If Condit comes in with a good gameplan then this is a very winnable fight for him. Even if he gets taken down and controlled for the first two rounds, Maia couldn't put Brown away in the first two and Condit probably has better BJJ than Brown. In the third round vs Brown Maia's takedowns looked very sloppy. Brown made a mistake by diving on Maia when he thought he hurt him. I can see Condit losing the first two and then finishing in the third or getting a 10-8 for a draw.