- Joined
- Sep 24, 2007
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Just gonna chime in here:
You guys didn't cap fights before lines got released????? I always assumed everyone did. Not specifically capping to an exact number or anything but giving a range like @LeskoJohnson did (btw very nice breakdowns).
Doing it is such a great first step. You have nothing to influence or sway you. Once lines are released, (and to me this was always the most vital aspect) you might be swayed and think "Holy sh*t, why is this so far off from how I capped it?" Which is a GOOD thing. It forces you to look at how and why you capped the fight the way you did. And sometimes you'd do more study and say "Nope, my read was spot on and the books are way off". And sometimes you'd say "Okay...I'm starting to see why line is set the way it is..."
Hell, I even did it with props. I'd assign what I thought probabilities were for dec, itd, sub, KO, FGD, FDNGD, etc. Couldn't do it for every fight but did it for as many as I could. Then when props got released I'd compare and go from there. I think over the years I made a lot of $ on props because I had those #'s ready so when they got released I already knew what I was looking for.
In short...if you have time you NEED to do this. It's not the totality of capping fights, but it is a key PART of it.
You guys didn't cap fights before lines got released????? I always assumed everyone did. Not specifically capping to an exact number or anything but giving a range like @LeskoJohnson did (btw very nice breakdowns).
Doing it is such a great first step. You have nothing to influence or sway you. Once lines are released, (and to me this was always the most vital aspect) you might be swayed and think "Holy sh*t, why is this so far off from how I capped it?" Which is a GOOD thing. It forces you to look at how and why you capped the fight the way you did. And sometimes you'd do more study and say "Nope, my read was spot on and the books are way off". And sometimes you'd say "Okay...I'm starting to see why line is set the way it is..."
Hell, I even did it with props. I'd assign what I thought probabilities were for dec, itd, sub, KO, FGD, FDNGD, etc. Couldn't do it for every fight but did it for as many as I could. Then when props got released I'd compare and go from there. I think over the years I made a lot of $ on props because I had those #'s ready so when they got released I already knew what I was looking for.
In short...if you have time you NEED to do this. It's not the totality of capping fights, but it is a key PART of it.