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Official UFC on FOX 18 Thread

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 5, 2016.

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  1. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Sweet! Didn't know he trained with Firas. Good news indeed.
     
  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Saff seems like he's been working hard this entire time off, seen him in pics with other fighters for months

    Ring rustrust is a concern, but I think hell be prepared otherwise
     
  3. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    i chucked breese in with those 2 as well, for 2.24 on williamhill
     
  4. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Like Sage by dec +300. Holbrook is tough and has better cardio and overall ground game then Pfister. Think this line is worth a stab.
     
  5. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    not bad. idk on holbrook cardio for the record

    thinking about this one
     
  6. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Holbrook gassed in r3 in his last fight but yeah it was on short notice. Hard to say that he has better cardio than Sage though since we dont really have much info on Sages cardio at this point. Also worth pointing out that Ramsey rocked Holbrook a couple of times. He doesn't have very good striking defense.
     
  7. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Sorry if I worded it weird, meant his ground game and cardio is better than Pfister not Sage

    Yeah its risky, his striking defense isn't impressive from what i've seen, but I think +300 is a good price to stab it. If Pfister made it to round 2 before gassing and tapping, I think Holbrook with a full camp stands a chance of making it to the scorecards. Hes a tough dude with a more well rounded skillset than any of Sage's previous opponents.
     
  8. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Yeah your probably right that theres value in +300. If Holbrook can get inside and force some grappling exchanges he should have a decent chance of surviving.
     
  9. OneWarrior1 Brown Belt

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    AJ's fight to lose. He handled Phil Davis, yet Bader supposedly beat Davis. I'm on AJ medium and looking for a reason to go larger.
     
  10. jrleclerc88 Brown Belt

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    That was some of the weakest striking I've ever seen from davis vs Johnson... Bader has a lot of things going for him IMO and hes good betting value. AJ is what +450? I think that's wayy to steep.
     
  11. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    I dint give Bader much of a chance here.

    Tarec +800 to win by TKO. Has to be worth £50.
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    interesting +800 line there, sham
     
  13. edole Brown Belt

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    I prefer to post in oblivians thread
     
  14. TimCoreCombat Green Belt

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    Can't see Bader beating AJ.
     
  15. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i can, if he survives rd 1, he's got a shot

    could be good live betting fight for bader if he does
     
  16. cberasi Green Belt

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    The ease in which Rumble quits when things aren't going his way, Bader in RD4 and RD5 at +3450 & +4450 are insane I think
     
  17. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I disagree. Bader can snag a sub on him on the ground or also land something standing. AJ also slows down big time, so if he gets takedowns early, his chances go up big time. AJ via T(KO) is definitely the most likely outcome, but I think playing AJ at his current odds is square as hell.
     
  18. Ballsaque Yellow Card Yellow Card

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    Where you seeing that?
     
  19. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Betvictor if i remember right.
     
  20. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Of course there's a chance Breese rocks him then submits him but Breese TKO is -137 at Betvictor. I'm not really a prop better but willing to lay my biggest prop bet ever on that line.
     
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