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UFC 208 - Holm vs De Randamie - Brooklyn

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 17, 2017.

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  1. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

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    Hello Robbie. Are you from Russia? I'd recommend you to follow me, i am printing money this year like a boss.<GinJuice>

    Edit: your text tells me your English is very good. And that profile pic.. so bricki'sh. Using words like "data", "in advance"," betting experts". You are just pretending to have bad English. come out of the closet Brick we know it's you again.
     
  2. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

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    Phillipe Nover is much better than his record shows.
    Reis/Ulka will go to the ground more often than not. I think he could hang but need to do research.
    McCall/Brooks is heading towards evens. Dunno who Brooks is, so ill need to do some research but McCall, however banged up he is, might be a decent bet at evens.
    Favoring - Belal, and Glover pretty much. Might look to play other spots, but I wont force plays. Might keep it small this event and go ham LB.
     
  3. NorthernLights Blue Belt

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    * Brooks was an alternate for TUF24 but never made the show, according to him probably because he didn't have a title from a major organization. But points out "Nobody was touching me...They knew who daddy was".

    * He comes across as very confident in himself. Says he won't have any octagon jitters since he's fought in big shows in Japan and is "...too strong for that shit."

    * Doesn't cut weight to make 125. "I still eat some shit". He has fought at 115 lbs before but says he didn't feel comfortable and is stronger and faster at 125 lbs.

    * "Hat off to Ian...tough fight for anybody" But he thinks he's close to retirement and doesn't want to do this sport anymore. Plans to mind fuck McCall as much as possible. "I'm a master at getting into peoples heads"

    * Coached by James Lee (at MASH Fight Team in Michigan)

    * Best friends with Justin Scoggins
     
  4. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

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    I would've liked Jared here at anything above +180 but now it looks like Glover might be the play for me if the line keeps moving towards evens. We know Jared can stick and move like a boss but there are still question marks about his grappling and Glover has a dangerous top game.
     
  5. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

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    i dont get the cannonier hype at all. he beat Asker LEL and then squeezed out a decision against cutelaba who is one dimensional (although with a wrestling backround i guess) Glover outclasses this cannon dude.people stop flushing ur money down the toilet....
    <{clintugh}>
     
  6. lawmills2006 Purple Belt

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    I played Cannonier last time, just as he has soul disconnecting abilities.

    I don't think its valid to play him this time though, unless Glover has a leg missing at weigh ins or something
     
  7. NorthernLights Blue Belt

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    About Brooks/Mccall...One thing that springs to mind is the weight difference. McCall walks around at like 145/150 lbs IIRC and should have a pretty big weight advantage here once they're in the cage. Brooks seems like a legit prospect to me. He's a really solid wrestler (I read somewhere that he used to be ranked as number one in the nation at 113 lbs).
     
  8. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Jesus christ
     
  9. cCrown Blue Belt

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    I know right!! I am actually having a friend that lives in another country make an account for me because i can't access them. The lines are so out of control.

    I mean you can just play those lines straight up. You can play the line movement at other bookmakers to get even more ridiculous odds. Hell you could even arb some of those lines.

    I just have a feeling this can't last. They are a small bookie catering to a small mma community and bettors that know what they're doing. It just seems too good to be true. But wack3d doesn't seem to run into problems thusfar so who knows.
     
  10. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

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    It's JBJ,AJ, DC at the top.
    Glover in the tier below and then it's the rest. If Jared pulls this off, I would be impressed as fuck but I strongly doubt he could.
     
  11. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Only parlayable lines I see are Laflare, o2.5 Islam/Lentz, and o2.5 Glenn/Nover. Since I won't have a RR with only those to work with, I doubled the first two and hope when props are out I can find something to double with Nover/Glenn over
     
  12. Orion Brown Belt

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    I think Glover's chin crumbling under a shot is in the realm of possibility. The dude has been fighting for 15+ years and is 37 years old coming off having his brain scrambled by AJ. The skill gap is obvious, but I don't like the wear and tear difference to go big on glover
     
  13. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

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    At -150, gimme the elite in Glover. He's been rocked many a time in fights and has great recovery. He could potentially expose Jared's ground game aswell if he feels he cant hang on the feet. Dunno how Glover isnt the right side at this price. I would understand if Jared was a huge dog.
     
  14. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

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    Glover has been ko/tko'd just twice in his long career. Before Rumble he hadnt been knocked out for 14 fucking years. He has fought a list of killers. Now you think a dude who is barely top 15 and has no top 15 wins comes and koes glover? gimme a break. if cannonier was 5:1 underdog id start considering a bet on him until then hell fucking no. cannonier was fed to glover not because he is good but no one wanted to fight glover. Glover at these odds is MUST PLAY. Rumble knocks out everybody. Look at the list of people rumble has ko'd. odds deserve to be even when both guys have clear realistic path to victory. Glover is much better on jared's best area. right now jared can only hope for a flukish KO
     
    Last edited: Feb 5, 2017
  15. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    I'm sold, 2.5U Glover @1.62. Flukish KO incoming.
     
  16. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

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    just re watched cannon vs cutelaba. cannon took over at the end of 2nd round when cutelaba gassed badly. until this point jared was gettin his ass kicked. honestly this fight could have gone to cutelaba too.
     
  17. DevilsPt2 Minion

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    100% with you on Glover also thinkk Souza has a <5% chance of losing.

    TEIXEIRA - CANNONIER
    Teixeira is a pressure fighter with great power, chin, ground game, will to win and fight IQ. Glover simply does not get finished unless you fought him in his first pro fight or your name is Anthony Johnson. Cannonier's best chance at victory is a close decision if he can keep Teixeira out of his face, use long kicks and teeps then cover and move when Teixeira closes distance. If Teixeira stays mid-close range Cannonier will get KOed or submitted. Teixeira wins ITD, he can win so many ways, trying to predict sub or KO may not be worth it.
    SOUZA - BOETCH
    Souza is on a completely different level everywhere. He can KO Boetch standing, sub him on the ground and take him down at will. What Boetch lacks in technique, he makes up for in power and that's his only method of victory, KO. Just like with Teixeira, Souza is near indestructable and just like with Teixeira, Souza has so many ways to win why pick 1? Souza ITD
     
  18. DevilsPt2 Minion

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    Don't agree about Poirier's chin. I rate him very highly as a fighter, Miller is a good fighter as well but I think Miller would be lucky to get the takedown, let alone a KO. I have not rly analyzed this one though.
     
  19. DevilsPt2 Minion

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    Silva is an outside striker who generally gets KOs from accumulation and making his opposition feel they have no shot of victory. Given his recent fights, men no longer fear him and they know that they can ground him for a relatively easy path to victory given he has a hard time gettin back to his feet. Another factor with Silva no longer being champion, he must be urgent in victory as he now only has 3 rounds to finish. Silva's low output, coupled with his inability to get back up are not conducive to decision victories. People are too good at defending submissions while in top position now so I think Silva's only method of victory would be KO. Brunson has been KOed 3 times, all by spectacular fighters and what is Anderson Silva if not spectacular?

    I agree with most though, Brunson comes out conservative given his last fight and who he's fighting, striking only for the takedown and I think he gets it. Brunson DEC most likely outcome but I hope Silvaa KOs him.
     
  20. raketmannen Brown Belt

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    Also just rewatched it, the price is way off. Cutelaba took Cannonier down 3 times in the first round and 4 in second, but instead of controlling him on the ground he stood up again and tried to land huge bombs on cannonier while he was on his back. Cutelaba could've won easy if he just ground and pounded cannonier instead
     
    Last edited: Feb 6, 2017
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