1. The official Sherdog Store is back! Check it out! » Discuss it here! »

UFC FIGHT NIGHT: REYES VS. PROCHAZKA Offical discussion

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by 2020Tracked, Apr 24, 2021.

  1. Kamais_Ookin Red Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 2019
    Messages:
    8,225
    Likes Received:
    2,447
    Benitez fight got cancelled, clown 5lb overweight and didn't try to cut expected opponent to be fine with that for some reason.
     
  2. Small little dog parlay but I think there's some value here

    Screenshot_20210430-153142.jpg
     
    Kamais_Ookin likes this.
  3. Captain Chesapeake Green Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2020
    Messages:
    1,005
    Likes Received:
    622
    Had a nice chunk on Benitez at -170
     
    Kamais_Ookin likes this.
  4. I have a few parlays ending in Jiri.

    I think Reyes is actually live here, so I may hedge if the other legs hit.

    I think Reyes comes in with a grappling heavy gameplan. If he gets Jiri down, he's going to consistently go to that early to slow him down.

    I don't think either of these fighters have durability issues, so this may end up being a war.

    Jiri is a tricky motherfucker, the way he throws his punches is incredible. He'll throw out a hook and turn it into an uppercut.

    I could see Reyes being up 2-0, and him falling into a trap.

    I really think o1.5 is the play. Yeah, Jiri has 24 first round KOs, but against lower competition, and round 1 in Rizin is 10 minutes, where most of those came.
     
    bendoman likes this.
  5. PuertoRican Gold Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2012
    Messages:
    16,181
    Likes Received:
    1,923
    #LuanaBald

    As for Botelho, I think she'll win, but I'd never touch her ML in this spot. Maybe her point spread will have some value when it's released.
     
    Sadistics likes this.
  6. Post 2 Decision Gold Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 13, 2014
    Messages:
    20,565
    Likes Received:
    17,402
    Location:
    604
    Luana looked terrible at the weigh in

    Think Botelho gets the finish
     
  7. ballsackarino White Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 12, 2021
    Messages:
    121
    Likes Received:
    136
    TJ Brown is training with James Krause now. We saw that Kamaka's grappling cardio is very questionable in his fight with JSP. Kamaka looks ok at the start of the 2nd, they wrestle for like 40 seconds and then he just looks gassed and proceeds to get ragdolled through out the round. I'm sure TJ Brown can wrestle him and put on a pace. I think he's the value side. Thoughts?
     
  8. OuterDrake Orange Belt

    Joined:
    May 11, 2008
    Messages:
    490
    Likes Received:
    219
    Location:
    Parts unknown
    isn't Kamaka like a hawaii state champion in high school wrestling?
     
  9. So many trolls on these boards now.

    One guy that quotes anyone that loses a bet and says, "ouch" in the betting thread(I think his name is guesswhoseback) or some shit.

    And now we have an incel on our hands worried about getting scammed with $10 units.

    Blocked both of them, waste of energy even replying to those nerds.

    Who's going to be the parlay buster tomorrow night? I feel like all the favorites, except for maybe 1-2 are justified.
     
    guesswhoseback and svmr_db like this.
  10. ExitLUPin K

    Joined:
    Oct 3, 2015
    Messages:
    18,993
    Likes Received:
    11,418
    Location:
    Excommunicado
    I have a feeling its Stamman for some reason. Merab is really good at what he does but really not versatile. I lost money on Dodson beating him and he looked good but i dunno. Hes a good fighter but just has such a clear ceiling.
     
    Invictis likes this.
  11. PuertoRican Gold Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2012
    Messages:
    16,181
    Likes Received:
    1,923
    I'm not worried about Merab getting the win like some of you are. What I am worried about is how many take downs he will get. Stamann has been taken down by many opponents, which gives me confidence Merab will win, I just hope he can get at least 110 points on DraftKings.

    The favorites who I think might lose are: Chikadze, Botelho, and Sanders

    The favorites who I think will lose are: Cutelaba and Kamaka
     
    DabanggData and Invictis like this.
  12. I'm the most concerned about Giga for sure.

    Merab will be able to repeatedly get Cody down, and Cody will fade like he always does.

    If he manages to win round 1, live betting Merab could have a lot of value.
     
  13. sonhow Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2011
    Messages:
    13,367
    Likes Received:
    2,085
    Stamman might win if he had any power whatsoever but Merab should be able to walk through everything he throws at him. Can't see any reason why Cody could do anything better than Casey did.

    I personally can't see any reason to bet on Sanders after all the shitty performances he has had. Maness ain't anything special but even he got Luke tapping with the little offensive threat he has.
     
  14. DabanggData The Big Ticket

    Joined:
    Oct 25, 2020
    Messages:
    44
    Likes Received:
    25
    Location:
    Twitter: DabanggData
    Props to look at:

    Luke Sanders dec +200
    Luana Pinheiro dec +180
    Sean Strickland dec +130
    A Michailidis KO -105
    Poliana Botelho dec -120
    Lookboonmee dec -135

    Dvalishvili dec -150
    Chikadze/Swanson Goes to decision -160
    Kamaka/Brown Goes to decision -175

    What are your fav 4 props above, not including the last 3 lol

     
  15. GoldenWolf87 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2018
    Messages:
    4,023
    Likes Received:
    1,871
    I saw the fight tape on prochazka agaisnt Volkan.
    I dont think taunting agaisnt Reys is going to work.
     
  16. sonhow Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2011
    Messages:
    13,367
    Likes Received:
    2,085
    Who you like for the main event?

    Jiri has had those defensive holes and he might have them untill someone makes him pay for them.
     
  17. Aranha21 Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2013
    Messages:
    1,473
    Likes Received:
    80
    Location:
    Northwest, UK
    I hope not. I've got £20 on Reyes by KO/TKO at 11/4.
     
    GoldenWolf87 likes this.
  18. Sadistics Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    2,531
    Likes Received:
    1,616
    He definitely has holes, but he fits the LHW archetype well. I'm just on the U2.5 -150 there.
     
    Sono07 and sonhow like this.
  19. Zach The Maniac Professional Russian

    Joined:
    Jun 1, 2010
    Messages:
    3,624
    Likes Received:
    593
    Location:
    The Motherland Calls
    D099DB20-1744-4C79-A197-DE3D58F1AF07.jpeg What you guys think about this parlay? D099DB20-1744-4C79-A197-DE3D58F1AF07.jpeg
     
  20. Sono07 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2019
    Messages:
    4,368
    Likes Received:
    1,196
    I haven't even really payed attention to this card at least as far as betting. Might just watch this one for fun anyway.

    I'm a fan of Loma but does she really deserve to be the biggest favorite on the card? Hughes is bigger and Lookboonmee's grappling still isn't the greatest.
     

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.