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General MMA discussion and future lines - June 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by rille31, Jun 1, 2016.

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  1. iGnP Silver Belt

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    yes i am. Maia is not very athletic. he grabs a hold of his opponent and drags them down

    edit: wait i think we're getting confused here. i think Maia can get Condit down but it wont be easy. What i meant to say is Maia isnt athletic enough to get the takedown at will against Condit like he has on his recent run of wins
     
    Last edited: Jun 28, 2016
  2. chemmy Green Belt

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    I wouldn't say that Anderson had "bad" takedown defence, plus those are two different weight divisions and two different versions of Maia.
     
  3. iGnP Silver Belt

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    yea i just edited my last post, i dont think Maia cant take Condit down, i just think itll be difficult

    Anderson's takedown defense was all predicated on his reaction and his movement. I dont think I remember him ever being able to stop a takedown where his opponent got a deep shot on him
     
  4. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    I missed the Condit opener, he is now +175 so I will just wait for a better price on Maia instead.

    Took these instead:
    Caceres +220 & O1.5 -166 (love this o1.5 line).
    Story +195
     
    Last edited: Jun 28, 2016
  5. jack5603 Yellow Belt

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    How smart of a bet do you think a holm/jones parlay is?
     
    Last edited: Jun 29, 2016
  6. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Maia absolutely can wrestlefuck Condit for three rounds. If this was five rounds I would favour Condit but over three I think Maia can at least win the first two rounds. Maia is tough as hell so i can't see Condit finishing in round three either. I would have taken Condit @ +220 but I would have freerolled on it as I do like Maia here but not near -200 plus.
     
    Last edited: Jun 29, 2016
  7. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Barboza -250 @ Betsafe.

    This seems about right to me. I really like Barboza here so should i parlay it up now or is it going to open around this mark everywhere do we think?
     
    Last edited: Jun 29, 2016
  8. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    I like him too but I will wait for a better price.
     
  9. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    So you think it could come in lower? I was thinking that too.
     
  10. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    I do, not that confident but Gilbert is still a big name. I guess post-roid fade could fuck it up but I dont think so.
     
  11. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    @iGnP

    respectfully disagree with maia not being able to take down condit.. if you don't think maia's td's have improved since the anderson fight.. idk what to say.. he now has the best td's in the entire 170 division, quite possibly... and anderson's tdd is better than condit's...
     
  12. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    @iGnP Yeah I'll be with you on betting Condit as a dog, but I think we should expect Maia to score takedowns. Rory fought a great game plan with his stance and use of jab and straight kicks at range and still got bull rushed into takedowns a few times. Just a matter of how much Condit can make Maia work early to take over the second portion of the fight, imo
     
  13. iGnP Silver Belt

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    i acknowledge Maia can and probably will get a takedown(s) in the fight. But I dont think he will be able to take Condit down at will, like he has w his recent opponents. I really see this fight being a boring fight of bull versus matador and even though Condit's TDD hasn't been good in the past, I would think he would find a way when that's literally the only thing he needs to worry about in this fight
     
  14. rille31 Brown Belt

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    Took condit +175

    Down to +140

    Hopefully condit can replicate the Rory fight, either that or maia on his back for 3 rounds
     
  15. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Condit is getting wrestlefucked.
     
  16. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Yeah I think so too.
     
  17. burge13 Purple Belt

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    As soon as Maia/Condit was announced I immediately thought of the Condit R3 prop. Confident Maia doesn't get the sub and will be made to work alot in 2 rounds. For mine its either Maia via 'boring' 29-28 decision or Condit gets the late finish.

    Then again, I'm sure everyone thought this when it was announced. Almost too obvious
     
  18. kenCs Couches, couches, couches which one should I pick? Banned

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    Maia can submit anyone. Im more inclined to think Maia subs Condit in the third. Having a backpack on is tiring af.
     
  19. burge13 Purple Belt

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    Condit much better on the ground than Brown. I have little doubt Condit can survive. He may not get back up but I dont think he gets subbed.
     
  20. kenCs Couches, couches, couches which one should I pick? Banned

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    Gunner has better jiujitsu than Condit and he got ran through. Condit will survive for a while but Maia is gonna snact ha sub in the third or get a decision in my opinion.
     
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