UFC on ESPN 7 Overeem vs Rozenstruik Official Bets

Jairzinho
Calvillo
Struve
Ladd
Font
Yadong
Means/Billy
Bryce
Solecki/Muradov
Muradov/Virna
 
UFC on ESPN 7 Risk $4,660.00

Alistair Overeem (+100) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $200.00
Alistair Overeem/Jairzinho Rozenstruik Under 1½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
Alistair Overeem/Jairzinho Rozenstruik Under 1½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00

Marina Rodriguez (-125) vs Cynthia Calvillo $250.00 for $200.00
Marina Rodriguez (-129) vs Cynthia Calvillo $516.00 for $400.00

Ben Rothwell (-136) vs Stefan Struve $544.00 for $400.00
Ben Rothwell (-140) vs Stefan Struve $280.00 for $200.00
Ben Rothwell (-140) vs Stefan Struve $560.00 for $400.00

Yana Kunitskaya (+140) vs Aspen Ladd $100.00 for $140.00

Song Yadong (-205) vs Cody Stamann $410.00 for $200.00
Song Yadong (-205) vs Cody Stamann $410.00 for $200.00

Rob Font (-140) vs Ricky Simon $140.00 for $100.00

Tim Means (-255) vs Thiago Alves $510.00 for $200.00

Billy Quarantillo vs Jacob Kilburn: No Bet

Bryce Mitchell vs Matt Sayles: No Bet

Joe Solecki vs Matt Wiman: No Bet

Virna Jandiroba (-255) vs Mallory Martin $510.00 for $200.00

Makhmud Muradov vs Trevor Smith: No Bet
 
Forgot i had 2u on Solecki at 1.30
and 0.5u on Solecki ITD at 2.75
 
UFC on ESPN 7 Risk $4,660.00

Alistair Overeem (+100) vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $200.00 for $200.00
Alistair Overeem/Jairzinho Rozenstruik Under 1½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
Alistair Overeem/Jairzinho Rozenstruik Under 1½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00

Marina Rodriguez (-125) vs Cynthia Calvillo $250.00 for $200.00
Marina Rodriguez (-129) vs Cynthia Calvillo $516.00 for $400.00

Ben Rothwell (-136) vs Stefan Struve $544.00 for $400.00
Ben Rothwell (-140) vs Stefan Struve $280.00 for $200.00
Ben Rothwell (-140) vs Stefan Struve $560.00 for $400.00

Yana Kunitskaya (+140) vs Aspen Ladd $100.00 for $140.00

Song Yadong (-205) vs Cody Stamann $410.00 for $200.00
Song Yadong (-205) vs Cody Stamann $410.00 for $200.00

Rob Font (-140) vs Ricky Simon $140.00 for $100.00

Tim Means (-255) vs Thiago Alves $510.00 for $200.00

Billy Quarantillo vs Jacob Kilburn: No Bet

Bryce Mitchell vs Matt Sayles: No Bet

Joe Solecki vs Matt Wiman: No Bet

Virna Jandiroba (-255) vs Mallory Martin $510.00 for $200.00

Makhmud Muradov vs Trevor Smith: No Bet
how much do you make a year? you be betting a semsters worth of tution for me
 
Nice. First winning event in over a month. You already know I only post when I win :eek:
Thug Nasty performance was fucking legendary. No comment on Rothwell fight

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props to whoever managed to get overeem by sub +1000 on 5d.
 
1u on Overeem at 1.95

1u on Marina Rodriguez at 1.77

1u on Yana at 2.55

1u on Rob Font NSC at 1.40

1u on Billy vs Kilburn U2.5 at 1.89

1u on Mallory Martin at 3.40
0.5u on Mallory martin DEC at 4.75


2u on Solecki at 1.30
and 0.5u on Solecki ITD at 2.75

Not liking this card, so hoping for some good livebet opportunties. But glad UFC is back, 3 weeks felt forever.

Very nice event. Glad the UFC is back and just feeling happy i managed to get that draw livebet. After some great previous weeks pre-betting went negative this time. So many close fights though. Solecki almost had the finish, Marina almost had the win and the same can be said about Overeem. I wasnt so confident in the pre-bets, which is why i went with so few units on each bet. Hope everyone had a good and fun event.

Total profit/loss: -2.51u
 
Solecki 3k to win 900$

Sayles 260$ to win 208$

Means 350$ To win 165$

Overeem 350$ To win 315$

Good luck guys

+750$ Can’t believe reem got knocked out with 4 seconds left. Unreal.
 
