- Joined
- Aug 31, 2017
- Messages
- 1,725
- Reaction score
- 28
I know you're new here, but coming in saying "I knew Moras was likely to win" about as helpful as a stomach ache. I searched your posts and you said nothing prior to the fight.
I didn't say I "knew" it. I said my stat model had Moras as better and wanted to understand what information the model may have missed.
I never implied that my model is the ultimate arbiter of UFC truth, as it is new and has plenty of flaws. You just took it that way, which is unfair to me when most of my pre-fight posts were logical + helpful arguments for winning underdogs.
Moraes is absolutely terrible. AES just fought the stupidest way she possibly could have, which I guess isn't that surprising. But your statmodel needs some serious work if it that Moraes as better - Outcome of fight =/= always the outcome that should be expected.
Don't get me wrong-- the model rates Moras as bad. It merely rates AES as an ultrabad joke of embarrassing proportions, which frankly doesn't seem wrong.