Have had money down on Amir Mansour for ages versus Dominic Breazeale at the opening 8/5 +160.
Now I like a flyer on Mansour by decision 6/1 +600 and the fight goes the distance 1/1 +100, both with Ladbrokes.
Mansour has come in at 218 so looks like he is going for speed over power. Breazeale is a lot bigger at 252 so it would take something serious to KO him.
Guerrero has never been finished, and if Keith Thurman can't finish Guerrero, Garcia probably can't.Question for the boxing diehards about Guerrero/Garcia:
Garcia -1100
Guerrero +700
But...
Garcia by KO (includes KO, TKO, DQ) or UD is only -325???
What am I missing? If he's so much better as to be -1100 wouldn't it be EXTREMELY likely he wins by stoppage or UD? Playing his ML you go from -325 to -1100 just to get him winning by majority or split dec covered (or push if it's a draw)? Makes no sense to me. If this is such a mismatch, his KO/UD line at -325 seems like awesome parlay fodder. Right?
Guerrero has never been finished, and if Keith Thurman can't finish Guerrero, Garcia probably can't.
Out of Garcia's 31 wins, 18 are by finish. You can see Garcia's recent fights as to why he's unlikely to win via stoppage tonight: http://boxrec.com/boxer/429442
Garcia by UD sounds more likely, but I wouldn't want to pay -325 for a UD line in boxing, or in any combat sport for that matter.