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UFC Fight Night 81 - Dillashaw vs Cruz

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Oblivian, Jan 3, 2016.

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  1. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Yeah this thread is awesome. Honestly, (at the risk of sounding like a broken record), I think "general toughness" can't be overstated at HW. These guys just always tend to land something big at some point. It's so hard for me to back a guy that's shown he'll fold at the first sign of adversity at HW even when he has a lot of other stuff going for him. Esp when he's fighting a guy who's shown he won't fold and has come back and won after getting hurt. Maybe Matt proves me wrong, but I need to see it first.
     
  2. vkram Brown Belt

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    Bet365 has 1.90 (-110) for the fight to go to decision, might take that.
     
  3. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Man Latifi just hits like a tank though. He has that power that can only be described as "crazy stupid power".
     
  4. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    5d offers it at -120 and literally the only thing scaring me is this being big guys and Elvis' short notice. I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say I see no fucking chance boring Bumroso finishes this, and Elvis won't win by sub. His KO line has dropped to +280, but fuck it I gotta go harder on fight goes the distance and hedge with that. I can't pass it up when I literally only see one reasonable path to the fight ending itd
     
  5. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    I'd definitely agree. In the whacky world of HW MMA durability goes a looong way.
     
  6. wigglestick pess de gward Platinum Member

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    Props I'm on that I really like
    Brown U1.5 -185
    Cote decision +250
    Felder O1.5 -200
    Not saunders ITD -268
    Wade -3.5 -165
     
  7. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Like all of them.

    Not Killa B inside distance+Wade -3.5+Felder/Cruik starts rd 2 pays +195.
     
  8. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    O'Connell is a tough SoB. See Villante fight who hits like a truck ate his shots up. I think he has decent tdd and i am one of the few who thinks he can pull this off i really dont rate Latifi. I assume he has a reach advantage here we will find out quickly what Latifi's chin is like.
     
  9. cs02132 Green Belt

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    What time does tonight's card start? 8? I'm working until 830 hope i don't miss much
     
  10. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Agree O'connell is tough, but he has been stopped in 5 of his 6 losses (2 by sub granted). Villante hits hard but I think Latifi hits harder.
     
  11. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    First fight is 6 EST
     
  12. Dangerbyeyes White Belt

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    If Cote enters Saunders guard it'll be like a housefly accidently getting trapped in a daddy long legs web it won't be pretty.

    Saunders rubber guard is one of the best ever.
     
  13. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Agree. But Saunders has very little chance of getting it to the mat if Cote doesn't want it there (and he probably won't). If Cote finds himself there his goal will be to free himself and stand up, not do damage.
     
  14. Card Silver Belt

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    Is Barroso that bad to be the underdog? He's bigger, higher ranked, had a full camp, goes for takedowns, not his UFC debut on 0 days notice.
     
  15. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Barroso is bad, and Elvis will be a solid addition to the MW division who probably should've been signed awhile ago. Barroso could conceivably hug him for 3 rounds though considering the circumstances
     
  16. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    FOTN props coming up right now. any leans?
     
  17. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    13 fights tonight, so FOTN will be tough (and cruz-dillashaw likely back and forth 5 rounder, so that's the favorite)

    think saunders-cote has some merit, tho. +700.
     
  18. vkram Brown Belt

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    Don't know the price but the two that stand out to me are:

    Pettis/Alvarez
    Felder/Cruickshank
     
  19. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i like the over more than anything; was hoping mutapcic would be evens when line opened
     
  20. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    +700 is easily worth a stab, took that for FOTN.
     
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