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Official UFC 196 Thread

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 7, 2016.

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  1. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Already on Conor ML and Conor dec.....but since we're on the over for significant strikes now too.....kind of feel McGregor in round 1 compliments that as easily the most likely way that doesn't hit. Wish it was at least +200 though.
     
  2. Ballsaque Yellow Card Yellow Card

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    Nice one, though I would argue the averages will swift drastically upwards in this fight, seeing as especially Nate has spend a shitload of time on his back. If you go back and watch the matches where he exclusively strike, his averages are extremely high. Same thing applies to Conor, but in a different way, as he's mostly put his opponents away quickly, or been wrastled/Wrastled himself(Holloway)
     
  3. piglord Black Belt

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    i really think this fight is close a 50/50 and will happily take villante at his current line. i think the size difference is going to be enormous at the weigh ins and his odds are going to shorten.
     
  4. wack3d Silver Belt

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    wow and i thought i had alot of bets :D
     
  5. Rawex -

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    Do you get money back if they have same amount of takedowns? (in other words no takedowns in the fight)
     
  6. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Yeah, if they are tied with takedowns in any way even if neither of them get one, the bet is a push
     
  7. barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    If you think this is a 50-50 fight then you aren't capping fights properly. I don't want to make it sound like I'm coming down hard on you for your opinion, but it's wrong. This is not a 50-50 fight because as they say "styles make fights". I can tell you just off the top off my head without doing any indepth capping for this particular fight why Latifi is the rightful favorite. It's due to the fact he's a good wrestler who doesn't have a propensity to gas. Unlike Gian who, if gets taken down is going to have trouble. Also Gian has a notoriously poor gas tank. Hell, I don't even think Gian has a power advantage but if size matters to you then yeah he's taller than Latifi.

    Guys: I'll be providing my free value pick for this card very soon so stay tuned. I have one fight that I capped which I absolutely love when it comes down to value town. If there's any first time bettors who'd like some mentoring hit me up and I'll steer you in the right direction.

    - Barry
     
  8. Ballsaque Yellow Card Yellow Card

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    Would you say that you're the Mayor of Valuetown, Barry?
     
  9. wack3d Silver Belt

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    damn its amazing to see how far Barry has come in the betting world.. going from being the cooler to mentoring new bettors in such a short span.. good job Barry.
     
  10. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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  11. SirKratos Silver Belt

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    I wish I had a mentor like Barry...

     
  12. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    What Euro book?
     
  13. Johananwtf White Belt

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    I really want to hit Holm to finish Tate x 2.40 the money on Unibet. May go big on this one
     
  14. cagebrain Purple Belt

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    Move over McGOAT, the new goat has arrived: the barrygoat, the goat of valuetown!
     
  15. Medical Marijuana Man Buddah Buddah Buddah Banned

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    I'm big on Nunes at -125

    Small bets on Diego at +120
    Miesha at +250
    Diaz +370
     
  16. Gametheory Brown Belt

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    Nate has no wrestling, other than a very rare throw.
    Conor has shown good takedowns in the past, and he is a much better wrestler.
     
  17. Eredin Green Belt

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    Gonna go in on Conor ML + Miranda KO + Erik Silva ML.

    Or i might just do all ML with Holm in there.

    also thinking about Ishihara ML + Saggo ML and Sanches/Miller ov.2/5.






    Miesha has been pretty open that her key to victory is pressure Holly(mindgames perhaps) and she's as wild and reckless as anyone with her aggression. she's also been saying that it's do or die for her as she may never get another titleshot.
     
    Last edited: Mar 3, 2016
  18. lawmills2006 Purple Belt

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    -400 for McGregor/Diaz O 0.5 Rounds, thats getting added to some parlays.
     
  19. lawmills2006 Purple Belt

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    Didnt you bet Rousey @ -1000? Do you even understand capping?
     
  20. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    First time bettors: if you take Barry up on his offer the first $ you need to spend is at Walgreen's or CVS on a jar of vaseline. Keep it handy for your assholes as your bookies will be routinely entering them.
     
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