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UFC 261: Usman vs Masvidal 2 official thread

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by 2020Tracked, Apr 18, 2021.

  1. guesswhoseback Blue Belt

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    NO
     
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  2. DarkneT Khamzat sucks Platinum Member

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    Wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong
     
  3. Bakayoko White Belt

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    Crute is well rounded,explosive and hits hard.He mixes it well with body punches and leg kicks in striking offensivelly.His striking defense isn't the best and lacks a bit of head movement and Smith will have the reach advantage so he could definitelly get hit going in but he's got the chin and Smith ain't a power puncher,so I believe if it's a stand up fight he'll make more damage to Smith then vice versa.He's low kicks are powerfull and I see him choping Smith legs as fight goes on.He's stronger than Smith and good in scrambles so I see him getting top position and I think he learned his lesson against Cirkunov and has better jits than Clark and doubt Smith will catch him in a submission.I saw his interview where he said Smith is a tricky fighter who can take advantage of guys when thay gas so all together I think he's not gonna rush in.I see him as a younger,hungrier,stronger and more rounded fighter.That said,Smith is tough and known to turtle up an survive till the end and the Crute DEC odds are much better then the KO.I see a dominant 30-27 Crute UD,29-28 at worst.
     
  4. Init2winit White Belt

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    Im all in on Crute! $1000 straight and on my $500 parley!
     
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  5. HSIC White Belt

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    lol like no, don’t do it or..
     
  6. HSIC White Belt

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    Joanna says it’s 50/50.. huge factor in cancelling my bet. Will still plunge on usman and schev parlay. Solo on weili
     
  7. Kamais_Ookin Red Belt

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    Thousands upon thousands valentina parlays around the world up in flames soon, it's going to be glorious.
     
  8. Broe. Brown Belt

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    Lol small flyweight andrade is not gonna pose her any problems. I think -400 is very generous for Shev
     
  9. OuterDrake Orange Belt

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    This is her boxing

    time stamped:

     
  10. Ryan Kelly Blue Belt

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    Remember when she was hot? What’s happened is tragic.
    upload_2021-4-22_19-0-17.jpeg
     
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  11. Kamais_Ookin Red Belt

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    Became new world champ just like in 2 days.
     
  12. It's weird. She used to have an electric personality, and now she shows up to press conferences in overalls and looks so uninterested in fighting.

    Compare her personality now to this.

    Of course everyone has to grow up at some point, but she's a religious zealot now, it's so odd.
     
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  13. AK-47 Orange Belt

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    Over 5 rounds probably not but anyone can get caught and finished. On top of that he’s fighting someone who’s known for highlight reel ko’s (in his recent fights at least) and who is incredibly durable. The way I see it is for usman to win he has to be in there for 25 minutes and repeat his previous performance. I think the fact it’s a immediate rematch will favour masivdal more giving him a chance to make adjustments.

    My point is +450 ITD is crazy good value
     
  14. BigDramaShow26 Brown Belt

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    I'm all over the finishes in the Women's fights. Mostly Shev and Zhang, but I'll look for under 4.5 too.
     
  15. Spath Black Belt

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    Compare it to this recent one for example:

    [​IMG]

    That’s terrible.
     
  16. TrueAscension Brown Belt

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    Known for highlight reel KOs? Masvidal is a journeyman fighter who is actually known for decisions and losing quite a lot of fights to much lesser fighters. Just because he knocked out a depleted/overrated Till (after nearly being knocked out himself in round 1) and Ben fucking Askren doesn't mean he's a TKO artist all of a sudden.

    Don't forget he lost to Demian fucking Maia at the ripe age of 40 years old.

    Masvidal is completely and totally fucked here. +450 for him to stop Usman who hasn't been stopped in 8 years and never TKO'd seems like awful value.
     
  17. Wiktoruspro Brown Belt

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    Yep she was good fap fap material, now I didnt touch her pictures for over last years.
     
  18. GoldenWolf87 Brown Belt

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    That is a bit risky betting all favs like that in a parlay.
     
  19. Kamais_Ookin Red Belt

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    Agreed. +450 implies almost 20% outcome but I have difficulty giving masvidal more than a 10% chance of a ko, in which +1000 or more is required for value.
     
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  20. OuterDrake Orange Belt

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    no she wont, Valentina will beat her in a one sides decision with over 120+ significant strikes and several takedowns of her own, afterwards she will call out Nunes for a 3rd title challenge.
     
    Last edited: Apr 22, 2021

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