UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
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Brundage took the Maximov fight on short notice if I recall correctly. He is also a decent wrestler, had Knight in deep trouble before Herb Dean ruined the fight. Dalcha has horrible gas tank.
Dalcha's gas tank is good enough to win 2 rounds and he has all the finishing upside in this fight. But yeah doing that to Knight was pretty impressive for as short as it was, somehow I missed that part of the fight just looking at him getting brutalized by the elbows. I guess Dalcha's weakness is to specialists who can outpace him and Brundage theoretically fits that bill. But Dalcha's grappling is good enough to survive 3 rounds and win against Markus Perez who is a decent BJJ artist and Brundage is so completely unproven. Playing some Dalcha ML + KO and hedging a little with Brundage Decision is probably the best play here, I think I oversold the ML a bit in hindsight.
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You mean.. Brundage?
Lol yeah meant brundage.
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Fight round total o/u's & going distance props have come out on BFO
https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/ufc-2414
https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/ufc-2414
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fight shouldn't last much longer than that <45>
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Not quite sure why money is coming in on Aldrich
the over 2.5 is -120. There’s about a 5% chance Aldrich finishes. I would rather bet that than aldrich at +125-135
and for the record, I have Robertson capped around -205-235
the over 2.5 is -120. There’s about a 5% chance Aldrich finishes. I would rather bet that than aldrich at +125-135
and for the record, I have Robertson capped around -205-235
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Like Marzakanov, hes Fedor style, southpaw, very good speed advantage, ko power, good wrestling and top control. Beating easy Guto Inocente in HW, Íon Cutelaba easy in sambo (i think). Love him 1.66, imo this odd should be 1.40 against Tafon.
I think it's better to just get the best pre bet odds on the Yadong ML/ITD and Marlon RD 1. Everybody is going to be on that shit live like sharks, its very unlikely that you will manage to get good odds on Yadong even if Marlon whoops his ass RD 1.
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I think Dalcha beats him everywhere. I think Nick moximov could not have out grappled Dalcha like that. Dalcha strength and judo + longer years of mma grappling favors him to win. Despite his gas tank I don't think Cody is slick enough to take advantage.
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Dalcha has a bad gastank, no clue what to do in the clinch and super basic striking which consists of looping hooks and movement in straight lines.
He's explosive and powerful and has decent trips, but his BJJ sucks which makes his topcontrol kinda meh despite his physical tools.
Brundage is not a worldbeater, but the much better wrestler with decent pressure and more volume. Dalcha is KO or bust Imo, hence my play on Brundage.
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Trevin Jones is a dog against a can crusher albeit it does look like he has some skills. Interesting. Jones is a somewhat proven guy with power and a willingness to grind he might be worth a shot.
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Only 3 fighters I will be betting this event rest will be OV/UN
Current odds according to best fight odds not looking at my site so might be different
Nchuwki+145
Jackson-EV
Roberson-130
OV/UN- I like
Moutino/Cannetti-OV 2.5 -145
Lumbigabala/Brundage-OV 2.5-115
Basharat/Jones-UN 2.5-125
Aldrich/Roberston-OV2.5-125
Semlesberger/Fletcher-UN 1.5 EV hopefully my site has 2.5 I doubt it though
Silva/Perreria-UN 1.5-160
Dober/Mckinney-UN 1.5+110 Hopefully my site has 2.5
Yousuff/Cacceres-OV 2.5-170
Moraes/Song-OV 1.5-140
Current odds according to best fight odds not looking at my site so might be different
Nchuwki+145
Jackson-EV
Roberson-130
OV/UN- I like
Moutino/Cannetti-OV 2.5 -145
Lumbigabala/Brundage-OV 2.5-115
Basharat/Jones-UN 2.5-125
Aldrich/Roberston-OV2.5-125
Semlesberger/Fletcher-UN 1.5 EV hopefully my site has 2.5 I doubt it though
Silva/Perreria-UN 1.5-160
Dober/Mckinney-UN 1.5+110 Hopefully my site has 2.5
Yousuff/Cacceres-OV 2.5-170
Moraes/Song-OV 1.5-140
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-500 is a liability to your parlay. Better off betting ankalaev straight for the extra peanuts you would get from the multi
Loll i like Dalcha here too but I wouldn't take it that far. Maximov would be a lock against Dalcha after seeing what he did to Soriano who is pretty much a better version of Dalcha.
