Ok, I'm sick and tired of the so called Sherdog Betting $harps thinking the line is off and RDA is the value pick. Take it from someone who has been MURDERING the bookies by betting UFC fights and continually profiting event after event. I cap this fight -150 Mcgregor and personally I wouldn't touch RDA at +175 or better. Mcgregor is the real deal and is better than a prime Chuck Liddell. After he beat Max Holloway I knew he was something special. I see him going on an Anderson Silva like winning streak and nothing has made me think otherwise. He obliterated the # 4 pound MMA fighter Aldo when all of the anti-mcrgregor detractors thought he would lose.
The first issue we have with RDA is that there have been highly speculated rumors of juicing because of his sudden resurgence. Evidence of this is clearly seen from before and after pics from when he entered the UFC and once he started winning. There's not a chance he will be the same fighter with all the random testing that he will get for banned substances. The only advantage RDA has is in Jiu Jitsu but Mcregors take down defence has improved ten fold since his submission loss to Duffy. As highly decorated a wrestler as Chad Mendes is, he couldn't even lay and pray Connor so what makes you think RDA will considering the recent change with referee's standing fighters up i.e Sage/Pfister ring a bell. RDA takes him down Connor is getting right back up and if you've noticed wrestlers haven't been fairing too well since all of the illegal substances tests ahem Hendricks cough cough...
This fight will be fought on the feet and if it goes to the ground, I guarantee Herb Dean or Yamasaki will not allow a lay and pray fest. The fans won't allow it either and considering how popular Mcgregor is like it or not he will get preferential treatment in what I like to call the "star" effect. All superstar moneymakers get this treatment such as Floyd Mayweather. How many times did he blatantly hold on to his opponent, watch his fights and see what I mean.
I will be pounding Mcgregor like I did when he fought Aldo and I'll for the most part be coming out a winner as will the followers who subscribe to my MMA service.
I thought I'd share my expert analysis considering how much disinformation there is about the odds surrounding this particular fight.
- Barry