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UFC 221 - Rockhold vs Romero - Australia

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 27, 2018.

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  1. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Wasn't it you who was bashing people for betting on Alvarez vs Gaethje, basically calling him garbage? Yeah, I'm not gonna listen to anything you have to say lol
     
  2. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    Your second paragraph is reading tea leaves, dude.
     
  3. lifeisgood12345 Purple Belt

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    He spent 2 extra hours trying to make weight. The purse is bigger than average and has interim label.

    Also it's not early weigh ins anymore, so bad weight cuts should hurt more.

    Of course I already thought Luke would win anyway, this is just gravy. But now I realllllyyy feel comfy betting a ton on Luke.
     
  4. lifeisgood12345 Purple Belt

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    No, it's stating facts that are supported with numbers. He missed weight by 3 pounds, and after two extra hours still missed by 2.7
     
  5. lifeisgood12345 Purple Belt

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    Damn sick burn. I made a losing bet once, therefore being a millionaire from gambling is completely negated lols.
     
  6. Caicara Purple Belt

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    I would never bet a ton vs Yoel.
     
  7. iGnP Silver Belt

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    The point i was trying to make was you werent listening to what anyone ITT had to say regarding that fight when CLEARLY EA was the right side as a moderate dog. You create a narrative in your mind and fail to look at a fight objectively. This doesn't really hurt Romero's chance all that much, he's still got his paths to victory. I dont think anyone here thinks he was going to out-cardio Luke. But conversely, have we ever seen Luke this drained? You conveniently want to overlook that lol
     
  8. null Gold Belt

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    Even if Yoel is just depleted and not injured, I couldn't resist betting Luke prefight at -165 risking $330 to win $200.
     
  9. ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling Banned

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    How hard do you think he really tried? What did he end up cutting? .3lbs? All that did was make him more money cause he was under 188.
     
  10. lifeisgood12345 Purple Belt

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    What's the significance of being under 188?
     
  11. null Gold Belt

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    According to the FS1 broadcast, less than three pounds over the limit meant he only gives up 20% of his purse, while more than 3 pounds over the 185 pound championship limit meant he has to give up 30% of his purse.
     
  12. lifeisgood12345 Purple Belt

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    Have we ever seen Luke interviewed directly after a weight cut?
     
  13. lifeisgood12345 Purple Belt

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    This suggests some chance that he didn't try.

    But still you'd think he'd at least lose 0.5 pound to be safe if that's ~$100k salary swing. Gotta be concerned that he has some ailment that his old body is coping poorly with. Even if it's not certain, the possbility has significant bearing on the odds of the fight.
     
  14. null Gold Belt

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    I love the KO/TKO event props on 5Dimes, from +4½ on up for this card as well as the unders at + money for fight does not go distance.
     
  15. conmemay Boxer-Puncher

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    Man you got it. Romero is a cheat lol. Dude loses just a tiny bit of weight enough to avoid the extra 10% penalty. I would be 2x pissed off if i'm Rockhold right now lol. I would demand the UFC to pay me 3x to go thru with the fight or the fight is off lol. But that's why Luke is a fighter and i'm not. It's a shame cause Luke looked drained at the weigh in while Romero did not look drain at all. This is an advantage for Romero the same way it was an advantage for Prazeres last week. Gotta feel bad for Luke tho. His chin will not hold if Romero lands a good shot.
     
  16. null Gold Belt

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    Those three pounds almost seem trivial compared to their overall size, but maybe when they re-hydrate the difference multiplies in effect. Especially with such a short time to recover this card. Luke is much taller, he should not be out-muscled or oversized in any case more than it would have been otherwise.
     
  17. mposhtkouhi Banned Banned

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    here are my UFC 221 bets- all bets are for 50$
    Abe wins by dec+159
    Quinoez wins by dec+141
    Hirota+123
    Nguyen+102
    Kennedy+185
    Kim wins inside+211
    Jingaling wins by Dec+240
    Hunt+145
    Romero+155

    Last even I lost 79.50 here were my bets!!!!! each bet was also for 50
    Here are my bets!!!!!
    Figueiredo- Wins inside+292
    Soto- wins by dec +245
    Vianna- WIns inside+104
    Means- WIns inside+249
    Smith+240
    Vera- WIns by dec+216
    Golm-Wins inside+112
    Prazzeres- WIns by dec+145
    Schevenko-Wins by dec+230
    Anders- Wins by Dec+650
     
  18. lifeisgood12345 Purple Belt

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    You bet way too many decisions for guys that have good odds of finishing. Pretty much all of your decision bets would be better if you just took ML instead.
     
  19. mposhtkouhi Banned Banned

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    I dont know how much you guys normally bet per fight but it ranges for me depending on how much i got in my account which is usually 50 per fight so not a lot. Betting for me is something I enjoy yes I would like to win but if i lose no big deal, Its rare for me to bet a -150 or higer in anything. and in mma betting I wont ever bet the fav straight up.
     
    Last edited: Feb 9, 2018
  20. northsofia Blue Belt

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    Blaydes DEC is 3.50? Why should i play his ML if i think he will win when he can not knock out the Super Samoan? Outwrestling Hunt is his most possible path to the victory here. Taking this with 0.5u
     
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