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UFC 207 PBP/discussion

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Dec 30, 2016.

  1. bruthead Blue Belt

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    Money finally showing a bit for Cruz on the Eurobooks.
     
  2. bruthead Blue Belt

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    Do we like Thatch R1 +250? Seems a big price. Any read on Price's durability?
     
  3. MidgardSerpent Black Belt

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    It's 1 am here in Holland. Event is gonna be in 30 min. I'm probably only gonna make it 90 minutes in, till 3 am. I have to get up at 9 tomorrow...darn.
     
  4. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    I just posted them...almost same as you bro!

    Bust out the choke fellas, I'm going all out! So if I die and you kept out the chalk, draw an outline around my body with the words "Goodfella high on NYE" and don't attempt this at home.

    Cruz (-227) RISK: 11.0 Unit(s) To Gain: 4.85 Unit(s)

    Nunes (+130) RISK: 5.5 Unit(s) To Gain: 7.15 Unit(s)

    Thatch (-161) RISK: 7.6 Unit(s) To Gain: 4.72 Unit(s)

    Oliveira (-149) RISK: 5.5 Unit(s) To Gain: 3.69 Unit(s)

    Hendricks (+150) RISK: 3.5 Unit(s) To Gain: 5.25 Unit(s)

    Dillashaw (-200) RISK: 11.0 Unit(s) To Gain: 5.50 Unit(s)

    Saffiedine (+120) RISK: 3.5 Unit(s) To Gain: 4.20 Unit(s)

    Carlos Junior (-137) RISK: 11.0 Unit(s) To Gain: 8.03 Unit(s)

    Saffiedine / DHK o2.5 (-180) RISK: 8.5 UNITS To Gain: 4.72 Unit(s)

    Oliveira -114 3.50u
    Nunes +115 2.50u
    Cruz By Decision +137 3.70u
    Oliveira By Decision +205 2.00u
    Pyle Wins in round 3 +1144 0.3u
    Cruz wins in round 4 +1648 0.3u
    Cruz wins in round 5 +2074 0.3u
    Nunes wins in round 1 +253 0.4u
    Magny wins in round 3 +1173 0.3u
    Thatch By KO,TKO OR DQ +145 4.50u
    Borg vs Smolka: Decisions -132 3.00u
    Lineker By KO,TKO OR DQ +450 2.50u


    Garcia (-189) + Cruz (-227) @ (+120) Risk 5.5u // 6.61u

    Oliveira (-149) + Dillashaw (-200) @ (+150) Risk 5.5u // 8.29u

    Thatch (-161) + Carlos Junior (-137) @ (+179) Risk: 5.5u // 9.92u

    Dillashaw (-200) + Cruz (-227) Parlay (+116) Risk 11.00u // 12.77u

    Cruz/Garbrandt O2½ (-215) + Kim/Saffedeine O2½ (-180) @: +128 Risk 10u // 12.8u
     
  5. SBJJ Steel Belt

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    I hit it small
     
  6. wack3d Silver Belt

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    i like it alot. no clue on Price's durability though since he has not faced any good fighters yet.. but he looked slow and sluggish on the feet on video if he dont get a quick td i think Thatch smokes him quick
     
  7. AldoByMurder Orange Belt

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    I feel like Thatch is due, he's also fighting for his job. I think he gets it done quickly via KO.
     
  8. Buddy Brown Dog Lover Banned

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    Oh my God guys my body is so ready!

    [​IMG]
     
  9. Tebowned Boise Dime.

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    Should start in 17 minutes.
     
  10. Dooze Purple Belt

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    I'm on Thatch R1 KO @ +300.
     
  11. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    @EzFlyer

    I noticed that you have a bet on Johny Hendricks at -115 now that he has missed 171 and is +155 what are your thoughts?
     
  12. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

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    Welcome back bro

    let's take these bookies outside and rape them

    non-consensually
     
  13. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    I might come to regret saying this implying it, but I think that Antonio Carlos Junior at -125 is the best line of the night. I know that Marvin Vettori has have some nice wins, but if you go back through his history you will see that most of them are 170 pounds tomato cans and/or journeyman fighters. What's more, he got beat up for pretty soundly against a very average fighter in Bill Beaumont in the second and third rounds demonstrating that he has extremely suspect cardio. I know that he's grown since then and that it was two years ago, but I'm not sure that he has made the necessary jump from his outing against Beaumont to be able to shut down shoe face.
     
  14. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Jeez is this your biggest night ever?
     
  15. Ukram Silver Belt

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  16. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    let's go, boys!

    means NSC, means dec pretty much to start. not big action.
     
  17. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    5 units means and just added means dec @ +350.

    Pls lets do this means
     
  18. cCrown Blue Belt

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    would be nice to not start out in a deficit. les go means
     
  19. Buddy Brown Dog Lover Banned

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    If Means loses I'm just going to expect a disaster for the whole night
     
  20. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i am on hendricks at -200, chronicled in the thread(s), cause i just had a rough "performance" as far as betting that fight goes.

    i basically bailed out of my hendricks ML and NSC plays at a loss, but will still profit if he wins. won't get *crushed* if he loses. i bailed after the weigh-in.

    since then, however, i added a hendricks RD1 prop i actually quite like

    if i had nothing on the fight, right now, i'd prolly do a unit at least on hendricks +155 range. even w/all the concerns. but i'm in the minority.
     

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