Font £50 for £86

Ya Dong £100 for £157

Bigi Boy £45 for £85

Yana £55 for £123

Bigi + Font £50 for £164

Font + Ya Dong £25 for £67

Bigi Boy to finish £40 for £92

Solecki to finish £50 for £150

Reem/Bigi under 1.5 £50 for £86

Solecki to finish + Bigi to finish + Ya Dong/Staman under 1.5 £20 for £448

Have a few other silly £5 parleys for the lolz and some bets on the boxing but I favour live bet there

Whatever hit from there, plus my boxing wins and...Screenshot_20191208-003512_Chrome.jpg

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Loved the time off between cards, as it really rejuvenated me.

I only taped 5 fights this card (Rothwell-Struve and Jandiroba-Martin were no-bets), but I'm looking forward to a lot of hardcore taping for the PPV next weekend.

That being said, I'm absolutely FURIOUS with myself for not getting down more than 4u on Rozenstruik when he was at plus numbers. Should have been at least a 5u spot, and if so, I would have slightly increased my other amounts to reflect my relative confidence levels.

Annoyingly, I made the exact same mistake when Rozenstruik faced Arlovski, only putting 4u on him then at -155, too. Bleh.

4u on Rozenstruik at +110
2.5u on Rodriguez at -125
1.35u on Ladd at -150
0.5u on Ladd by TKO/KO at +345

Bet 0.7u on Stamann vs. Song GTD at -170 after round 1, for an additional +0.4u. Should have hit that a hell of a lot harder.

Anywho, finished the night +7.4u. Can't tell if I was lucky or unlucky on the Rodriguez fight being a draw, but the Rozenstruik result was very lucky indeed.

Oh well, after hitting great value bets in the last two main events on Kattar and Jacare only to wind up losing 5.5u for it, I'll take the luck this time around. :)

(While not a good bet as I had thought, I don't think Rozenstruik at plus odds was a bad bet either. Overeem fought perfectly, but didn't have the cardio or wrestling to out-grapple Rozenstruik for more than 3 rounds. Thus, he was at risk in the final 2 rounds. And even a tired Rozenstruik is capable of putting you to sleep; his power never goes away.)
 
-6.1u, Reem fight was an almost 10u swing at the end with it going over 3.5 and that finish. Livebet was mixed but up overall, hit Yadong-Stamman Draw live at +2000 which was nice. Both Dec props failed but felt like clear value. Sayles bet was shit though, need to go over that one again, his defensive grappling looked beyond awful compared to prior fights.
 
+$1110, was on track for a decent night til the final four seconds of the main event. Always feels like shit to end on a bad beat. Tried to get so much on Yadong/Stamann draw +8000 but couldn't get a single bet through. With Combate bets being voided and +$1124 on KSW, closes out a +$2234 night.
 
Overeem ML - 2.5u for 2.17u (-115)
Song ML - 3.5u for 2.06u (-170)
Ladd Submission - 0.25u for 2u (+800)
Rodriguez ML - 1u for 0.83u (-120)
Rodriguez Decision - 0.5u 0.83u (+165)
Simon Decision - 0.5u for 1.1u (+220)
Sayles ML - 2u for 1.82u (-110)
Alves-Means O2.5 Rounds - 1.4u for 1u (-140)
Rothwell ML - 1.5u for 1.09u (-138)
Starts Round 2:
Wiman-Solecki + Sayles-Mitchell + Alves-Means - 0.5u for 0.47u
Stamann-Song + Rodriguez-Calvillo + Alves-Means - 0.5u for 0.54u
Sayles-Mitchell + Wiman-Solecki + Kilburn-Quarantillo - 0.5u for 0.48u
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Fucking sad over here, fellas.

I did my usual multi-bet approach.

Had 3k on Jandiroba, Muradov, Ladd and Rodriguez all to win. It would've won 10k profit.

Then had 300 on another multi, an 8 legger which was the same as above, but with Quarantillo, Solecki, and Means to win + Overeem and Rosh to not reach a decision. It would've won 3k profit.

Stood to win 13k profit.

The draw with Rodriguez fucked me up . . . or so I thought. In the end, they paid out for some rule they have about draws.

In the end, I risked 3.3k and won 5.5 profit.

I mean, it was still a good day, but yeah, that 13k was stupidly close and would've been nice lol.

Recent record over the last 3 UFC cards has been 4k, 3k, and now 5k in profit, always doing multi-bets.
 
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