UFC 213 - Nunes vs Shevchenko II - Vegas

Status
Not open for further replies.
Pettis - did alot of striking and BJJ, moved away from wrestling, I'm getting away from winning on points and back to finish guys, I have to make a statement

 
Really like Santos, Browne, Overeem and Miller. Would be fairly surprised to see any of them lose. Laprise is over priced but would not suggest a bet against Blaydes unless very small. Think Wares price holds value. Think Shevchenko survives and wins on her skill and will.
 
@Oblivian did you have an opinion on Whittaker/Romero?

Dog or pass. I'd take either as a dog honestly. Whittaker is better standing and should be able to give Romero problems, but he's also hittable himself. Romero can do a lot of damage on the ground as well. I'm likely going to end up on Romero, but I have not made a play yet.
 
Dog or pass. I'd take either as a dog honestly. Whittaker is better standing and should be able to give Romero problems, but he's also hittable himself. Romero can do a lot of damage on the ground as well. I'm likely going to end up on Romero, but I have not made a play yet.
I know you don't like playing props but could this fight be an exception if you end up on Yoel? TKO pays a decent amount better than ML. I mean, it's pretty unlikely this fight goes to decision
 
Really like Santos, Browne, Overeem and Miller. Would be fairly surprised to see any of them lose. Laprise is over priced but would not suggest a bet against Blaydes unless very small. Think Wares price holds value. Think Shevchenko survives and wins on her skill and will.

You'd be surprised if Jim Miller lost?

I don't like his odds but I can see Pettis outstriking him to a decision(likely), tko him(Unlikely), and possibly sub him(Unlikely but hes been subbed a few times).
 
Douglas Silva de Andrade is huge!
 

Attachments

  • FB_IMG_1499366992708.jpg
    FB_IMG_1499366992708.jpg
    45.4 KB · Views: 31
I know you don't like playing props but could this fight be an exception if you end up on Yoel? TKO pays a decent amount better than ML. I mean, it's pretty unlikely this fight goes to decision

and after the first round you in all likelihood will get even better odds on a romero itd
 
I know you don't like playing props but could this fight be an exception if you end up on Yoel? TKO pays a decent amount better than ML. I mean, it's pretty unlikely this fight goes to decision

I may end up with just playing the fight ITD. I haven't really thought about it much yet.
 
and after the first round you in all likelihood will get even better odds on a romero itd
I actually dont touch live betting unless its a situation like DC vs AJ where I know AJ is on the verge of breaking going into the second round
 
I actually dont touch live betting unless its a situation like DC vs AJ where I know AJ is on the verge of breaking going into the second round

http://mmamicks.com/ufc-213-romero-vs-whittaker/

past performance is not always indicative of future results but all of rmoreos recect stoppages ar in teh thrid round and all of roberts stoppages are in the second and third

im hoping to get ml romero at +200 and itd at +450 or so as i have him winning this fight
 
http://mmamicks.com/ufc-213-romero-vs-whittaker/

past performance is not always indicative of future results but all of rmoreos recect stoppages ar in teh thrid round and all of roberts stoppages are in the second and third

im hoping to get ml romero at +200 and itd at +450 or so as i have him winning this fight
Just so I'm not getting this mixed up, your premise is to wait til the first round is over then bet on whichever fighter ITD at that point versus betting it prior to the fight?
 
i didn't think it was an error, cause line was so wide.. i have some on camozzi +5.5 and +3.5, both are still pending, think they'll honor it

i agree, laprise line COMPLETELY unjustified. up a weight class? short notice? 7" reach disadvantage? and he's never been a big KO threat.. NOT chad ITD is -150..
Nice. I looked for that on Dimes, nowhere to be found. I did get NOT Chad ITD when it was -145 though.

Yeah, the odds are basically saying Thibault Gouti could clone himself and the two of them have the same chance at beating Laprise as Camozzi does lmao.
 
