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Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - June 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by blokeybloke, Jun 1, 2016.

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  1. blokeybloke Prem Fred BMF Belt Holder

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    International friendly: England vs Portugal tomorrow

    Each of England's last four games has seen o2.5 goals. Portugal’s last two games have also seen three or more goals go in. Both teams have a lot of options going forward & have plenty of goals in them. Englands defence is also quite leaky.

    o2.5 at +147 is a really good bet, imo.
     
  2. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    BaseWinner went 3-1 on bets yesterday so gonna tail him again. He likes

    NYY
    TB
    SD
     
  3. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Well I was already on the Rays as Archer has finally started looking like himself and I liked him at dog odds. And I played the under 8 in NYY/TOR game. But I'll go along with you and tail his NYY pick too. Backing Tanaka at evens is a solid play here. BOL to us!
     
  4. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    You can bet on any finals game right now under nba props. Also have mvp odds
     
  5. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    @EzFlyer I know you've been conservative with posting your plays for the French but do you like anything tomorrow? I've actually made a handful of small bets for action and won them all! I hit Isner against Gabashvilli (sp?) the other day Verdasco +6.5 against Tomic, and Gasquet as a slight dog against somebody I don't remember.

    Then I hit Bear Dick over Ferrer as a slight dog again today but I'm starting to panic b/c i don't really know what the fuck I'm doing lol. Also hit your recommended play on Gasquet games over Nishi and have a few units on Not Novak to win tourney that you posted awhile back. Anyway any leans for tomorrow?
     
  6. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Live be Sharks to win this game at +100.

    Why? Because as EZ always says, I don't like money.

    San Jose dominated the last 10 minutes of the game, and got the equalizer to send to OT. They **should** have momentum, even on the road. But EVERY time I bet the team that looks better heading into the OT intermission they inevitably lose. So do I learn my lesson and go with the team that was reeling heading in there? Nope. I'll just be stubborn and do what I do.

    Come. On. Sharks.
     
  7. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    ^^^^And there you go. At least they didn't make me wait to lose the bet. Quick mercy killing...
     
  8. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    the novak not french one got screwed when nadal pulled out :(

    and no, nothing i'd recommend. i have 1.25u goffin +1.5 sets -125 & 1u berdych +2.5 sets +125. neither are tail-worthy. and i'm gonna feel dumb if/when goffin wins outright (leaving $ on the table on his ML) and/or if berdych loses 3 tight sets (cause +7 in 3 sets is totally possible)
     
    Last edited: Jun 1, 2016
  9. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Alright thanks man. Didn't even know Nadal dropped out. I have never said this b/c I don't really like the guy, but Go Andy Murray!

    might still tail very small for action. I like this Thiem kid but from what I've seen this year Goffin always seems to be a bit underrated imo. Btw I will totally challenge you to a fight if you lose me 40 whole bucks!
     
  10. Slohog Green Belt

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    New dota 2 tournament coming up. Before the last one I posted a bet on Col to win the tournament for +6000 or so. They ended up 4th including taking a game from eventual winner Liquid and being about -400 in livebetting against Liquid in their last game (in a best of 3) and looking fairly decent. Despite the fact that they really never were close to winning, I'd say that was ok anyway. Don't think I posted any other plays (and if I did, I hope no one followed, except for the last days I had a rough tournament).

    Pre tournament I've got two bets for this one.

    2u Liquid to win the tournament @4.8
    0.5u DC to win the tournament @30.0

    I think both bets have some value. Liquid had a very nice run when they won Epicenter last month winning series against Col.Dota, OG (twice), Newbee and EG. OG and Newbee are both at the very worst top5 teams in the world and both EG and Col are around top10-ish. Basically I think they're in a good place as far as self confidence goes, they look really solid against really strong teams and they're showing that they can adjust their playstyle to their opponents. I think they win this at least 25-30% of time so 4.8 is solid value.

    DC on the other hand is a new team who's been stomping the north American scene with an absurd win rate against the best that region has to offer. They've taken three series in a row (mostly finals in qualifiers) against Col going something like 9-3 in games, they've stomped Shazam a few times (a top40 team or so on a good day) and most impressively they have some hilariously strong players. Misery and w33 are Team Secret rejects and therefore former Major winners which is really big, Resolution is on of the strongest old school east euro players, Saksa is probably one of the most individually skilled support in the world (including a 8.5k MMR) and Moo has been considered the next big thing in NA for a long time. I talked to a friend of mine in a ~top5 NA team who commented on them like this:

    "They have two major winners and three 8k MMR players, of course they don't give a shit about us and they just assume they'll run through us."

    Given the fact that no other team clearly outclasses them in talent, they're new with a fairly weird playstyle and most team probably hasn't had much priority on preparing for them I'm gonna go ahead and predict that they'll end up fairly deep in this tournament. At around +3000 I just had to take a small shot.
     
  11. barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    ^ I would stay far away from E-Sports betting. It's a fad niche bottom of the barrel pseudo sport where handicapping becomes useless. How do you cap a computer game when you don't know whether the game in question is fixed, rigged, predetermined. It's one of the biggest issues with facing e-sports unfortunately. Stick with the traditional sports where you can cap games and win money.
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    love waking up to two losses. like i said, not tail-worthy :/
     
  13. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    A fad niche? Considering in the USA ESPN is in talks for a giant deal to broadcast e-sports on television I think its safe to say its growing. Just need more Rocket League and less DOTA.

    Also pretty sure some guys in here have made out well betting e sports
     
  14. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    That's funny since livebetting Counter-Strike is my biggest money maker. Hitting insane odds all the time.
     
  15. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Always wanted to point out how barry incessantly talked about refs dictating NBA playoff games, but is worried e-sports are fixed loll
     
  16. iGnP Silver Belt

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    #barrylogic
     
  17. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    I have a small futures on Wawrinka at +800 which is a decent price considering we are down to the final 4. I thought I tailed you on this bet but looking back I think I just misunderstood what you posted....lol

    However, lets be real.....Djoko is taking this down.
     
  18. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    niche is a good thing for bettors. If you have knowledge/experience with a niche sport that is where the money is. All the lines on major sports like NFL/MLB/NBA are pretty sharp becuase everyone knows about them - especially the bookmakers.

    If I knew more about e-sports I would be all over this. Good work Agent Mulder. Post some of your picks and I will tail you if I see em in time.
     
  19. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Spot on! I used to play this game on a pretty high level many years ago. Many of the players im now betting on are guys that we used to play with and against back in the day (pronax, GeT_RighT, flusha etc). Meanwhile, a lot of the time during livebetting the bookies have no clue what they are doing.
    Unfortunately it's almost impossible to tail since the LB lines are only up inbetween rounds which is about 20 seconds time, so when I post them they will already be gone.
     
  20. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    yea, i thought he'd have to go thru nadal & then either murray or wawr. nadal one would've been the toughest and taken a lot out of him. wawr plays him heads up kinda better than anyone besides federer so he's always tough if he's on and murray's form is fantastic right now.

    ...freakin nadal.
     
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