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UFC 206 - Pettis vs Holloway - Toronto

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Dec 3, 2016.

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  1. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I saw it somewhere that didn't come from him. Pretty sure it's all true.

    Put a sniper rifle in his hands I'm guessing he's the #1 p4p guy in MMA.

    Good thing for Kelvin that's not how MMA works. Kelvin just needs to keep it standing and stick and move. Make the 38 year old work, slow him down. I highly doubt Kelvin is intimidated by Kennedy the MMA fighter. Seems like the only thing that intimidates Kelvin these days is a salad.
     
  2. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Man I don't bet enough that it really makes any difference in my life but for the first time in awhile I'm legit wondering if I have too much on one guy. I just totaled it up, I have almost 9u riding on Cowboy one way or another with ML, itd, -3.5. I will take a solid knock to my BR if Brown pulls this off. I generally keep to 5u or less on any one fight, I got a bit carried away here. I will be sweating that fight LOL.
     
  3. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Thanks guys... I'm just going to do a minor hedge to win back the original 250 and left the rest ride. I am going to put a sprinkle on a Saggo submission low as I like that regardless...


    KS : I know it's hard to trust cowboy it at such an inflated line, but I think that he smokes brown here. Likely a kick to the liver and then jumps on his back and latches in a fight ending RNC
     
  4. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Yea JG ... I've noticed a lot of YouTube-esque trash getting talked ITT by a select few. Gotta be adults here. At least well behaved teenagers
     
  5. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    You know what never seems to help though? When another group of a select few vaguely say another select few are doing this and that and you don't like it

    Here's an idea guys. Instead of vaguely bitching about it which is super weak, PM those people and talk to them about it? After all, apparently you are the "adults"
     
  6. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Tim's definitely murdered some unfortunate brown people in his time.

    I have a bet on him at -145 but after thinking about it more I probably would've waited for the line to drop more or just passes altogether. Agree with t6p that if he comes to grapple then he'll probably take this but Kelvin is a better boxer with better hands.

    That said Kelvin gonna be at a significant size diasadvantage here, have always been high on the guy but the chubby lil fucker can't stay away from his mom's carne asada and that could play a significant factor here.

    Red flags for Kennedy are the facts he's coming off a ko loss and the long layoff at an old age make me nervous, dude is always in great shape from constantly chasing Afghanis over mountains and shit and not all that long ago he was one of the top guys in the division. Have my reservations but will stay with my 1.5u bet on him but no way I'm going any more.
     
  7. Brick Top Yellow Swag Banned

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    I am lowkey disappointed at a select few certain posters in here. What they post is less than ideal.
     
  8. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    FOTN:

    I hit Misha/Krylov small at +800. Might be a bit of a forced play, but it's the one I liked best given the odds.
     
  9. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Oh and by the way I'm getting the same message. First bookmaker did away with the live betting that we used to get every card no matter what and now this? If they take away the props I'm going to leave them for good. Used to be the only reason I stuck with them is because of the in-fight live betting. I mean, there's no way I'll keep six figures in my account there if I can't have prop bets on mixed martial art fights.

    Regarding a few other fights, I know a lot of people don't like Tim Kennedy (I don't care for him on a personal basis) but with KG moving up to 185 pounds and facing a monster like Kennedy, it's very likely that he gets ground into a fucking pulp. Kennedy is old, but the last thing to go on a fighter is his strength and Kennedy has that in droves. Moreover, he is an absolute legitimate BJJ black belt with a suffocating wet blanket of a top game and a squeeze like a crocodiles bite. Don't forget this is a man who went five rounds with Luke Rockhold and Jacare Sousa where he could have got the decision. Additionally, he flatlined Sapo Natal after absolutely manhandling a fleet footed — hard to hold down — Michael Bisping while bulling and submitting a tough as nails Robbie Lawler just as he had done to another duo of strong grappler in Trevor "Hot Sauce" Smith and Zak Cummings. It should also be noted that he handled Roger Gracie with ease.

    Take all of the above in consideration with the absolute craziness that has surrounded KG over the last month and you have a recipe for disaster here. I believe that we may see Kelvin start piecing Kennedy up with a more crisp boxing attack early before Kennedy ultimately find his way inside telephone booth range and gets in on KG's legs and dumps into the mat where he sticks to him like a midget to Velcro.

