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Even if she manages to take him to the ground somehow he would still hurt her from the bottom with his punches like kimo did to Royce Gracie, worse actually. She has never been hit by a 170 pound male that knows how to punch. Even if he can't put much power there from the bottom, it would still shock her and he may end up on top throwing leather on her while she desperately covers because she cannot handle that much power. Or he would simply take advantage, push her and get up with no technique like Derrick Lewis does and she would be terrified of even getting close after that.
The difference between male and female is huge. Look at Ostrovich, a grappler on the same division. She was crying and begging in that audio to her hubby, a 125 fighter. You don't think he hits harder than Canelo, right? And do you think he had to "outgrapple her in a fight" before she started crying and started begging him to stop punching? No, he just started punching and she froze because she is not used to be hit with that kind of power. And that dude is 40 pounds smaller than Canelo.
Boxers suck in a real fight against an MMA fighter. They've always failed in MMA. Moreno would easily handle Canelo. But a woman against a man that knows how to punch? No contest, man. Too much disadvantage. There is just no way outside a lucky submission at the beginning.
I would say that's slightly different as the dude can grapple too. If Valentina gets him down and chokes him as he tries to get back up I don't think he'd have the technique to get out.