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Bellator 149 - shamrock vs gracie... again...

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 8, 2016.

  1. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    F it. I'm rounding it up to .8u to almost win 1u
     
  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Bahhh ok.
    0.5u Gracie shamrock o1.5 +120. Pretty sure that's about to drop, btw.

    1.5u Vassell +165.
     
  3. Scythe Brown Belt

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    Kimbo is right below the line that I set for myself to bet him. Also on the over (for Royce/Ken).
     
  4. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Maybe but man I can't help but think if Ken doesn't want it there it won't go there. And while Ken's striking these days sucks, it's still light years ahead of Royce's. Maybe Ken's ego or instinct has him shooting and taking Royce down but honestly he's in almost zero danger standing and is bigger and can dictate where the fight happens.
     
  5. danareem Green Belt

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    line dropped hard on the over 1.5 gracie/shamrock, +120 to -120
     
  6. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Guys, the videos of this Dada guy are easy to find with a google search if you haven't watched them. They are painful to watch because it's so bad but it will show you there is actually value in Kimbo at -270. I bet him. He could get caught I suppose but it will be pure dumb luck of Dada's fist miraculously finding Kimbo's jaw. Dada literally wings wild punches in the pocket as his strategy. Kimbo is obviously just...Kimbo but at least he has SOME boxing skills and moves his head and throws crisp punches.
     
  7. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Royce will pull guard if he can't get the takedown, and i'd be surprised if Ken stopped that. Even if he does, Royce is old but notoriously tough and prideful. Not so sure Ken sleeps him.

    I was actually shocked o1.5 had + odds also because is there anyway this ends itd besides Ken sleeping him? Thats basically what you're betting on.

    But who knows. They're old as fuck. Maybe someone breaks a hip before 1.5 rounds goes by
     
  8. burge13 Purple Belt

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    I don't post much/ever but long time lurker (years). You can get Ken at 1.88 over Gracie at William Hill Australia for those interested. Also, should I jump at this?

    Since he is < 1.50 elsewhere it seems...

    Hard to out down hard earned on 50 year olds!
     
  9. null Gold Belt

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    Bellator 149

    Kimbo Slice (-270) vs Dhafir Harris $270.00 for $100.00
    Linton Vassell (+140) vs Emanuel Newton $75.00 for $105.00

    Parlay:
    Kimbo Slice (-270) vs Dhafir Harris + Royce Gracie/Ken Shamrock Over 1½ (+120) $100.00 for $201.48
     
  10. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Did the same parlay when lines came out. Also have an individual bet on the over
     
  11. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    -350 is like stealing on the u 1.5 for Kimbo/Dada. This line should be like -800 LOL. Like I said watch Dada's previous 2 fights and then ask yourself if there's really any legit chance this fight sees round 2. I'll pay the juice here too. Somebody (probably Dada) is getting KO'd early.
     
  12. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Agreed. Someone gets KOd in the first, pretty shocked its that low.
     
  13. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Shamrock + Kimbo paying around evens at WHill ultimate degen play!
     
  14. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Big shift in lines on Kimbo, the under, and the over for Ken/Royce
     
  15. MidgardSerpent Black Belt

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    The 2 main fights are just pathetic. Bellator do you have no shame?

    Why are there 18 fights on this card by the way?
     
  16. null Gold Belt

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    Big movement on Linton Vassell too, almost down to evens. He's +105 atm.
     
  17. null Gold Belt

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    Money is the answer to both questions as it almost always is in business:

    1- Higher ratings from the legends and freak show fights to get more viewers to sell and charge more for advertising.
    2- Bunch of dark bouts and online prelims filled with local fighters to help sell tickets to increase the live gate.
     
  18. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I'm on Shamrock and Campos so far. Guillard has just appeared to decline big time IMO.
     
  19. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    iirc melvin hurt his hand early in his fight with Girtz so that may be why he didnt look good in that fight
     
  20. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Will bet Campos by decision if the line is nice enough. No way I ever bet Melvin as a favorite, thats for sure
     

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