DWTNCS 5: Baghdasaryan V Buzukia

WolfgangKennelz said:
Not sure exactly wat a unit is. My game plan usually is start playing small parlays throughout the week. Like say I take the Yankees with hunter azure, the avalanche with jalin turner etc... i do 50, 100 bets all over the place. Plus I lock in larger bets on ufc. That way I get in my fix on all other sports. But ufc and boxing are my huge moneymakers. I've learned that I can't stop gambling football baseball etc so this is how I mitigate it lol. Having said that. In the short time Ufc was the only sport u can bet on. I did make 20 grand lol. Julian Erosa KO over sean woodson I had 250 on plus Erosa for like another 1000. I went on an absolute tear for a couple months
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Unit size is a good way to control amounts you bet/your bankroll based on confidence.

typically 1 unit =$100

Max bet 5 units
 
WolfgangKennelz said:
U in on flick? I see the line dropping. Im considering going w the elevation guy if line gets close to even. Also very interested in the under in that fight as I expect a stoppage victory either way
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Yea I put two units on him as the dog, would ideally like to arb down to a unit. I probably would’ve bet smith at his opening price. I did this last week with Flores and alves. I wanted alves at plus odds but ended up taking Flores at around even. I’m still kind of on the fence

Nate smith has more was to win but flick is vastly more experienced. Smith likes to grapple and flick has pretty good jiu jitsu. Tight arm triangle. If smith under estimates him and looks to grapple I could see him getting subbed.

Typically I don’t like betting on these specialists, but it’s dwcs and smith has fought anyone with the grappling creditable flick has

may just end up playing an itd or fdngtd
 
hmm interesting lines.

Lutz 455 to win 200
Flick 147 to win 200
Bagdasaryan 87 to win 100

Looking at Brudage when he becomes a dog and Lawrence if Jose gets steamed.
 
Thinking of a parlay with Lutz and Buz. Not really sure about both these fighters so I’ll have to trust this forum on this. Will look into it though. I have no idea if there’s any dogs either
 
ill800 said:
Got Jose Johnson at -175. Very experienced. Fast, fluid striking. Doesn’t telegraph much. Accurate

I like Ronnie Johnson too but he throws way too many spinning back kicks and he had problems with the speed of armfield. Fortunately for him armfield slowed down after rd 1.

Jose is going to be hard for him to deal with
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You got a good price, b365 always takes so long to release contender series lines. See him in -250 range and prob -300 by the time I have access lol.
 
I’m liking the plus money on Flick here. Smith was submitted 7 times as an amateur while Flick has over 10 wins by submission. I realize that smith was young back then and has improved a lot, but there is a very clear path to victory for the dog.

Neither guy is much of a striker, so I’m expecting a grappling heavy affair. Smith is more athletic and powerful, but I’m guessing Flick catches him in a scramble at some point. I cap him at -150 or worse, so at +120 I pounced on it.
 
Got Brundage at +100 now he's -155 feels good. Lines got juiced everywhere
 
ill800 said:
Unit size is a good way to control amounts you bet/your bankroll based on confidence.

typically 1 unit =$100

Max bet 5 units
Click to expand...

How so... its typically just 1% of your bankroll isn't it? I presume most people don't all start gambling with a $10,000 pot.
 
Lutz and maybe Johnson were going to be my plays but I missed the early -200 lines, and I don't think I want to pay -300 for them. I have to remind myself next week to bet early.
 
Y'all make your Tuesday degen moves before consulting the #gamblenati?

tenor.gif
 
ill800 said:
typically 1 unit =$100
Click to expand...

it isn't typically anything because a unit is just a 1-1.5% of your entire bankroll/kitty. If you've got 100k to play with, then a unit of that is 1k.

A unit is different for everybody, really. I've never even bet as low as $100 ever, I don't think.
 
WolfgangKennelz said:
Not sure exactly wat a unit is. My game plan usually is start playing small parlays throughout the week. Like say I take the Yankees with hunter azure, the avalanche with jalin turner etc... i do 50, 100 bets all over the place. Plus I lock in larger bets on ufc. That way I get in my fix on all other sports. But ufc and boxing are my huge moneymakers. I've learned that I can't stop gambling football baseball etc so this is how I mitigate it lol. Having said that. In the short time Ufc was the only sport u can bet on. I did make 20 grand lol. Julian Erosa KO over sean woodson I had 250 on plus Erosa for like another 1000. I went on an absolute tear for a couple months
Click to expand...
I do the same, but at lower wagers.
What book do you use for boxing? That is where I do best out of all sports.
 
Anyone got a ticket to the show?
 
Brockstar said:
I do the same, but at lower wagers.
What book do you use for boxing? That is where I do best out of all sports.
Click to expand...
5dimes but I made so much off them they give me problems now. So I use bookmaker, betonline, fanduel (I live 30 mins from the sportsbook) and local bookies
 
Small on Johnson and Brundage. Knight has heavy hands but doubt the weight miss does him any favors.
 
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