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Here we go again, Dana leading me on...
How do we think Pettis wins? I think people think he's less shot than Cerrone, but Cerrone has fought some killers and can still dominate top 15 people in the division who are younger and in their prime. ( Al, Hernandez etc).
Pettis also seems to have a little bit more quit in him, Cerrone will fight on unless you crack him real bad. I think rd2 and 3 are Cerrones once he fights his way into the fight and it remains standing. Pettis might win with the first with his flashiness but his cardio has been horrible lately and Cerrones is still top notch.
Pettis's striking is still top-notch and I envision him countering Cowboy who has a tendency to keep his head stationary after throwing a jab or a 1, 2. Pettis does quit a lot in fights but it tends to be after a couple of rounds of brutal warfare after his fragile body has broken his will, whereas with Cowboy he has a weak chin and that Overeem 'deer in the headlights' cover-up whenever he gets hurt so I would say Pettis is the much more likely to win by stoppage.
I'm a little worried as Cowboy is one of those fighters who perform best when there isn't pressure so I wonder if the empty stadium will benefit him but it would be more of an issue if Cowboy game planned to his opponents but at this point in his career, I think he is just happy to trade standing up.
Thoughts on Jacare-Hall?
Watching Hall struggle against shoeface and loosing rounds against Byron Davis I lean Jacare.
Albeit close I thought Hall lost 2-1 against shoeface but Jacare is better then shoeface in every area, maybe jits is even due to Jacare being older but way better striking and likely better takedowns with that judo black belt.
I could see Jacare winning rounds with striking, cage pushing and top control, could also see an head and arm choke.
I had 2 units on Jacare before 249 got canceled. My thinking is that Hall doesn't have the TDD or raw power to keep Jacare off him and without a crowd presence there will be less pressure for the ref to separate them so Hall will likely need an early-round KO to win.