UFC 228 - Till V Woodley

[Naught2Sixty]

Something happen to Hassan? Lots of money came in on the Hybrid since yesterday.

 

[WetBlanket]

Woodley my largest bet now, did not have a penny on it until yesterday and thanks for the +135 that just got added.

Woodley wins by Dec +300!
Woodley wins by KO +525
Woodley ml +135 ( will add more if im gifted a better price)

 

[Dianabol]

Tyrone is gonna just take him down all day and win decision also it's gonna be a boring fight I

LMAO it's Tyron not " Tyrone" don't even know your guys name SMH

And Tyron has only secured 5 TD's in his entire UFC career LOL, yea I'm sure he'll be getting takedowns all day

 

[ChaelSonnen]

I really don't understand how any of you can bet against Till. When has Woodley fought anyone as confident and strong-minded as Till? Maia and Thompson were both scared as hell to lead against him. When has Woodley ever fought a pressure striker like Till? Oh yeah, against Rory.. This is the easiest fight on this card to bet on IMO.

 

[Dianabol]

I really don't understand how any of you can bet against Till. When has Woodley fought anyone as confident and strong-minded as Till? Maia and Thompson were both scared as hell to lead against him. When has Woodley ever fought a pressure striker like Till? Oh yeah, against Rory.. This is the easiest fight on this card to bet on IMO.

Sportbooks weren't built off the back of winners, Woodley is misunderstood by many, very overrated.

Till is one of the worst match ups for Tyron in the division. I'd be confident that Colby and Usman would also get it done vs Woodley. I'd also pick several Bellator fighters to defeat Tyron. I'd favor Lima, Koreshkov and Rory to beat Tyron.

 

[Dianabol]

Something happen to Hassan? Lots of money came in on the Hybrid since yesterday.

People finally wising up

Hassan is a physical specimen but his skills are not high level, even his Judo doesn't seem effective for MMA. Hassman will never be anything great, he's too old and far behind in the skill department to every become a great fighter, there is not enough time before he hits an athletic decline. He's only has good as he is now because of his gifted athleticism, guy can hit but he's hardly a skilled striker

 

[WetBlanket]

I really don't understand how any of you can bet against Till. When has Woodley fought anyone as confident and strong-minded as Till? Maia and Thompson were both scared as hell to lead against him. When has Woodley ever fought a pressure striker like Till? Oh yeah, against Rory.. This is the easiest fight on this card to bet on IMO.

Till no defense big weight cut could get dropped easily, when Thomson moved forward on Till he didn't back up he pushed him off, if Till Don't go backwards vs Woodley he might get KTFO. One could argue his mind is filled with delusion, in fact he likely is considering he believes his striking to be the best in UFC History, he claims he is a better striker than Mystic Mac who WINS by KO over 85% of the time. Hype Train sent line to ridiculous price, I think TILL will win but that don't matter when all I need is Woodley to win 42.6% of the time... Hype Train didn't even win his last fight although I didn't thin he lost it either His best win is vs stylistic good match up for him vs Cerrone who was likely blind sided by the kid before the train even loaded. Full capacity now moving the line to stupid prices.

 

[Karmello]

 

[Stunna77]

Big on Byrd, Till, Suarez -3.5 and Dodson NSC
Medium bets on Dodson ML, Andrade ML and -3.5
Small bets on Aldana ML and Diego ML

Also looking to bet Sterling, but might have missed the boat there.

 

[Dianabol]

Montano should be stripped

She held up the division for months with her injury problems and now she pulled out of a fight she knew she was going to lose. I don't know how much of that is cowardice TBH

Valentina is the uncrowned champ, she's been ready to fight for the title for a long time and now she's been robbed of that opportunity. Just strip Montano and let Valentina and someone else fight for the vacant belt in the next couple months.

Montano was always a paper champ and everyone knew it. She did win the belt on December 1st last year, not that long ago but IDC, she should be stripped

Probably won't happen though

 

[Gugabe]

Something happen to Hassan? Lots of money came in on the Hybrid since yesterday.

Late money comes in like that. Fair bit on Stewart, too.

Till no defense big weight cut could get dropped easily, when Thomson moved forward on Till he didn't back up he pushed him off, if Till Don't go backwards vs Woodley he might get KTFO. One could argue his mind is filled with delusion, in fact he likely is considering he believes his striking to be the best in UFC History, he claims he is a better striker than Mystic Mac who WINS by KO over 85% of the time. Hype Train sent line to ridiculous price, I think TILL will win but that don't matter when all I need is Woodley to win 42.6% of the time...

I mean. Till reminds me a lot of early McGregor, and neither's the best striker in the promotion's history by any means.

Darren Till 169

Keep doubting haters, that cut was harder than the fight will be.

Eh. I feel like we're either getting a coinflip KO1 in one of the first few exchanges, or a split where neither does much since they're both very, very aware of their gastanks. I'm actually putting a little on the draw @ +6600 since they've both got a history of close decs and could definitely both find a 10-8 in there somewhere.

 

[bruthead]

When has Woodley fought anyone as confident and strong-minded as Till? Maia and Thompson were both scared as hell to lead against him.

Till was scared to lead against Wonderboy.

 

[mkess101]

Till was scared to lead against Wonderboy.

Everyone sort of is. Or they realize he's a brilliant counter striker like Anderson Silva was but becomes very average when forced to lead.

I could be wrong, but I don't see Till being as hesitant against Tyron. Not that Tyron doesn't have big power, but you want to make him work so his power wanes as the fight goes on. You don't want him to be able to coast to where he Carrie's the power the whole fight and is always one punch away from knocking you out.

