UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai

[BigSteve]

Alright you boys have made me dig into this, even though im not taping anything else for now @Captain Chesapeake @Ryan Kelly

I also have money on both sides and line keeps flipping so I needed to find out.

Manon has the power and athleticism edge, that's evident. But then again so did Silva and I actually rate Silva as a more dangerous fighter over Manon. Manon still has some green tendencies, I dont like how she is always spamming the same sidekick. It leaves her quite open when she does miss. She has been cracked a few times because her hands are low. Moroz is not the biggest hitter but judges will notice it. Both have great volume and both are able to do it for 3 rounds.

Moroz is very tough, I don't think she gets put ou here no matter how much punishment she takes. She recently started grappling more. Her lack of athleticism makes her takedowns pretty crap. She has a great entry into clinch but doesn't have the drive to finish.
She used is against Mazo and Silva who have bad TDD. Manon is opposite, she seems very strong and gets her hands locked and double legs opponents against the cage.

In quick summary, so im not going on for ages, I think this is still low lvl MMA. Manon has a power advantage, and she should be cruising even if Moroz attempts to grapple. Manon can make some mistakes and end up on the ground, so its either a pass for me or I play Manon at no lower than 1.66 odds.

 

[Captain Chesapeake]

The odds on MDLR remain the same no matter how many other things you add to a parlay. Her odds do not change.

No parlaying. I played her at -160 to win a unit. I didn’t have enough in my bas account to get more on her. I don’t want to add to her line at current odds

 

[Ryan Kelly]

Last thing I’ll say about this one, and I will preface this by saying I realize this seems like a superficial and simplified take, especially in light of the detailed opinions by some sharp guys whose posts preceded this one. Most are overthinking this one. Manon overwhelms her. Moroz will try to take her down and will prob end up on the bottom, where she will get beat the fuck up. -140 a gift. But by all means everyone please steam Moroz.

 

[guesswhoseback]

2018 bahahaha horse racing, soccer... How is that relevant to mma betting? You really showed me, guys like you , stewdog and jordan never post picks nor do you post winnings. You guys are nothing but trolls who live in your moms basement. You have the emotional level of a kid looking to get a rise of forum members. Get a life and stop looking for likes, focus on making money, this all started because a douche was chitting on someone's picks and i defended him, it really bugs you guys when people don't bet the way you do, how sad, people can't have preferences anymore. Get mad all you want and like each others comments, I'll still make big money pots and enjoy my check.

Hey I'll pm you if I need to know who's going to win the next soccer world cup.

What Lol I post my picks legit every single event your a clown I am alwlays one of the very first one who post it Only Time I ever see you win is suprsiingly on live bets when thats very easy to not show your losing live bets your a joke and I really feel sorry for you. You didnt mention MMA betting you said cashed a 4k payout ticket so I showed you. Lol big money ok clown try and post your picks in the offical bets page please I wanna see how great you do

 

[mkess101]

I lean Boser too. Stick to your guns. There isn’t a worse feeling in the world than letting someone talk you out of a correct read. If he loses it will hurt less than you passing and him winning.

Oh yeah. Learned that long ago. I'm happy with my moderate bet on him and will leave it at that.

 

[2020Tracked]

Has Boser fought a consistent wrestler/cage pusher?

 

[Jordan3399]

2018 bahahaha horse racing, soccer... How is that relevant to mma betting? You really showed me, guys like you , stewdog and jordan never post picks nor do you post winnings. You guys are nothing but trolls who live in your moms basement. You have the emotional level of a kid looking to get a rise of forum members. Get a life and stop looking for likes, focus on making money, this all started because a douche was chitting on someone's picks and i defended him, it really bugs you guys when people don't bet the way you do, how sad, people can't have preferences anymore. Get mad all you want and like each others comments, I'll still make big money pots and enjoy my check.

Hey I'll pm you if I need to know who's going to win the next soccer world cup.