    I know she's had a bit of a rocky weight cut and past, but I got a believe the Valerie will turn out is the right place here. For chrissakes she is going to have a 7 inch height advantage over her opponent and she makes good use of her jab which will only complicate things for Pereira.

    One more person that I think isn't getting enough buzz tonight is Mitch Gagnon on who I believe will run right through Matthew Lopez. Mitch is a straight up Sherman tank of a man and will be buoyed by the hometown crowd. I expect him to carve up Lopez like a Christmas ham on the feet before putting him up against the fence and dumping him to the mat where he either grind out a one-sided decision victory or snatches some sort of violence front choke in a scramble.
     
  10. 2bet Green Belt

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    I was kind of confident in Kelvin, but you guys made me think again.
    1. He has quite the size disadvantage + I remember when he missed weight in the past he once said (it was after the Woodley fight I believe) that he can only imagine himself fighting for the title at welterweight, since at middleweight there are guys way bigger then him, like Luke Rockhold, which he might not be able to handle.
    2. He is probably in a terrible mental state right now
    3. Kennedy seems to be in a great physical and mental state, and he doesn't have to fear to get knocked out, Gastelum doesn't pack that much power
    4. Gastelum lost to Magny

    I just cashed out on my Gastelum bet, feels good (I won't bet on Kennedy though). I am thinking about the over 2,5 ...
     
  11. null Gold Belt

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    Probably just temporary as I just noticed a message near the top of the MMA section: *** For Fight Props Please Call, Call Center ***

    Although, I am not sure how that would work. "Hello, this is account # xxxxxx and my password is xxxxxx. Can you please give me the line on Donald Cerrone wins by submission? Yes...[pause] Okay, I'd like to wager $20 on that:". Madness!
     
  12. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Anybody who I have a problem with should know there no ambiguity when It comes to calling mofos out. I'll name drop the fuck outta fools.

    I got my sixth beer, my third klonopin, a lemonade Powerade, AND one of those giant 1.25 liters of Diet Pepsi on my coffee table right now! Trump's prez the time to give a fuck about discretion is over now it's fucking Armageddon bros! No more profilactics we going raw in these bitches.

    No more whining we are all degenertes so let's kill the books and if not we'll get em next time........ Or the time after that, or the time after the time after that. We are all brothers in arms let us unite as one.

    BREAK THE LAW!

    You're welcome for this post.
     
  13. NewcastleTom Purple Belt

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    holy crap, you have 6 figures with them? #1 I'm impressed #2 Don't you worry about a poker like thing where they take your money or even that the site won't pay out?
     
  14. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Lol c'mon, if you're not acting like an ass then obviously you have nothing to worry about. Having to PM other adults to remind them why manners is important is what is extremely weak. Cerealy though, this thread is a great community and I don't know about JG but I was just referring to anyone who gets off track with fighter bashing/ad hominem attacks on other posters. My "select few" comment wasn't meant to be a passive aggressive day at anyone in particular.

    Nevertheless, that is why EZ is all Smurfed out and shit. It's not for me to pontificate on.
     
  15. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Fuckin' BT. LOL you are awesome man.
     
  16. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Yeah but people like Jim and Oblivian (see how I will at least name people instead of doing this vague bullshit?) have consistently complained recently. I see it happening too much and a lot of times over the dumbest shit like ANY talk not fight related, but thats a different discussion I guess. Regardless that approach has never helped anything.

    People have different ideas of manners. And there sure as fuck isn't manners to me in talking shit and not even having the balls to name names. Guys like Brick Top are valuable bettors, even if you don't like every single thing they post. So be a man, and take it up with them personally if you truly believe its hindering your experience here.
     
  17. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    And this is why I still come here. BT bringin da fire

    coincidentally (or not) I also took a few Clonopin's this evening LOL I mean, with Cheeto Jesus as POTUS I must stay in a Matrix like fog of non-reality for 4 years anyway. Ted Nugent for President of health and human services and Willie Robertson and his son for head and Co-head of HUD ..IDIOCRACY FTW!!
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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