Political Betting Thread

Paying out early is a thing here - some books do it in football if a team goes 2 nil up, others will straight up say they've paid out early (Betfred notified me they were paying out early for Biden bets on Thursday or Friday).

On that miniscule chance that Trump somehow ends up getting declared president, none of the main bookies here are going to be demanding you pay back anything if they paid out early. There's a few that haven't paid out yet (Betfair haven't paid out on my Democrats to win Pennsylvania - Paddy Power have) so I assume they'll hold out which I've no worries with.

Also if you truly believe it'll get reversed and Trump will still be in the White House come February you should spunk some cash on it - I assume you can find odds for it somewhere or ask a bookmaker/casino to give you odds for it - I imagine you can get massive odds for it so you should use your confidence and bankroll to make yourself some life changing money pal.
 
I wanted to see Trump get reelected but the courts know that if they declare him the winner now it will start a civil war and they aren't willing to do that. In order to keep the extreme Democrats from burning the country down Biden (Harris more than Biden really as she is "the future") needs to stay in office.
 
Also if you truly believe it'll get reversed and Trump will still be in the White House come February you should spunk some cash on it - I assume you can find odds for it somewhere or ask a bookmaker/casino to give you odds for it - I imagine you can get massive odds for it so you should use your confidence and bankroll to make yourself some life changing money pal.

I know this is an emotional topic with a lot of stakes beyond our betting cash. So I know some people will be looking to do that. For everyone's sake and sanity, please don't put anything significant on this. It's not gonna happen. We're far beyond a Bush v Gore situation right now. All Trump is really doing right now is trying to give excuses/plant seeds of doubt so he can claim he didn't lose, but it won't work out in court.

Lots of republican officials now realizing this and backing away from him. They're going to transition to focus on the GA senate race and how to manage Biden's incoming agenda. Trump's not gonna be president in a couple months.
 
Shills trying to demoralize the masses. Nothing new here.
Trump is going to be president for the next 4 years.
When you stop polluting your mind with propaganda, you'll see the truth. In before some shill regurgitates the “cope” script.

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Fraudulent ballots confirmed, at least 10,000 in MI on a small sample. It's not clear if they were accepted or not, but fraud was attempted on a scale that could tip the election. This guy is a legit source. He did the polls I linked to earlier in the thread. You can see his polling work is solid, he knows his stuff when it comes to elections. This roller coaster ride has only just begun.



This is his polling work. You can see its vastly superior to the vast majority of what Nate Slimeball pretends to be real pollsters.

https://www.bigdatapoll.com/portfolio/election-2020-public-polling-project/

You won't find any of this on fake news. If you on team Trump, or even if you want to be informed by a source that will tell you the truth, follow this guy.
 
I think these are fair points, but the counter is the eerie similarity between so many these different pollsters in the same direction, and those that don't have the same type of paymasters don't have this problem. Anyway, I think you would have done well with your bets. I managed to salvage most of my bets, so I won't lose too much.

This article spells out why polls were so wrong. Nate slimeball plays a big part in making sure polls do not reflect reality.

https://nypost.com/2020/11/07/the-real-reason-election-polls-were-so-wrong-again-in-2020/
 
Theyl do fookin nuttin. This race is done.

The walls are closing in, this the beginning of the end.

No, this is merely the end of the beginning. The fun really starts now. I think its time to give Hiden the new and more fitting moniker of Byeden.
 
The walls are closing in, this the beginning of the end.

Yup, Trump's got about 2 months left in office. It's the beginning of the end for him. His own wife is trying to convince him to take the L. His staffers are lighting scented candles around him because he's been gorging fast food to cope.
 
Trump went from ~50:1 to currently 15:1 on Betfair, so a decent amount of money seems to think he has a chance.
 
Yup, Trump's got about 2 months left in office. It's the beginning of the end for him. His own wife is trying to convince him to take the L. His staffers are lighting scented candles around him because he's been gorging fast food to cope.

The news that Jared and Melania are asking him to quit is nonsense, this is typical of the fake news you use to make your mind up about Trump.
 
The news that Jared and Melania are asking him to quit is nonsense, this is typical of the fake news you use to make your mind up about Trump.

It's easy to pass off everything critical of Trump as fake news, but most of the leaks out of the WH now (and in the past 4 years) are probably true. They're not just making this stuff up.
 
It's easy to pass off everything critical of Trump as fake news, but most of the leaks out of the WH now (and in the past 4 years) are probably true. They're not just making this stuff up.

Yes, they are. eg the stuff about him being asked to give up. Literally, all of the anonymous sources stuff by CNN are lies.
 
It's easy to pass off everything critical of Trump as fake news, but most of the leaks out of the WH now (and in the past 4 years) are probably true. They're not just making this stuff up.
Don't be foolish, of course they are. Deception has been off the charts for 2 weeks. Even Fox is complicit.

The integrity of media, polling and the election process is gone... And this isn't just another news event, this is a turning point, a paradigm shift.

Lying and cheating is now mainstream and the more Facebook/Twitter and News Media desperately try to censor it, the worse it will be for them.
 
Trump is going to be president for the next 4 years.
When you stop polluting your mind with propaganda, you'll see the truth. In before some shill regurgitates the “cope” script.
 

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Trump went from ~50:1 to currently 15:1 on Betfair, so a decent amount of money seems to think he has a chance.
Trump went to around 35/1, I don't think he hit 50/1. But it's not just that ppl think he has a chance it's a combination of a few things like uncertainty on when the market will be settled by betfair which causes a traffic jam of people trying to free up their bankroll that is liable on a trump win, and they are willing to take a substantial (10%) haircut, partly because some are just not wanting to risk big winnings on these legal proceedings, and some people want to use the money elsewhere like in the state markets which are more fluid. some of it is trump hype from casuals still though ofc.
 


feels like he's getting more desperate, I've not been keeping up with this at all but hopefully this will get settled sooner or later.
 
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