UFC London: Thomas Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura, July 22

[DabanggData]

https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCLondon?src=hashtag_click&f=live

UFC London: Thomas Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura, July 22

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/99813-ufc-fight-night
https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/72999

https://fightodds.io/odds/4671/ufc-fight-night-aspinall-vs-tybura

Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 12:00 PM eastern

• 
  
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Venue: O2 Arena
  • Location: London, England
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • MMA Bouts: 15

UFC London: Thomas Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura, July 22

 

[DabanggData]

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/99813-ufc-fight-night
https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/72999

https://fightodds.io/odds/4671/ufc-fight-night-aspinall-vs-tybura

Jafel Filho -113

2.5 inch reach advantage. 1 inch taller. 4 years younger

Barez is on 25 day late notice

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/bouts/773899-ufc-fight-night-jafel-pastor-filho-vs-daniel-barez

"Those who have seen Filho fight on the Brazilian MMA scene or on the contender series, know that he is an especially good grappler and a specialist on the back. However, every fight starts standing and he is no slouch on the feet either. Filho has a loose relaxed style, but his work rates his very high. He has nice sharp boxing when he lets his hands go but does require a feeling-out process to find his range. This is why you will see him throw more kicks early in the fight and grow his boxing combinations the further the fight takes him. He likes to exude constant pressure, but because of this, he will tend to throw strikes to fill that space without always setting them up, often low kicks which have been countered over the top before. He has a solid right cross and a great left hook that he throws in various combinations, such as his cross step cross to left hook, or jab, cross, hook, and low kick.His takedowns are efficient, he does not typically look to pick men up, but rather work from a body lock and executes leg reaps to drag his opponents down. He will happily work by smothering his opponents against the cage if he misses an opportunity to get them to the mat, but when he does he has slick guard passing and ultimately wants to reach the back. He utilizes his guillotine in tricky ways, he will use it to defend takedowns, but also to threaten upstairs as he transitions from side control to mount. While he does have good submissions from the mount, he is specifically known for his quick body triangle, the tightness of it and the rear-naked choke is the most consistent submission on Filho's record"

Here's Filho's knockout from DWCS:

https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/1572383345417281536/vid/720x720/A-HZzAt-T_tSL-3v.mp4?tag=14

 

[Marko Atanasovik]

tom aspinall by ko/tko
nathaniel wood to win
joshua culibao by dec
makhmud muradov by dec
bruna brasil by dec

 

[Broe.]

What is Paul craigs path to victory? Triangle? I don't see a very good path of victory for him. Muniz is definitely a flawed fighter but in my opinion better everywhere.

 

[Jinx_AA]

Aspinall should be as close to a lock as there is

I like Alvarez at only -140 …. He should
Be much better striker and submission grappler over shitty diakese

mccann is setup for a slam dunk win

Marcos I think is gunna light up Davey grant too … I’m a big grant fan but he’s been talking about retirement - focusing on his restaurant …. He just looked terrible and was seconds away from losing to assancao until he got that Hail Mary inverted triangle

I think Marcos is gunna mess him up
On the feet - grants only chance is finding another sub - which I don’t think he will

just threw A 50 on those 4 today

 

[Danis_champ]

Aspinall should be as close to a lock as there is

I like Alvarez at only -140 …. He should
Be much better striker and submission grappler over shitty diakese

mccann is setup for a slam dunk win

Marcos I think is gunna light up Davey grant too … I’m a big grant fan but he’s been talking about retirement - focusing on his restaurant …. He just looked terrible and was seconds away from losing to assancao until he got that Hail Mary inverted triangle

I think Marcos is gunna mess him up
On the feet - grants only chance is finding another sub - which I don’t think he will

just threw A 50 on those 4 today View attachment 991697

There are no locks in MMA unless your name starts with B.

Anyway aren't you worried about what's gonna happen if Tybura survives early and drags this into later rounds. He is quite effective with his grinding style and Tom's cardio is still big question mark.

 

[Flexstyle]

Aspinall should be as close to a lock as there is

I like Alvarez at only -140 …. He should
Be much better striker and submission grappler over shitty diakese

mccann is setup for a slam dunk win

Marcos I think is gunna light up Davey grant too … I’m a big grant fan but he’s been talking about retirement - focusing on his restaurant …. He just looked terrible and was seconds away from losing to assancao until he got that Hail Mary inverted triangle

I think Marcos is gunna mess him up
On the feet - grants only chance is finding another sub - which I don’t think he will

just threw A 50 on those 4 today View attachment 991697

I also made a parlay with Aspinall Mccan and Alvarez. I added Muradov and Vieira. I don't know much about Marcos but will check him out

 

[The Eagle]

Why are people so high on Yanal? Odds wise it's a pick em fight but 75% are picking Yanal to win.

