Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by ninjadeathcult, Jan 14, 2016.
day 3 on men's side fucking blows, too.
no bets right now.
Re: over/under games.
Yesterday in one of the games I bet over 40.5 with betfred, and the guy retired in the fourth set after 39 games of the match. They paid out as a winner, because had the match reached its natural conclusion it would definitely have had over 40.5 games.
sadly, not the case on bookmaker
this shit is starting to worry me
makes me glad i only bet on the big tournaments
I might be forcing all of these.
0.5u kudla seppi o38 +108
0.54u fed dolg o31.5 -108
0.65u thiem -1.5 sets -130
2.75u murray to win quarter -275
Uncharacteristic play but I think it hits often enough to merit the bet. Hope I don't regret it.
ah screw it, adding 0.5u kudla +5 (so 0.5u +5 and 0.5u on the over)
done for reals.
Another favorite in the WTA is about to lose to a low level player:
Svetlana Kuznetsova was -550 before her match against
Kateryna Bondarenko started, and now she's about to lose in 2 sets.
+1.5u profit via live-betting Bondarenko ML @ -115 after she dropped a game in the 2nd set. She broke back and closed it out in the 2nd set 7-5.
Too bad I don't have the time to watch all these matches, cuz there's multiple large favorites who are losing early in the tournament, and there's a ton of money to be made via live-betting.
Not a lot of good options for todays matches IMO, but I am tailing you on this one. feel like it has a decent chance of hitting. BOL
Small bet on Djoko, Seppi and Kvitova parlay. Matches starting in next 10 minutes.
Haven't posted my bets yet... i may do it later tonight. Just wanted to share this one before line drops
Ram +160 over Roberts ??
That is insanity... i'm throwing a couple units on the always underrated Ram
yes i definitely like that one, along with a bunch, prolly, still working it out
i can't even believe that ram line, is this some kind of fix? +165 ? wtf? i cap him like -250
1u ram +165 ML
3u ram +3.5 -106
2.5u giraldo +5 -125
1.09u rosol +1.5 SETS -109
1u groth-murray O30.5 -115
1.59u robredo-raonic O31.5 -106
thought about chardy -2, verdasco -6.5, couple others, but already 6 legit plays. think i'm set.
Not sure about Giraldo, but Ram +1.5 "sets" is currently -120 at Betcris/Bookmaker. I have 2u +1.5 sets and 2u +165.
I'm worried about a fix too, but neither Ram nor Roberts are in the blacklist, which means they probably fair players.
As for Verdasco, i'm going with Under 35.5 games. I have a pretty good read on Sela, he's a rally boy. Good at edgeing long rallies with accurate balls, but his forehand is on the weaker side. Verdasco is no stranger to rallies, plus he's got a stronger first service. So, basically i see Verdasco holding serve and breaking Sela more often than not.
I have no clue about tennis, but I am tilted out of my mind, so let's gamble a bit.
1k on Ram and let's waste some on Giraldo.
Probably a bad idea lol.
i really like both bets, gametheory, but you bet them bigger than i did
yea i considered the set spread, subli, it's just as good as the games
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