Just so I'm not getting this mixed up, your premise is to wait til the first round is over then bet on whichever fighter ITD at that point versus betting it prior to the fight?

no, im on romero but believe that i will get better odds after the first round or sometime in the first round. the speed of whitacker can present problems for romero and his mo appears to feel guys out the first round giving it away which will probably be even more pronounced since it is a five round fight
 
no, im on romero but believe that i will get better odds after the first round or sometime in the first round. the speed of whitacker can present problems for romero and his mo appears to feel guys out the first round giving it away which will probably be even more pronounced since it is a five round fight
Like O said, Whittaker is hittable. A first round finish for Yoel isn't out of the question, especially if Whittaker is aggressive
 
Like O said, Whittaker is hittable. A first round finish for Yoel isn't out of the question, especially if Whittaker is aggressive

i like whitaker early and romero late but am going to wait for yoel because i generally only bet on the fighter that i think is going to win the fight as opposed ot the fihgter that is going to win the first part of a fight to middle

if i believed taht yoel was going to win the first part of the fight i would bet him now. i think that this is a great live betting fight if you like romero
 
You'd be surprised if Jim Miller lost?

I don't like his odds but I can see Pettis outstriking him to a decision(likely), tko him(Unlikely), and possibly sub him(Unlikely but hes been subbed a few times).

Yup would be surprised, I think people really underrate Miller and overrate Pettis. Miller is tough no quit kinda fighter, I dont think he gets stopped here, other than a head kick that Miller wont give Pettis distance for or a guillotne on a takedown that Miller didnt already see coming. Hes been stopped by Cerrones head kick, Chiesas RNC and Diazs guillotine. Dont see it happening here. Pettis cant defend takedowns well and he thinks he can finish people from his back, is he going to guillotine, triangle or armbar Miller? I dont think so. Can he defend the takedown? Dont think so. Does he set up head kicks as well or better than Cerrone? I dont think so. I think Pettis has low confidence in himself and like Maynard would be surprised if he won himself. Miller would be surprised if he lost and I would too. I'll be here to take that L if it comes my way.
 
Yup would be surprised, I think people really underrate Miller and overrate Pettis. Miller is tough no quit kinda fighter, I dont think he gets stopped here, other than a head kick that Miller wont give Pettis distance for or a guillotne on a takedown that Miller didnt already see coming. Hes been stopped by Cerrones head kick, Chiesas RNC and Diazs guillotine. Dont see it happening here. Pettis cant defend takedowns well and he thinks he can finish people from his back, is he going to guillotine, triangle or armbar Miller? I dont think so. Can he defend the takedown? Dont think so. Does he set up head kicks as well or better than Cerrone? I dont think so. I think Pettis has low confidence in himself and like Maynard would be surprised if he won himself. Miller would be surprised if he lost and I would too. I'll be here to take that L if it comes my way.

In no way am I saying Miller is a bad bet as he's an underdog and tough as nails veteran. I'm kind of passing myself on the fight. I just don't know how you can be surprised if a former champ beats a gatekeeper albeit a very good one. Jim would be his worst loss after losing the belt. Max, Alvarez, Barboza, and RDA.

Pettis' kicks are really good still and he's hurt people with them. Such as cerrone and Bendon Henderson(Also a southpaw). His boxing is pretty crap compared to his kick game but that should stifle miller enough to keep distance.
Jim's leg kicks will not be as effective as they were in the Dustin fight as Dustin and Jim are southpaws so the outside legkick is there.

Pettis' grappling is pretty underrated. Aside from the RDA(And guida) fight he made bendo, Eddie Alvarez and Melendez struggle to get takedowns. He also subbed Bendo, Melendez, and Chuck Oliveira. All 3 have black belt level grappling.
Jim Miller has never been this unstoppable grappler especially after the first round. He gasses bad and was outstruck and choked in the later rounds by Pat healy as well. Supposedly it's been cleared up after treating his lime disease but he still gassed terribly bad in the Joe Lauzon fight and looked very tired vs Dustin.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top