 

[Jinx_AA]

Why are people so high on Yanal? Odds wise it's a pick em fight but 75% are picking Yanal to win.

caz he knocked out that lanky Zuckerberg looking fucker last fight in 20 seconds

it was violent and glorious .

that said , I fully expect when he finally loses it will also be bad …. I wouldn’t wager much on that fight other then that it will finish inside the distance caz he fights like a madman.

 

[Shelter]

Combination of Ashmoz hitting hard and Chris Duncan getting rocked a lot.

Duncan might just grapple him to a decision but there is a real chance Ashmoz takes his head off

 

[Jasper_RB81]

I think Daniel Marcos is a good bet. He was very good in his last fight. Good striking and good TD. He was also very calm which I liked.
Grant on the other hand looked like he slowed down and was lucky to get that finish last fight.
He was outstruck pretty handily as well. I think Daniel at current odds is a lot of value.

 

[Thesnake101]

Combination of Ashmoz hitting hard and Chris Duncan getting rocked a lot.

Duncan might just grapple him to a decision but there is a real chance Ashmoz takes his head off

I think it's very likely Duncan goes to sleep here, and even if he doesn't, he probably loses a decision based on damage. He barely managed to get past Omar, and that was an older, low volume guy who only knows how to swing hard. Chris has also been getting rocked a lot as of late, barely came away with the win against Campbell and got slept by Slava.

Parkin at dog odds is tempting, Pogues has looked awful at HW against the lowest competition he could be facing, and Mick does seem more dangerous than any of Jamal's recent opponents.

Very high on Marcos so I'll back him to outstrike Grant. Davey is a weird guy and has put forth spirited performances in fights he should've been outclassed in, but Daniel has looked great since the three years he took off and looks like a very nice prospect.

Also like Alvarez to pick up a sub over Marc and Filho to beat Barez. Mulling over Lerone ML too, he should've lost his last one but I could see him overpowering Joshua and staying ahead.

 

[carolinagrapple]

Tom had a pretty serious knee injury almost exactly a year ago. How is tybura's leg kicking game?

From mmajunkie:

"Aspinall suffered a nasty knee injury after attempting a hard leg kick on Curtis Blaydes, which resulted in MCL and meniscus tears, and ACL damage. The injuries required surgery and physical therapy to get back on track, which he admits was a frustrating process"

 

[Broe.]

As

I think Daniel Marcos is a good bet. He was very good in his last fight. Good striking and good TD. He was also very calm which I liked.
Grant on the other hand looked like he slowed down and was lucky to get that finish last fight.
He was outstruck pretty handily as well. I think Daniel at current odds is a lot of value.

Marcos seemed pretty susceptible to leg kicks in his last fight. Exactly the one thing Grant shines in. I would be careful betting Marcos here.

 

[King-Ryan]

As

Marcos seemed pretty susceptible to leg kicks in his last fight. Exactly the one thing Grant shines in. I would be careful betting Marcos here.

I think Grant's grappling is better if it comes into play at all as well

 

[rev0lver]

Chris Duncan is gonna get tagged and he doesn't have the grappling chops to be effective against anyone decent.

Love the idea of Parkin at these odds. Don't think he's an amazing prospect but he's gritty and strong. Pogues gets odds respect for being a HW grappler, but he's not really great at it, and he's just waiting to get knocked out or outclassed. Arguably could've lost the fight against Parisian.

I don't doubt that Marcos is the right pick, but Grant is so hard to count out. Still never been KO'd and he'll never not swing. -140 is not at all a bad line for Marcos, I just can never throw that much against Grant no matter where the line's at.

 

[Georges Hefner]

Aspinall vs Tybura is a 50/50 fight.

Muradov should easily win

 

[johno]

Aspinall vs Tybura is a 50/50 fight.

Muradov should easily win

Could you please elaborate on the Aspinall fight?
From my perspective holds the speed, power, boxing, athleticism etc.
I can appreciate the fact he is returning from an injury

 

[Captain Chesapeake]

View attachment 991928


It was a MCL tear. He will never be the same. He’s 250 pounds, that’s way too much weight for his knees to hold. Fighters in lighter divisions can make a come back, but it’s going to be tough for Tom

Lol do you think 250lb guys don’t tear their mcl in the nfl and come back?

 

[MidgardSerpent]

View attachment 991928


It was a MCL tear. He will never be the same. He’s 250 pounds, that’s way too much weight for his knees to hold. Fighters in lighter divisions can make a come back, but it’s going to be tough for Tom

Wait, is that his dong hanging as low as his knees? Or are these taken from a sitting position or something.