Trafalgar and a few other big data analytics firms that were among the few to accurately predict Trump 2016, Brexit, and the mid-terms are all predicting another Trump victory in 2020. Some of the problems that the polling companies got wrong in 2016 are being repeated now, many likely intentionally.
1.) They are over-sampling: democrat voters, college educated, and suburban Republican women.
2.) They are over-sampling registered voters vs. likely voters.
3.) They are under-sampling rural voters and those with just a high school diploma.
4.) They aren't weighing social desirability enough, if at all. In other words, they aren't accounting (enough) for the "shy Trump voter."
The polling companies and big data groups that called 2016 and Brexit (this is a very small number) accurately did so because they accounted for these factors, many if not all of which are once again being ignored or underreported by the MSM and the pollsters they've hired.
Trump is going to win again, and all I want is for all the "oof, Biden up by 14 points" retards to come take their lumps when it is over. Please don't disappear for a month, and then come in and tell us how the polls were right all along when they gave Biden a 98% chance at victory, and Trump supporters are just too dumb to understand what a 98% chance of victory actually meant.
Trump is going to win. Again. The polls are wrong. Again. Come back and admit you were wrong when it is over and don't blame it on Russia this time.