I'm a massive fraud lol

MMA Handicapper Profile, Jordan3399 : MMA Betting Tips. Bet MMA.tips

If all you are claiming is live wins then BiPolarPaul will be on you like a hobo on a sandwich so watch out (I know he posts his own but we'll ignore the hypocrisy).

 

[guesswhoseback]

I'm a massive fraud lol

MMA Handicapper Profile, Jordan3399 : MMA Betting Tips. Bet MMA.tips

If all you are claiming is live wins then BiPolarPaul will be on you like a hobo on a sandwich so watch out (I know he posts his own but we'll ignore the hypocrisy).

God I wish he posted his bets under Official bets I would parlay all his picks but do complete opposite of every single 1 of them SMFH only time he ever posts any of his bets its only Live bets LOL hmm..... wonder why

 

[ballsackarino]

Taking a stab at Lipski +235. I'm just gonna stick with my principles.

Can vs can matchups for wmma, just take the big dog. I've won with Carolina, Melo, Modafferi, Cachoeira, Hannah Guy lets hope Lipski gets it done even if it is tough stylistically. I don't think it's close if she can keep it standing, MDLR has taken shit tons of damage recently. Lipski has a PTV, put enough damage early while avoiding the clinch and the TDs. I think it's worth a shot.

 

[Stat_Collector]

I'm a massive fraud lol

MMA Handicapper Profile, Jordan3399 : MMA Betting Tips. Bet MMA.tips

If all you are claiming is live wins then BiPolarPaul will be on you like a hobo on a sandwich so watch out (I know he posts his own but we'll ignore the hypocrisy).

You have a 47% win rate this is like a mma record of 4-6






What goes into the mind of someone who plays for such lowball earnings?

Like do you have a drug addiction that needs feeding?
Im not even trying to be mean here. Put some effort into actually making a huge pot and parlay bigger lines, its not hard, i've had 50k parlays worth that were off by two fighters. Why would you even make these bets? Just save the money you get from your job, you'll have the same amount.

 

[Jordan3399]

View attachment 857311

You have a 47% win rate this is like a mma record of 4-6



View attachment 857314


What goes into the mind of someone who plays for such lowball earnings?

Like do you have a drug addiction that needs feeding?
Im not even trying to be mean here. Put some effort into actually making a huge pot and parlay bigger lines, its not hard, i've had 50k parlays worth that were off by two fighters. Why would you even make these bets? Just save the money you get from your job, you'll have the same amount.

Unit size on the site means nothing...

Shouldn't expect much from a guy who loves to parlay big fans yet still criticises a 47% bet win rate like it has some bearing on actual profit lol

That is also just including certain prebets, doesn't include any livebet profits or early lines I can't track cause they don't last long enough. My actual ROI is way over 20%.

I hope you're trolling cause that is a special level of stupid.

 

[guesswhoseback]

View attachment 857311

You have a 47% win rate this is like a mma record of 4-6



View attachment 857314


What goes into the mind of someone who plays for such lowball earnings?

Like do you have a drug addiction that needs feeding?
Im not even trying to be mean here. Put some effort into actually making a huge pot and parlay bigger lines, its not hard, i've had 50k parlays worth that were off by two fighters. Why would you even make these bets? Just save the money you get from your job, you'll have the same amount.

Hey man can you please start posting your bets under the Offical bets page since you are such a Pro I am sure you do awesome every event I just wanna see it please

 

[guesswhoseback]

Unit size on the site means nothing...

Shouldn't expect much from a guy who loves to parlay big fans yet still criticises a 47% bet win rate like it has some bearing on actual profit lol

That is also just including certain prebets, doesn't include any livebet profits or early lines I can't track cause they don't last long enough. My actual ROI is way over 20%.

I hope you're trolling cause that is a special level of stupid.

Jordan please leave the dude alone obviously hes a joke and has no life hes a real life troll. he should be ashamed of himself for how stupid he is and thats saying a lot coming from me because the only 2 people on this board that I am smarter than is @OuterDrake and @TrueAscension Lol just messing with you Trueascension its all love brotha please be a man and dont block me its just a mma forum dont let anyone here affect your life. But for real I am smarter then outerdrake all Jokes aside

 

[GoldenWolf87]

Some insights on some of the fights. For the Preliminary Card.

