I get peoples reservations if the fight goes late but I really do not expect it to. I questions Bader's chin. If Glover and Machida can knock you out AJ will take your head off. Tito also hurt him with a punch which led to the gulliotine. Bader's stand up has improved but the Davis fight could have gone either way and AJ demolished him. Evans hadn't fought for two years and didn't look great i don't read too much into that fight. I ever remember Perosh seemed to stun Bader standing. I see Bader being very tentative in this fight i don't think he has the game to pressure AJ and clinch, etc to wear him down. I think he gets sparked in r1 or 2.