Decided to no-bet Sosoli vs. Joynson. As I noted on private message, Sosoli is a big, sloppy brawler who fights with his hands down, wings power punches with no set-up, and is easy to hurt and take down himself. The Oceania heavyweight scene is garbage, just like the Canadian heavyweight scene is.
As for Joynson, he has a solid enough short right hand and some limited grappling ability, but his jab is worthless, he is easy to hit, he throws his kick wrong, and generally seems like a weekend warrior with some limited skills that is getting this opportunity because heavyweights suck so bad.
Can such a weekend warrior beat Sosoli and win a UFC contract? Actually...yes. But who the hell can get a handle on this?
Anywho, a modest 0.6u on Lockard at +122 to start. Both Lockard and Brown, incidentally, are 10 times as skilled as either Sosoli or Joynson.