbed bad,.





This is why i make more money just parlaying the favorites, you almost need dominating performances to make money.
 
Marconetto 150 to win 315
Davis 500 to win 650
Edwards Finish 500 to win 800
Barnaoui 500 to win 355 ( reduced )
Parlay Trainer/Landu/Gonzales/Edwards 300 to win 658

Added Live:

Wilde after the first 100 to win 1,000

2,013= 2u
Been a while since I had a solid Bellator win. Keep the same energy in the UFC for a great month.
 
Fabian Edwards over Charlie Ward -3.5 points (-275) $96.70 to win $35.16
Bourama Camara / Nicolo Stolli o2.5 (-115) $80.50 to win $70.00
Bourama Camara / Nicolo Stolli FGTD (+115) $100.00 to win $115.00
Mansour Barnaoui (-130) over Adam Piccolotti $97.50 to win $75.00
Manuela Marconetto (+230) over Chiara Penco $50.00 to win $115.00 (blind tail)
Daniele Scatizzi over Davy Gallon by DEC (+315) $50.00 to win $157.50
Andrea Fusi (+525) over Steven Hill $50.00 to win $262.50

Camara/Stolli FGTD is -150, whereas the o2.5 is -115 (BOL). Strange how they do that sometimes.

Edit: Camara/Stolli FGTD is +115 at 5Dimes. DNGTD is +110 on BOL. There's a good bet in there somewhere.

Fabian Edwards over Charlie Ward -3.5 points (-275) $96.70 to win $35.16
Fabian Edwards over Charlie Ward -3.5 points (-285) $150.50 to win $52.81
Bourama Camara / Nicolo Stolli o2.5 (-115) $80.50 to win $70.00
Bourama Camara / Nicolo Stolli FGTD (+115) $100.00 to win $115.00
Mansour Barnaoui (-130) over Adam Piccolotti $97.50 to win $75.00
Manuela Marconetto (+230) over Chiara Penco $50.00 to win $115.00 (blind tail)
Daniele Scatizzi over Davy Gallon by DEC (+315) $50.00 to win $157.50
Andrea Fusi (+525) over Steven Hill $50.00 to win $262.50

= $405.47

Too bad about Marconetto, but that was still a good tip. :)
 
Marconetto 3.0
Barnaouii/Kahmidov/Trainer (not sure what odds now, I had Popov too but he pulled out due to covid)
Scatizzi 2.5
Alfie decision 2.75

Pretty decent. Ended up being 2.47u up. Could have been miles better if Marconetto didn't get robbed and I didn't make that stupid last minute blind bet.
 
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