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Official UFN 86 Thread - Croatia: JDS vs Big Ben

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Mar 9, 2016.

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  1. Dirtey Green Belt

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    Rothwell is pretty much the opposite to Overeem imo, he always looks like shit but finds a way to pull out a ace from his sleeve. While Overeem always looks great but finds a way to lose.
     
  2. Alanf7 Black Belt

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    I don't think he really hurt him, more like he overwhelmed him there. Mittrione himself stated that he just wanted to switch things up with the takedown so Rothwell would start worrying about it. This is my opinion.
     
  3. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    This is another thing I see a lot of people see but I disagree with this too. Hes not a technical marvel in the textbook sense, but the angles he comes at are unique and shot selection is on point. No one would say Barnett has shit standup, and in that second round Rothwell started lighting him up before the choke. His adaptability is nothing to scoff at either, in all of this recent fights he has found an opening rather quickly and jumped all over it.

    JDS has never looked good backing up, and at some point in all his fights Rothwell becomes very aggressive, so thats another interesting factor.
     
  4. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I love the chick fight as FOTN at +900. Few quick reasons why:

    - Should be an aggressive action packed fight

    - Chick fight

    - Main card opener

    - Every fight after is LHW or HW (4 HW fights!)
     
  5. Card Silver Belt

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  6. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    that was my first instinct.. main card like you said...

    might do it, too

    other considerations:

    hadzovic-taisumov +575 (i have been saying all week: i think hadzovic is gonna be competitive as hell)

    stasiak-pejic +1200 (pejic a high output hometown guy and got a big reception at weighins, close fight on paper, etc)

    and actually kinda like two fight pass fights:

    whiteford-martins could be a slugfest and it's +1000 ("featured fight pass")

    chirico-velickovic +900 - could also be competitive, likely to go the distance, two talented dudes (at least it seems like chirico is talented, we don't really know on him, at least i don't)
     
  7. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I've got a lot of Field over ___________ plays. I had Mickelson, Stenson, and Spieth making the cut. I'm bound to lose a Field over __________ play unless someone like Matsuyama rises. I'll be watching pretty much all day too.
     
  8. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I'd throw out the Tais and Velickovic fights due to price and being 1st fight, respectively


    I think I like the other 2. No bets, tho
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    yea if tais-had was +800 i'd do it, gonna pass on that and velickoivc ones

    i stabbed +800 moroz-stanciu, too, just to win 1u (0.125u) -- thinking about another 0.1u on maybe one of the other two (pejic fight or whiteford fight), hehe

    thx, jae
     
  10. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    The event props are up

    Can anyone confirm big cage?
     
  11. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i heard it's 28' cage, which is in between big and small cage
     
  12. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    lol are you serious? We have a midsize cage now? Or has it already been around for some time?
     
  13. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i like o5.5 +122 and o6.5 +316 decisions, honestly

    i know it's euro card, i know a lot of hw's, i know the cage isn't the "big cage"... but it's 13 fights...

    i see these fights as being likely decisions:
    moroz-stanciu
    dalby-cummings
    hadzovic-taisumov
    velickovic-chirico
    stasiak-pejic

    medium likelihood:
    tybura-johnson
    martins-whiteford

    so that's 7 of the 13 that i think could very well go 3 rounds. and the other 6 (4 hw fights ,entwistle one, blachowicz one) all COULD, but prolly only get 1, maybe 2 decisions out of the lot)
     
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    just think i heard that, no source available for this, plz confirm if anyone can
     
  15. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I was honestly leaning over if it was the big cage, and I most likely would have went with the unders if it was the small cage lol... Now we supposedly got this midsize cage in the mix. I don't know what to do at this point, I think am slightly leaning overs
     
  16. piglord Black Belt

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    well, i was in the minority of people who were on overeem in that fight and reem is much more dangerous on the feet than rothwell (still think reem beats rothwell 8/10 times). i think people read too much into records in heavyweight wagering when often a fight is decided in one single instance. reem actually predicted JDS to win this.

    yeah JDS looked like total shit but he was against (IMO) the best, most dynamic striker in the division who packs serious knockout power. i don't think he wil be gunshy against a guy who is unathletic and wades forward blocking punches with his face.

    i do think rothwell has great durability and great opportunitist submissions, but i think JDS with the superior striking will be the deciding factor here.

    i like rothwell but i think he's been finding ways to win rather than dominating, and eventually he's going to come undone. for even money i'll wager tonight is the night.
     
  17. piglord Black Belt

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    basically man i think cummings is very underrated and shows constant improvement every time he fights. plus he has a tonne of experience against a guy who is still pretty green. happy to wager on cummings at dog odds.
     
  18. Rebel_LioN Silver Belt

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    Don't usually bet these event props but I like

    Rob Whiteford/Lucas Martins wins FOTN +1000

    and my 2nd guess to the winner to this bonus would be

    Rothwell/JDS +375
     
  19. AmazingGebi Banned Banned

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    Does 5Dimes offer FOTN bets? I don't see them anywhere...
     
  20. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Under MMA props
     
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