There are some fighters in this fight card in June 5th card looking to make a statement to come back with wins i think.

Alan Patrick v Mason Jones

So far i am actually liking the match up Alan Patrick v Mason Jones. Both fighters are coming in after some losses, we have Mason Jones coming in to face Alan Patrick after his debut loss in the UFC, so clearly Mason Jones is looking forward to bunch back up in the win circle.
While Alan Patrick has two losses one loss to Bobby Green in a Dec.
And another with a Ko loss to Holtzman.
We haven't seen Alan Patrick fight his whole year so we dont know if he will be a bit of ring rusty so we shall.

I do think this fight does go to the ITD prop. Probably goes to Jones. I dont hate taking a stand with Patrick as the underdog either.
But either way i do think this fight likely goes into ITD.

Dusko Todorovic vs Gregory Rodrigues
Not sure if they will make this fight go into the main card or the preliminary yet. This is another fight match that is likely to go ITD. With Todorovic looking forward to come back to the winning after a war in his last fight. I am still looking into "Rodrigues before giving out my final thoughts on this one"

Nate Landwehr vs Makwan Amirkhani

Cancelled Fight.

I really do like some other fights as well. But these two ones i am looking forward to them.

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

@GoldenWolf87 nate pulled out long time ago vs makwan

 

[GoldenWolf87]

@GoldenWolf87 nate pulled out long time ago vs makwan

Oh so no new fighter had being announced yet for this makwan? dam. I spend a bit of time researching on it.

 

[Stat_Collector]

Unit size on the site means nothing...

Shouldn't expect much from a guy who loves to parlay big fans yet still criticises a 47% bet win rate like it has some bearing on actual profit lol

That is also just including certain prebets, doesn't include any livebet profits or early lines I can't track cause they don't last long enough. My actual ROI is way over 20%.

I hope you're trolling cause that is a special level of stupid.

Nah i can read english, it says you're right 47% of the time, you can try to spin it how you want , you are pulling low numbers.

 

[guesswhoseback]

Nah i can read english, it says you're right 47% of the time, you can try to spin it how you want , you are pulling low numbers.

Your funny

 

[mkess101]

Nah i can read english, it says you're right 47% of the time, you can try to spin it how you want , you are pulling low numbers.

I have no idea who he bet on, but if let's say 75% of my bets were underdogs and hit 47% and lost 53%, I'd be making good $.

I knew a guy who only bet NFL moneyline underdogs, that's it. Never point spreads, never favorites (no other sports that I know of). Only dogs on the ML. His win % was under 40% (I can't remember it exactly but I think around 35%) but he made amazing ROI. He lived in Vegas (now lives in Colorado but back then in Vegas) and he actually got banned from a couple sportsbooks out there. He was betting $15-$20k per game iirc (but I think it was him and a couple other guys who went in together, at least for some of the time he was out there).

Anyway, point is that win % really means jack shit, it's ROI that matters.

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

Nah i can read english, it says you're right 47% of the time, you can try to spin it how you want , you are pulling low numbers.

I like how you ignore the +146 average odds that go with that win % along with the 200+ units profits and ROI over time.

You insult @guesswhoseback as a troll who doesn't contribute despite the fact that he selflessly creates parlay threads where he stakes his own money for multiple users in this forum to make bets. As for @Jordan3399 he offers great insight in these forums and runs arguably the best breakdown videos on Youtube which you can find on his page.

Meanwhile, you're the clown who always conveniently remarks how thankful you are that you pulled out the -600 fighter in your square parlays last minute as it goes down in flames after the fact! I graciously gave some of my time to you in the past where I gave a warning of how shitty your betting process and picks are, and I'm sad to see that not only has it continued but even gotten worse.

its not hard, i've had 50k parlays worth that were off by two fighters.

Oh how I wish I was your bookie. The biggest of fish.