 

[mkess101]

Montano should be stripped

She held up the division for months with her injury problems and now she pulled out of a fight she knew she was going to lose. I don't know how much of that is cowardice TBH

Valentina is the uncrowned champ, she's been ready to fight for the title for a long time and now she's been robbed of that opportunity. Just strip Montano and let Valentina and someone else fight for the vacant belt in the next couple months.

Montano was always a paper champ and everyone knew it. She did win the belt on December 1st last year, not that long ago but IDC, she should be stripped

Probably won't happen though

Normally I think it's pure idiocy to call a professional fighter "scared". In this case though...maybe the exception. Montano was a lamb being led to the slaughter.

 

[GrantSorenson]

Normally I think it's pure idiocy to call a professional fighter "scared". In this case though...maybe the exception. Montano was a lamb being led to the slaughter.

She fucked up some of my parlays. I took Valentina at 1.7 ITD. It was going to be free money.

 

[Dianabol]

Late money comes in like that. Fair bit on Stewart, too.


I mean. Till reminds me a lot of early McGregor, and neither's the best striker in the promotion's history by any means.


Eh. I feel like we're either getting a coinflip KO1 in one of the first few exchanges, or a split where neither does much since they're both very, very aware of their gastanks. I'm actually putting a little on the draw @ +6600 since they've both got a history of close decs and could definitely both find a 10-8 in there somewhere.

Woodley's best chance is a 1st round KO for sure. But I do think the longer this fight goes it for sure favors Till. Woodley's last few fights were fought at a snails pace which was really to Woodley's benefit. Woodley out there breaking records for least strikes landed in a title fight with Maia.

Woodley cardio is so suspect and yall must have forgot, it's the reason he fights so conservative, it's the reason he's only scored 5 TD's in his UFC career. I suggest you watch Dan Hardy's Inside The Octagon breakdown, he could not be more on point IMO, I agree 100% with his analysis, Dan Hardy was being a straight shooter bout it too.

Till is my max bet for this card, I managed to get 3k down on him at around +120

I've been thinking Till and Colby are the top WW dogs for a while and I was 100% planning on betting Colby vs Woodley but I think Till has an even greater chance at winning.

Woodley beat a damaged Lawler who was ripe for the picking, barely scrapped by WB, I bet Woodley in the 2nd fight and I really thought WB won 3 rounds despite Woodley winning the fight as a whole. Maia was a gift match up. Any one that's going to pressure Woodley with dangerous striking and solid cardio is going to give him big problems, especially a big poweful striker like Till.

Woodley is not the best WW in the world, I barely think he's a top 5 WW. I'm very confident in Till, he's pretty much everything I look for in a fighter I want to do business with.

 

[Stunna77]

Woodley's best chance is a 1st round KO for sure. But I do think the longer this fight goes it for sure favors Till. Woodley's last few fights were fought at a snails pace which was really to Woodley's benefit. Woodley out there breaking records for least strikes landed in a title fight with Maia.

Woodley cardio is so suspect and yall must have forgot, it's the reason he fights so conservative, it's the reason he's only scored 5 TD's in his UFC career. I suggest you watch Dan Hardy's Inside The Octagon breakdown, he could not be more on point IMO, I agree 100% with his analysis, Dan Hardy was being a straight shooter bout it too.

Till is my max bet for this card, I managed to get 3k down on him at around +120

I've been thinking Till and Colby are the top WW dogs for a while and I was 100% planning on betting Colby vs Woodley but I think Till has an even greater chance at winning.

Woodley beat a damaged Lawler who was ripe for the picking, barely scrapped by WB, I bet Woodley in the 2nd fight and I really thought WB won 3 rounds despite Woodley winning the fight as a whole. Maia was a gift match up. Any one that's going to pressure Woodley with dangerous striking and solid cardio is going to give him big problems, especially a big poweful striker like Till.

Woodley is not the best WW in the world, I barely think he's a top 5 WW. I'm very confident in Till, he's pretty much everything I look for in a fighter I want to do business with.

Agree 100%, where did you manage to get $3k down at +120 though?!

Scrap the Rivera and Price bets too, don't bet a fav who can only win by close decision and another who is hittable af and has no structure to his game. You on Byrd yet? If not, jump on that while his price is still -1xx, who knows how many more opportunities we get to fade Stewart.

 

[GrantSorenson]

Agree 100%, where did you manage to get $3k down at +120 though?!

Scrap the Rivera and Price bets too, don't bet a fav who can only win by close decision and another who is hittable af and has no structure to his game. You on Byrd yet? If not, jump on that while his price is still -1xx, who knows how many more opportunities we get to fade Stewart.

Byrd by sub is also a mandatory bet here.

 

[Stunna77]

Byrd by sub is also a mandatory bet here.

Eh, I was waiting for it to release, but +140 really isn't that great. Took shots on TKO +1313 and Dec +550 instead. Although I agree sub is most likely, it isn't THAT much more likely.

 

[GrantSorenson]

The way Till backs up is very dangerous against Woodley. After rewatching their fights, I have Woodley by KO. I don't think Till has the footwork to get out of the way of Woodleys overhand right. Woodley is going to time it right and use his stutter step to get close enough to explode over the top. He will use that stutter step to feint his way in and Tills going to be wide open. I just don't like the way Till backs up, it looks like he's going to be a sitting duck for that punch. It's not like it's coming from way out, Woodley is fast enough to cover distance and maintain balance without throwing the shot yet. He can back Till up into the shot if you know what I mean.